Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 4:30 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.22
Tommy Paul -> 4.3
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul
This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Paul won 6-7(4) 7-6(7) 6-3 in the 2nd round in Montreal back in 2022.
Highlights Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz – Montreal 10-August-2022
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-5 | 13-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Spaniard got to the 4th round after defeating Facundo Bagnis 6-0 6-2 and Dusan Lajovic 6-0 7-65.
In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Lajovic (6-0 7-65). During the match, Alcaraz scored 72 points vs Lajovic’s 54. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz blasted 3 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 75% of his first serves in, winning 71% (35/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Lajovic 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 61% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 6 years having won 78% of his matches (184-52). 8-0 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has an aggregate57-14 match record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2.
Carlos has an overall 16-1 win-loss record in 2023, 8-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-8 | 10-6 | 5-2 | 4-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-14 | 12-6 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Paul reached the 4th round after beating Marc-Andrea Huesler 5-7 6-3 6-4 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 7-5.
In the 3rd round, Paul had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-3 7-5). During the match Paul scored 73 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 56. The American was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Paul managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Tommy Paul lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 69% of his first serves in, winning 68% (27/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 72% (13/18) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Davidovich Fokina 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tommy has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Acapulco.
The American has a compiled 16-5 win-loss record in 2023, 15-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 52 |
| Pts | 130-84 | 162-130 |
| Total Points | 214 | 292 |
| Winners | 52 | 68 |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% |
Both Alcaraz and Paul played 2 matches. At the moment, Tommy Paul dropped 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t conceded a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Paul (4 vs 5). Therefore, Alcaraz played 19 games less than Paul. Alcaraz scored 52 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Paul recorded 68 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 10 |
| 1st in | 70/105 | 91/137 |
| %1st in | 67% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 52/70 | 68/91 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 17/35 | 30/46 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 65% |
Alcaraz fired 6 aces (3 per match). Paul recorded 20 aces (10 per match). Alcaraz won 74% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 7 |
| Converted | 10/16 | 7/16 |
| % Converted | 63% | 44% |
| Conceded | 5 | 9 |
| Saved | 3 | 5 |
| % Saved | 60% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 10 times with a 63% conversion rate. Carlos surrendered his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Paul broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||
| R2 Bagnis |
R3 Lajovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 | 6-0 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 19 | 33 | |
| pts | 58-30 | 72-54 | 130-84 | |
| Total points | 88 | 126 | 214 | |
| Winners | 17 | 35 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 49% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 21/40 | 49/65 | 70/105 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 75% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 17/21 | 35/49 | 52/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 71% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 7/16 | 17/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 44% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 4/5 | 10/16 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 80% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Paul | ||||
| R2 Huesler |
R3 Davidovich Fokina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 21 | 52 | |
| pts | 89-74 | 73-56 | 162-130 | |
| Total points | 163 | 129 | 292 | |
| Winners | 41 | 27 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 37% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 8 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 51/79 | 40/58 | 91/137 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 69% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 41/51 | 27/40 | 68/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 68% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/28 | 13/18 | 30/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 72% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/7 | 7/16 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 57% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 4/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 67% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWWW
LWWWWLWLLW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (6-3 7-67) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Cristian GarinGarin (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-65 7-60) – See score progression
- Quentin HalysHalys – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-0 7-65) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Casper RuudRuud (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Taro DanielDaniel (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alex MolcanMolcan (w/o) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-6(5) 7-6(0)) – See score progression
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (6-3 7-6(7)) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Christopher EubanksEubanks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-6) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Andrey RublevRublev (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Tommy PaulPaul (0-1) – H2H and prediction
