Daniil Medvedev and Alex Molcan will face off in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 7:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.05
Alex Molcan -> 10
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex Molcan
There is no head to head record between Daniil Medvedev and Alex Molcan since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-10 | 9-5 | 6-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, the Russian reached the 3rd round after defeating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Carballes Baena (6-1 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 54 points vs Carballes Baena’s 30. Medvedev was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev made 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Daniil Medvedev was quite efficient on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Carballes Baena 4 times.
Medvedev has a good match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (448-181). 20-3 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has a composed 201-65 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he defeated Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2.
The Russian has an overall 25-3 win-loss record in 2023, 20-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Alex Molcan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-4 | 0-1 | 15-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 13-17 | 3-5 | 10-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-27 | 10-8 | 13-13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-24 | 7-8 | 18-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 65-24 | 8-3 | 42-14 | 13-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 56, Molcan got to the 3rd round after defeating Jordan Thompson 6-2 4-6 6-3 and Yoshihito Nishioka 7-65 1-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Alex defeated Nishioka (7-65 1-6 6-2).During the match Molcan scored less points (4) than Nishioka. In fact, the world no. 5 won 98 points vs Nishioka’s. That means that Molcan was more focused during the important points. Alex was pretty aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about serving, Molcan blasted 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alex Molcan lost the serve 4 times and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Molcan put 68% of his first serves in, winning 63% (49/78) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (15/36) on the 2nd serve. The Slovakian broke Nishioka 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Slovakian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The Slovakian has a composed 6-8 win-loss record in 2023, 5-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Alex has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 55 |
| Pts | 54-30 | 194-181 |
| Total Points | 84 | 375 |
| Winners | 24 | 93 |
| %Winners | 44% | 48% |
Medvedev played 1 match while Molcan competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Alex Molcan lost 2 sets while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t conceded a set so far. Medvedev has played 4 set(s) less than Molcan (2 vs 6). Therefore, Medvedev played 40 games less than Molcan. Daniil scored 24 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Molcan bagged 93 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 31/47 | 145/202 |
| %1st in | 66% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 93/145 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 28/57 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 49% |
Medvedev recorded 3 aces . Molcan recorded 9 aces (4.5 per match). Medvedev won 77% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Molcan won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 8 |
| Converted | 4/4 | 8/17 |
| % Converted | 100% | 47% |
| Conceded | 1 | 25 |
| Saved | 1 | 19 |
| % Saved | 100% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 |
Daniil broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. Daniil very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Slovakian broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Slovakian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||
| R2 Carballes Baena |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 54-30 | 54-30 | |
| Total points | 84 | 84 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 31/47 | 31/47 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 24/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 11/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Molcan | ||||
| R1 Thompson |
R2 Nishioka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | 7-65 1-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 28 | 55 | |
| pts | 96-79 | 98-102 | 194-181 | |
| Total points | 175 | 200 | 375 | |
| Winners | 44 | 49 | 93 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 50% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 67/88 | 78/114 | 145/202 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 68% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 44/67 | 49/78 | 93/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 63% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 15/36 | 28/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 42% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/8 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 50% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 17 | 25 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 13/17 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 76% | 151% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLWWL
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Holger RuneRune – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Christian GarinGarin – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Andrey RublevRublev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Taro DanielDaniel (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Dusan LajovicLajovic (3-0) – H2H and prediction
