H2H, prediction of Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul in Miami with odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Miami. Alcaraz and Paul will face off in the 4th round of the Miami Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

By
Mark Hall
-
Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul

Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 4:30 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.22
Tommy Paul -> 4.3

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul

This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Paul won 6-7(4) 7-6(7) 6-3 in the 2nd round in Montreal back in 2022.

Highlights Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz – Montreal 10-August-2022

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
3
High
1
LWLLWLWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 53-13 22-5 17-4 6-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Currently world no. 1 the Spaniard got to the 4th round after defeating Facundo Bagnis 6-0 6-2 and Dusan Lajovic 6-0 7-65.

In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Lajovic (6-0 7-65). During the match, Alcaraz scored 72 points vs Lajovic’s 54. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz blasted 3 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 75% of his first serves in, winning 71% (35/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Lajovic 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Carlos hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 61% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 6 years having won 78% of his matches (184-52). 8-0 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has an aggregate57-14 match record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2.

Carlos has an overall 16-1 win-loss record in 2023, 8-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Alcaraz
Miami
Alcaraz's Record

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
12
High
12
LLWWWWLWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 45-19 17-11 10-4 8-2 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0
2020 21-14 12-6 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 19, Paul reached the 4th round after beating Marc-Andrea Huesler 5-7 6-3 6-4 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 7-5.

In the 3rd round, Paul had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-3 7-5). During the match Paul scored 73 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 56. The American was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Paul managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Tommy Paul lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 69% of his first serves in, winning 68% (27/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 72% (13/18) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Davidovich Fokina 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tommy has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Acapulco.

The American has a compiled 16-5 win-loss record in 2023, 15-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.

Paul
Miami
Paul's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
T.Paul
2h:35
2h:35
Time on court​
3h:36
3h:36
1h:31
1h:31
Last match​
1h:33
1h:33
2
2
Match played
2
2
33
33
Games Played​
52
52
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
130
130
Total points​
162
162
65
65
Avg point​
81
81
52
52
Winners
68
68
26
26
Avg Winners​
34
34
40%
40%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
20
20
3
3
Avg Aces
10
10
2
2
Double Faults
2
2
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1
1
52/70
52/70
1st won total​
68/91
68/91
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
17/35
17/35
2nd won total​
30/46
30/46
49%
49%
2nd won %
!
65%
65%
-- Break Points --
10/16
10/16
BP won
7/16
7/16
5/8
5/8
Avg BP won
3.5/8
3.5/8
!
63%
63%
Won
44%
44%
5
5
Conceded
9
9
2.5
2.5
Avg Conceded
4.5
4.5
2
2
Broken
4
4
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
3
3
Saved
5
5
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Paul
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 33 52
Pts 130-84 162-130
Total Points 214 292
Winners 52 68
%Winners 40% 42%

Both Alcaraz and Paul played 2 matches. At the moment, Tommy Paul dropped 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t conceded a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Paul (4 vs 5). Therefore, Alcaraz played 19 games less than Paul. Alcaraz scored 52 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Paul recorded 68 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Paul
Aces 6 20
Avg per match 3 10
1st in 70/105 91/137
%1st in 67% 66%
1st pts 52/70 68/91
%1st pts 74% 75%
2nd pts 17/35 30/46
%2nd pts 49% 65%

Alcaraz fired 6 aces (3 per match). Paul recorded 20 aces (10 per match). Alcaraz won 74% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Paul
Won 10 7
Converted 10/16 7/16
% Converted 63% 44%
Conceded 5 9
Saved 3 5
% Saved 60% 56%
Times Broken 2 4

The Spaniard broke his opponents 10 times with a 63% conversion rate. Carlos surrendered his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Paul broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R2
Bagnis		 R3
Lajovic		 Total
Score 6-0 6-2 6-0 7-65
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 14 19 33
pts 58-30 72-54 130-84
Total points 88 126 214
Winners 17 35 52
%Winners 29% 49% 40%
SERVE
Aces 3 3 6
Double Faults 2 0 2
1st in 21/40 49/65 70/105
% 1st in 53% 75% 67%
1st pts 17/21 35/49 52/70
% 1st pts 81% 71% 74%
2nd pts 10/19 7/16 17/35
% 2nd pts 53% 44% 49%
Breaks
Won 6 4 10
Converted 6/11 4/5 10/16
Converted % 55% 80% 63%
Conceded 2 3 5
Saved 1/2 2/3 3
Saved % 50% 67% 59%
Times Broken 1 1 2
Paul
R2
Huesler		 R3
Davidovich Fokina		 Total
Score 5-7 6-3 6-4 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 31 21 52
pts 89-74 73-56 162-130
Total points 163 129 292
Winners 41 27 68
%Winners 46% 37% 42%
SERVE
Aces 12 8 20
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 51/79 40/58 91/137
% 1st in 65% 69% 66%
1st pts 41/51 27/40 68/91
% 1st pts 80% 68% 75%
2nd pts 17/28 13/18 30/46
% 2nd pts 61% 72% 65%
Breaks
Won 3 4 7
Converted 3/9 4/7 7/16
Converted % 33% 57% 44%
Conceded 3 6 9
Saved 1/3 4/6 5
Saved % 33% 67% 50%
Times Broken 2 2 4

Head 2 Head

Carlos Alcaraz
  • 4Slam
  • 17Main
  • 4Chall
  • 3Minor
Tommy Paul
  • 0Slam
  • 4Main
  • 4Chall
  • 6Minor

Carlos
Alcaraz

4:2

Tommy
Paul

Rank

3

High

1

2Hard2

1Clay0

1Grass0

Rank

12

High

12

Win Loss
Alcaraz
LWLLWLWWWW
Paul
LLWWWWLWWL
2024 2023 2022
51 - 13
45 - 19
22-5
Hard
17-11
4-3
I Hard
8-2
17-4
Clay
10-4
8-1
Grass
10-2

Tennis Scores in Miami

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Alcaraz Carlos Alcaraz
More Stats
Click here
Paul Tommy Paul