Hubert Hurkacz and Adrian Mannarino will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 6:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hubert Hurkacz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hubert Hurkacz is the pick to win this match.
Hubert Hurkacz -> 1.25
Adrian Mannarino -> 3.95
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Prediction and head to head Hubert Hurkacz vs. Adrian Mannarino
This will be the 4th time that Hubert Hurkacz and Adrian Mannarino clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Hurkacz (see full H2H stats), but Mannarino leads 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Hurkacz won 7-6(5) 6-4 in the 1st round in Paris back in 2022.
Highlights Hubert Hurkacz vs Adrian Mannarino – Paris 01-November-2022
Hubert Hurkacz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-10 | 4-5 | 7-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-19 | 17-10 | 14-4 | 4-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-24 | 23-11 | 5-5 | 13-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-21 | 18-9 | 9-4 | 9-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-23 | 22-9 | 1-4 | 8-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9 (career-high), Hurkacz reached the 3rd round after defeating Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-710 7-67 7-66.
In the 2nd round against Kokkinakis, Hubert recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-710 7-67 7-66). During the match, Hurkacz scored 139 points vs Kokkinakis’s 129. Hurkacz was pretty aggressive to blast 71 winners.
Regarding the service games, Hurkacz overpowered his opponent with 21 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Hubert Hurkacz was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (71/90) of his 1st serve and 63% (20/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Pole broke Kokkinakis once after converting 13% of his break points (1/8).
Hurkacz has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (321-196). 9-5 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Hurkacz has an overall 155-74 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Marseille where he beat Benjamin Bonzi in the final 6-3 7-6(4).
Hurkacz has a composed 14-6 win-loss record in 2023, 9-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Adrian Mannarino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-21 | 2-9 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 62, the French player got to the 3rd round after defeating Juncheng Shang 1-6 6-4 6-2 and Ben Shelton 6-4 3-6 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The French player defeated Shelton (6-4 3-6 6-1). During the match Mannarino scored 74 points vs Shelton’s 67. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Mannarino managed to score 8 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (33/43) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Mannarino broke Shelton 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Mannarino has an overall 11-8 win-loss record in 2023, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2015 and 2017. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Hurkacz | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 51 |
| Pts | 139-129 | 149-137 |
| Total Points | 268 | 286 |
| Winners | 71 | 62 |
| %Winners | 51% | 42% |
Hurkacz played 1 match while Mannarino competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hubert Hurkacz dropped 1 set, while Adrian Mannarino lost 2 sets. Hurkacz has played 3 set(s) less than Mannarino (3 vs 6). Therefore, Hurkacz played 12 games less than Mannarino. The Pole scored 71 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Mannarino made 62 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Hurkacz | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 21 | 8.5 |
| 1st in | 90/122 | 84/136 |
| %1st in | 74% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 71/90 | 62/84 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 20/32 | 30/52 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 58% |
Hurkacz bagged 21 aces . Mannarino blasted 17 aces (8.5 per match). Hurkacz won 79% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Hurkacz | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 7 |
| Converted | 1/8 | 7/21 |
| % Converted | 13% | 33% |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 |
| Saved | 2 | 3 |
| % Saved | 67% | 38% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
The Pole broke his opponent once with a 13% conversion rate. The Pole dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 7 times with a 33% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded.
| Hurkacz | |||
| R2 Kokkinakis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-710 7-67 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 39 | 39 | |
| pts | 139-129 | 139-129 | |
| Total points | 268 | 268 | |
| Winners | 71 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 21 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 90/122 | 90/122 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 71/90 | 71/90 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/32 | 20/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/8 | 1/8 | |
| Converted % | 13% | 13% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Mannarino | ||||
| R1 Shang |
R2 Shelton |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 26 | 51 | |
| pts | 75-70 | 74-67 | 149-137 | |
| Total points | 145 | 141 | 286 | |
| Winners | 29 | 33 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 8 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 41/70 | 43/66 | 84/136 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 65% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 29/41 | 33/43 | 62/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 77% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 14/23 | 30/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 61% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 4/9 | 7/21 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 44% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 1/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 33% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWWL
LLLLLLLWWW Tennis Scores in Miami
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- Holger RuneRune – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Christian GarinGarin – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Andrey RublevRublev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Taro DanielDaniel (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Dusan LajovicLajovic (3-0) – H2H and prediction
