Jessica Pegula and Danielle Rose Collins will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:30 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.363
Danielle Rose Collins -> 3.14

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Danielle Rose Collins

This will be the 4th time that Jessica Pegula and Danielle Rose Collins play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Pegula won 6-4 3-6 7-5 in the 3rd round in Montreal back in 2021.

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
6
High
3
LWLWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 35-12 11-5 3-4 4-2 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Katherine Sebov 6-3 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Sebov (6-3 6-1). During the match, Pegula scored 57 points vs Sebov’s 38. Pegula was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Regarding the service games, Pegula bagged 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Jessica Pegula lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 78% of her first serves in, winning 69% (22/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 78% (7/9) on the 2nd serve. Pegula broke Sebov 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (256-153). 16-5 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has a composed 157-83 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where she defeated Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2.

Pegula has a compiled 16-5 win-loss record in 2023, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Miami
Pegula's Record

Danielle Rose Collins

Danielle Rose Collins

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
64
High
7
LLLWLLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-14 6-8 7-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2024 42-17 20-10 19-5 0-1 3-1 0-0
2023 22-18 19-15 0-2 2-0 1-1 0-0
2022 21-12 17-6 3-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2021 40-15 23-10 11-3 5-1 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 30, Collins got to the 3rd round after defeating Viktoriya Tomova 7-63 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Tomova (7-63 6-2). During the match Collins scored 77 points vs Tomova’s 62. Danielle was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Collins blasted 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Danielle Rose Collins lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Collins put 60% of her first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the 2nd serve. Danielle broke Tomova 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).

Danielle’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Austin.

Collins has a composed 9-8 win-loss record in 2023, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See her history.

Miami
Collins's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Pegula
D.Collins
1h:05
1h:05
Time on court​
1h:31
1h:31
1h:05
1h:05
Last match​
1h:31
1h:31
1
1
Match played
1
1
16
16
Games Played​
21
21
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
57
57
Total points​
77
77
57
57
Avg point​
77
77
22
22
Winners
29
29
22
22
Avg Winners​
29
29
39%
39%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
5
5
2
2
Avg Aces
5
5
1
1
Double Faults
4
4
1
1
Avg Double Faults
4
4
22/32
22/32
1st won total​
29/43
29/43
69%
69%
1st won %
67%
67%
7/9
7/9
2nd won total​
16/29
16/29
!
78%
78%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
5/9
5/9
BP won
4/6
4/6
5/9
5/9
Avg BP won
4/6
4/6
!
56%
56%
Won
!
67%
67%
3
3
Conceded
6
6
3
3
Avg Conceded
6
6
1
1
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
2
2
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pegula Collins
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 21
Pts 57-38 77-62
Total Points 95 139
Winners 22 29
%Winners 39% 38%

Both Pegula and Collins played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Collins have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Pegula played 5 games less than Collins. Jessica scored 22 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Collins fired 29 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pegula Collins
Aces 2 5
Avg per match 2 5
1st in 32/41 43/72
%1st in 78% 60%
1st pts 22/32 29/43
%1st pts 69% 67%
2nd pts 7/9 16/29
%2nd pts 78% 55%

Pegula scored 2 aces . Collins managed to score 5 aces . Pegula won 69% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 78% of the points. On the other side, Collins won 67% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pegula Collins
Won 5 4
Converted 5/9 4/6
% Converted 56% 67%
Conceded 3 6
Saved 2 4
% Saved 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 2

Pegula broke her opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The American surrendered her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
R2
Sebov
Total
Score 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 57-38 57-38
Total points 95 95
Winners 22 22
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 32/41 32/41
% 1st in 78% 78%
1st pts 22/32 22/32
% 1st pts 69% 69%
2nd pts 7/9 7/9
% 2nd pts 78% 78%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/9 5/9
Converted % 56% 56%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 1
Collins
R2
Tomova
Total
Score 7-63 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 21 21
pts 77-62 77-62
Total points 139 139
Winners 29 29
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 43/72 43/72
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 29/43 29/43
% 1st pts 67% 67%
2nd pts 16/29 16/29
% 2nd pts 55% 55%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/6 4/6
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 4/6 4
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 2 2

Tennis Scores in Miami

Upcoming matches in the draw