Jessica Pegula and Danielle Rose Collins will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:30 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.363
Danielle Rose Collins -> 3.14
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Danielle Rose Collins
This will be the 4th time that Jessica Pegula and Danielle Rose Collins play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Pegula won 6-4 3-6 7-5 in the 3rd round in Montreal back in 2021.
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 35-12 | 11-5 | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Katherine Sebov 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Sebov (6-3 6-1). During the match, Pegula scored 57 points vs Sebov’s 38. Pegula was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula bagged 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Jessica Pegula lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 78% of her first serves in, winning 69% (22/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 78% (7/9) on the 2nd serve. Pegula broke Sebov 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (256-153). 16-5 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has a composed 157-83 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where she defeated Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2.
Pegula has a compiled 16-5 win-loss record in 2023, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Danielle Rose Collins
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-14 | 6-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-17 | 20-10 | 19-5 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-18 | 19-15 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-12 | 17-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-15 | 23-10 | 11-3 | 5-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Collins got to the 3rd round after defeating Viktoriya Tomova 7-63 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Tomova (7-63 6-2). During the match Collins scored 77 points vs Tomova’s 62. Danielle was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Collins blasted 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Danielle Rose Collins lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Collins put 60% of her first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the 2nd serve. Danielle broke Tomova 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Danielle’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Austin.
Collins has a composed 9-8 win-loss record in 2023, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 21 |
| Pts | 57-38 | 77-62 |
| Total Points | 95 | 139 |
| Winners | 22 | 29 |
| %Winners | 39% | 38% |
Both Pegula and Collins played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Collins have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Pegula played 5 games less than Collins. Jessica scored 22 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Collins fired 29 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 5 |
| 1st in | 32/41 | 43/72 |
| %1st in | 78% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 22/32 | 29/43 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 7/9 | 16/29 |
| %2nd pts | 78% | 55% |
Pegula scored 2 aces . Collins managed to score 5 aces . Pegula won 69% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 78% of the points. On the other side, Collins won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 56% | 67% |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Pegula broke her opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The American surrendered her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||
| R2 Sebov | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 57-38 | 57-38 | |
| Total points | 95 | 95 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 32/41 | 32/41 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 22/32 | 22/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/9 | 7/9 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 78% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Collins | |||
| R2 Tomova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 77-62 | 77-62 | |
| Total points | 139 | 139 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 43/72 | 43/72 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 29/43 | 29/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 16/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores in Miami
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Maria SakkariSakkari (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Lin ZhuZhu (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Xinyu WangWang (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (7-64 0-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Rebecca MarinoMarino (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (2-6 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Nao HibinoHibino (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Xiyu WangWang (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Claire LiuLiu – Julia GrabherGrabher (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (4-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Mirjam BjorklundBjorklund (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (7-62 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Katherine SebovSebov (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Evgeniya RodinaRodina (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jan MertlMertl – Dan Alexandru TomescuAlexandru Tomescu (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Andrei Stefan ApostolStefan Apostol (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Vasile AntonescuAntonescu – Bogdan Ionut ApostolIonut Apostol (3-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Maria SakkariSakkari (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Lin ZhuZhu (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Xinyu WangWang (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sofia KeninKenin – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Belinda BencicBencic (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Donna VekicVekic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Shelby RogersRogers – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Claire LiuLiu – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Elise MertensMertens (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (3-0) – H2H and prediction