[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Carlos Alcaraz’s draw vs Lajovic, Paul, Rune, Ruud, Tsitsipas to win the Miami

Miami draw preview with H2H - Carlos Alcaraz may need to beat Dusan Lajovic, Tommy Paul, Holger Rune, Casper Ruud, Stefanos Tsitsipas to conquer the event in the Miami Open.

Carlos Alcaraz Stats info

Carlos Alcaraz is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Miami. Alcaraz has defeated Facundo Bagnis 6-0 6-2 to reach the 3rd round where he will face Dusan Lajovic.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Carlos Alcaraz’s projected draw alongsidehispresumable opposition in Miami Open. The Spaniard has a positive record (10-2) against the likely opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Facundo Bagnis (100) – 6-0 6-2
R3 – Dusan Lajovic (76) – H2H 3-0
R4 – Tommy Paul (19) – H2H 0-1
or Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (25) – H2H 0-0
1/4 – Holger Rune (8) – H2H 1-1
or Taylor Fritz (10) – H2H 0-0
1/2 – Casper Ruud (4) – H2H 3-0
or Andrey Rublev (7) – H2H 0-0
Fin – Stefanos Tsitsipas (3) – H2H 3-0
or Daniil Medvedev (5) – H2H 1-1
Alcaraz
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Draw

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R3 – Dusan Lajovic’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

30 - 28win/loss in 2025

Rank
52
High
23
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 30-28 9-9 18-13 3-5 0-1 0-0
2022 30-30 4-11 24-15 1-2 1-2 0-0
2021 18-28 8-10 5-9 4-7 1-2 0-0
2020 14-16 7-6 7-7 0-3 0-0 0-0
2019 22-28 7-12 13-10 2-4 0-2 0-0
2018 39-29 15-9 20-14 3-4 1-2 0-0
2017 37-33 16-11 17-16 2-4 2-2 0-0
2016 28-31 8-11 16-13 4-4 0-3 0-0

Dusan Lajovic has a 11-7 win-loss record in 2023, 2-3 on hard. Regarding the last 15 years, the Serbian has a 102-99 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Lajovic won 6 of his last 10 matches.

Last year in Miami Open Dusan surrendered to Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the 1st round 6-3 7-5.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Dusan Lajovic

This match would represent the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Dusan Lajovic square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Tommy Paul’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Tommy Paul

46 - 29win/loss in 2025

Rank
13
High
12
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0
2020 21-14 12-6 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-0
2019 45-16 22-7 12-4 5-1 6-4 0-0
2018 40-20 28-15 0-0 12-5 0-0 0-0
2017 48-24 27-12 18-8 3-4 0-0 0-0
2016 28-28 9-14 18-9 1-4 0-1 0-0

Tommy Paul has a 15-5 record in 2023, 14-5 on hard. Talking about the last 9 years, Tommy has a 160-93 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The American won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Tommy’s most significant achievement of the year was getting to the final Acapulco.

Last year in Miami Open Paul lost to Taylor Fritz in the 3rd round 7-6(2) 6-4.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul

This would be the 2nd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Carlos Alcaraz may fight against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Their H2H record is 0-0.

1/4 – Holger Rune’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

44 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
4
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0
2020 32-16 1-3 28-11 3-2 0-0 0-0
2019 6-10 0-3 5-6 1-1 0-0 0-0
2018 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0

Holger Rune has a 13-6 record in 2023, 8-4 on hard. In connection to the last 6 years, Holger has a 28-24 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Dane won 6 of his last 10 matches.

Rune’s most significant achievement of this current season was reaching the semifinal Montpellier and Acapulco.

Last year in Miami Open Rune reached the qualifications in 2022 in Miami before retiring against Shintaro Mochizuki when he was 6-1 0-0 ret..

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Holger Rune

This contest would be 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Holger Rune clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Alcaraz and Rune (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Carlos Alcaraz may come up against Taylor Fritz. Their head to head record is 0-0.

1/2 – Casper Ruud’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

37 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
11
High
2
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 37-23 12-12 22-8 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
2020 22-13 4-5 17-6 1-2 0-0 0-0
2019 44-31 8-10 27-13 9-7 0-1 0-0
2018 43-29 19-9 19-18 5-1 0-1 0-0
2017 30-32 3-6 22-23 5-3 0-0 0-0
2016 56-19 5-4 46-13 5-2 0-0 0-0

Casper Ruud has a 5-5 record in 2023, he played all matches on hard. Talking about the previous 9 years, the Norwegian has a 78-54 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Ruud won 5 of his last 10 matches.

Last year in Miami Open Ruud capitulated to Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-5 6-4.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Casper Ruud

This match would represent the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Carlos Alcaraz could compete against Andrey Rublev. Their H2H is 0-0.

Final – Stefanos Tsitsipas’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

51 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
3
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 51-24 19-9 17-5 11-6 4-4 0-0
2022 61-24 18-8 17-4 18-9 8-3 0-0
2021 55-19 26-8 23-5 6-5 0-1 0-0
2020 29-14 11-6 11-3 7-5 0-0 0-0
2019 54-25 22-12 15-5 15-5 2-3 0-0
2018 56-30 19-13 15-6 16-8 6-3 0-0
2017 57-31 14-8 25-12 14-8 4-3 0-0
2016 49-18 16-7 30-6 1-3 0-0 2-2

Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 13-3 record in 2023, 10-2 on hard. Regarding the previous 9 years, the Greek has a 159-78 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Stefanos won 7 of his last 10 matches.

Tsitsipas’s best achievement of the current season was reaching the final at the Australian Open .

Last year in Miami Open Tsitsipas capitulated to Carlos Alcaraz in the 4th round 7-5 6-3.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

This would be the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Stefanos Tsitsipas fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Carlos Alcaraz may play Daniil Medvedev. Their head to head is 1-1.