Holger Rune and Diego Schwartzman will face off in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on BUTCH BUCHHOLZ. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.188
Diego Schwartzman -> 4.75

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Diego Schwartzman

There is no head to head record between Holger Rune and Diego Schwartzman since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Holger Rune

Holger Rune

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
10
High
4
LWLWWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-11 9-5 6-4 2-2 0-0 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 8 (career-high), the Dane got to the 3rd round after beating Marton Fucsovics 6-3 7-5.

In the 2nd round, Holger had a good straight sets win against Fucsovics (6-3 7-5). During the match, Rune scored 65 points vs Fucsovics’s 52. Holger was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rune managed to score 6 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Holger Rune was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (25/31) of his 1st serve and 74% (17/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rune broke Fucsovics 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Rune has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (175-88). 8-4 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rune has a composed28-24 record in the last 6 years on hard.

Holger’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Montpellier and Acapulco.

The Dane has an aggregate 13-6 win-loss record in 2023, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Miami
Rune's Record

Diego Schwartzman

Diego Schwartzman

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
516
High
8
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 1-2 0-0 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 11-15 6-7 5-7 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 16-28 10-13 4-12 0-1 2-2 0-0
2022 31-26 9-7 21-10 0-6 1-3 0-0
2021 38-23 18-10 12-8 6-4 2-1 0-0

Ranked no. 38, the Argentine got to the 3rd round after beating Yibing Wu 7-61 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Diego had a good straight sets win against Wu (7-61 6-1). During the match Schwartzman scored 82 points vs Wu’s 66. Schwartzman was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Schwartzman recorded 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Diego Schwartzman lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Schwartzman put 63% of his first serves in, winning 70% (40/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Wu 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Schwartzman has an aggregate 3-8 win-loss record in 2023, 3-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See his history.

Miami
Schwartzman's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

H.Rune
D.Schwartzman
1h:21
1h:21
Time on court​
1h:54
1h:54
1h:21
1h:21
Last match​
1h:54
1h:54
1
1
Match played
1
1
21
21
Games Played​
20
20
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
65
65
Total points​
82
82
65
65
Avg point​
82
82
25
25
Winners
40
40
25
25
Avg Winners​
40
40
38%
38%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
2
2
6
6
Avg Aces
2
2
0
0
Double Faults
3
3
0
0
Avg Double Faults
3
3
25/31
25/31
1st won total​
40/57
40/57
!
81%
81%
1st won %
70%
70%
17/23
17/23
2nd won total​
17/33
17/33
!
74%
74%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
3/5
3/5
BP won
3/6
3/6
3/5
3/5
Avg BP won
3/6
3/6
!
60%
60%
Won
50%
50%
1
1
Conceded
8
8
1
1
Avg Conceded
8
8
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
1
1
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rune Schwartzman
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 21 20
Pts 65-52 82-66
Total Points 117 148
Winners 25 40
%Winners 38% 49%

Both Rune and Schwartzman played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rune and Schwartzman have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Rune played 1 game more than Schwartzman. The Dane scored 25 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine scored 40 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rune Schwartzman
Aces 6 2
Avg per match 6 2
1st in 31/54 57/90
%1st in 57% 63%
1st pts 25/31 40/57
%1st pts 81% 70%
2nd pts 17/23 17/33
%2nd pts 74% 52%

Rune struck 6 aces . Schwartzman bagged 2 aces . Rune won 81% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 74% of the points. On the other side, Schwartzman won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rune Schwartzman
Won 3 3
Converted 3/5 3/6
% Converted 60% 50%
Conceded 1 8
Saved 1 7
% Saved 100% 88%
Times Broken 0 1

The Dane broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Dane quite strong on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. Diego broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Diego conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Rune
R2
Fucsovics
Total
Score 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 21 21
pts 65-52 65-52
Total points 117 117
Winners 25 25
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 31/54 31/54
% 1st in 57% 57%
1st pts 25/31 25/31
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 17/23 17/23
% 2nd pts 74% 74%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/5 3/5
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 1/1 1
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Schwartzman
R2
Wu
Total
Score 7-61 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 82-66 82-66
Total points 148 148
Winners 40 40
%Winners 49% 49%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 57/90 57/90
% 1st in 63% 63%
1st pts 40/57 40/57
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 17/33 17/33
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/6 3/6
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 7/8 7
Saved % 88% 88%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores in Miami

  • Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipasRichard GasquetGasquet (w/o) – See score progression
  • Lorenzo SonegoSonegoDaniel EvansEvans (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
  • Alex MolcanMolcanYoshihito NishiokaNishioka (7-65 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
  • Frances TiafoeTiafoeYosuke WatanukiWatanuki (6-75 7-63 6-4) – See score progression
  • Quentin HalysHalysAlex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-75 7-63 7-68) – See score progression
  • Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-AliassimeThiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (7-65 7-68) – See score progression
  • Cristian GarinGarinSebastian BaezBaez (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
  • Gregoire BarrereBarrereCameron NorrieNorrie (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
  • Francisco CerundoloCerundoloAleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Karen KhachanovKhachanovTomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Daniil MedvedevMedvedevRoberto Carballes Baena
    Carballes Baena (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
  • Christopher EubanksEubanksBorna CoricCoric (3-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonaldMatteo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-68 7-65) – See score progression
  • Hubert HurkaczHurkaczThanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-710 7-67 7-66) – See score progression
  • Jiri LeheckaLeheckaLorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Adrian MannarinoMannarinoBen SheltonShelton (6-4 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
  • Denis ShapovalovShapovalovGuido PellaPella (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Casper RuudRuudIlya IvashkaIvashka (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
  • Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuoriRoberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
  • Andrey RublevRublevJeff WolfWolf (7-63 6-4) – See score progression
  • Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzmanYibing WuWu (7-61 6-1) – See score progression
  • Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich FokinaBrandon NakashimaNakashima (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
  • Dusan LajovicLajovicMaxime CressyCressy (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
  • Tommy PaulPaulMarc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Taro DanielDanielAlexander ZverevZverev (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
  • Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovicUgo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-75 7-63) – See score progression
  • Holger RuneRuneMarton FucsovicsFucsovics (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
  • Grigor DimitrovDimitrovJan-Lennard StruffStruff (4-6 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
  • Taylor FritzFritzEmilio NavaNava (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
  • Jannik SinnerSinnerLaslo DjereDjere (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Carlos AlcarazAlcarazFacundo BagnisBagnis (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
  • Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De ZandschulpAlexei PopyrinPopyrin (4-6 7-64 6-2) – See score progression
  • Hubert HurkaczHurkaczThanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-7(10) 7-6(7) 7-6(6)) – See score progression
  • Adrian MannarinoMannarinoBen SheltonShelton (6-4 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
  • Gregoire BarrereBarrereCameron NorrieNorrie (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
  • Daniil MedvedevMedvedevRoberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
  • Lorenzo SonegoSonegoDaniel EvansEvans (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
  • Frances TiafoeTiafoeYosuke WatanukiWatanuki (6-7(5) 7-6(3) 6-4) – See score progression
  • Karen KhachanovKhachanovTomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw