H2H, prediction of Taylor Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov in Miami with odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Miami. Fritz and Shapovalov will square off in the 3rd round of the Miami Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Denis Shapovalov

Taylor Fritz and Denis Shapovalov will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:30 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Taylor Fritz is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.38
Denis Shapovalov -> 3.05

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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Denis Shapovalov

This will be the 9th time that Taylor Fritz and Denis Shapovalov clash against each other. The head to head is 5-3 for Shapovalov (see full H2H stats),but they are 3-3 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Fritz won 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in Acapulco back in March 2023.

Highlights Taylor Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov – Acapulco 01-March-2023

Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
4
High
4
LWLWLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 8-4 7-3 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 54-23 23-10 15-7 6-4 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0

Ranked no. 10, the American got to the 3rd round after beating Emilio Nava 6-4 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Fritz had a good straight sets win against Nava (6-4 6-1). During the match, Fritz scored 58 points vs Nava’s 34. Taylor was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Regarding the service games, Fritz recorded 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Taylor Fritz was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 85% (22/26) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Taylor broke Nava 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Fritz has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (316-198). 16-4 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Fritz has an overall 194-104 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(6) and in Delray Beach where he overcame Miomir Kecmanovic in the final 6-0 5-7 6-2.

Taylor has a compiled 18-5 win-loss record in 2023, 16-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Fritz
Miami
Fritz's Record

Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov
Denis Shapovalov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
32
High
10
WWWWWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 10-3 5-3 0-0 5-0 0-0 0-0
2024 33-25 9-10 5-6 16-6 3-3 0-0
2023 13-13 6-6 3-3 0-1 4-3 0-0
2022 34-26 22-12 4-4 7-6 1-4 0-0
2021 30-23 11-11 7-6 4-3 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 30, Shapovalov got to the 3rd round after beating Guido Pella 6-3 3-6 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Canadian defeated Pella (6-3 3-6 6-3). During the match Shapovalov scored 90 points vs Pella’s 83. The Canadian was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Shapovalov blasted 13 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 13 double faults. Overall, Denis Shapovalov was pretty efficient on serve to win 83% (34/41) of his 1st serve and 53% (23/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Denis broke Pella 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Shapovalov has a composed 6-6 win-loss record in 2023, 6-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.

Shapovalov
Miami
Shapovalov's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Fritz
D.Shapovalov
0h:59
0h:59
Time on court​
!
1h:53
1h:53
!
0h:59
0h:59
Last match​
1h:53
1h:53
1
1
Match played
1
1
17
17
Games Played​
27
27
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
58
58
Total points​
90
90
58
58
Avg point​
90
90
22
22
Winners
34
34
22
22
Avg Winners​
34
34
38%
38%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
13
13
8
8
Avg Aces
!
13
13
2
2
Double Faults
13
13
2
2
Avg Double Faults
!
13
13
22/26
22/26
1st won total​
34/41
34/41
!
85%
85%
1st won %
!
83%
83%
14/22
14/22
2nd won total​
23/43
23/43
!
64%
64%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
4/5
4/5
BP won
3/7
3/7
4/5
4/5
Avg BP won
3/7
3/7
!
80%
80%
Won
43%
43%
2
2
Conceded
5
5
2
2
Avg Conceded
5
5
1
1
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
1
1
Saved
3
3

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Fritz Shapovalov
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 17 27
Pts 58-34 90-83
Total Points 92 173
Winners 22 34
%Winners 38% 38%

Both Fritz and Shapovalov played 1 match. At the moment, Denis Shapovalov surrendered 1 set while Taylor Fritz hasn’t lost a set so far. Fritz has played 1 set(s) less than Shapovalov (2 vs 3). Therefore, Fritz played 10 games less than Shapovalov. Fritz scored 22 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Denis made 34 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Fritz Shapovalov
Aces 8 13
Avg per match 8 13
1st in 26/48 41/84
%1st in 54% 49%
1st pts 22/26 34/41
%1st pts 85% 83%
2nd pts 14/22 23/43
%2nd pts 64% 53%

Fritz made 8 aces . Shapovalov struck 13 aces . Fritz won 85% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Shapovalov won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Fritz Shapovalov
Won 4 3
Converted 4/5 3/7
% Converted 80% 43%
Conceded 2 5
Saved 1 3
% Saved 50% 60%
Times Broken 1 2

Fritz broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Taylor surrendered his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Shapovalov broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Fritz
R2
Nava
Total
Score 6-4 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 58-34 58-34
Total points 92 92
Winners 22 22
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 8 8
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 26/48 26/48
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 22/26 22/26
% 1st pts 85% 85%
2nd pts 14/22 14/22
% 2nd pts 64% 64%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/5 4/5
Converted % 80% 80%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 1/2 1
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 1
Shapovalov
R2
Pella
Total
Score 6-3 3-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 27 27
pts 90-83 90-83
Total points 173 173
Winners 34 34
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 13 13
Double Faults 13 13
1st in 41/84 41/84
% 1st in 49% 49%
1st pts 34/41 34/41
% 1st pts 83% 83%
2nd pts 23/43 23/43
% 2nd pts 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/7 3/7
Converted % 43% 43%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 3/5 3
Saved % 60% 60%
Times Broken 2 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Fritz
LWLWLWWWWW
Shapovalov
WWWWWWWWLW
2025 2024 2023
8 - 4
10 - 3
7-3
Hard
5-3
1-1
I Hard
5-0

Tennis Scores in Miami

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw