Elena Rybakina and Paula Badosa Gibert will face off in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.38
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 3.05
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Paula Badosa Gibert
This will be the 7th time that Elena Rybakina and Paula Badosa Gibert fight against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Badosa (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Rybakina won 6-3 7-5 in the 3rd round in Indian Wells back in March 2023.
Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Paula Badosa Gibert – Indian Wells 13-March-2023
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 59-19 | 37-13 | 9-3 | 8-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7 (career-high), Rybakina got to the 3rd round after defeating Anna Kalinskaya 7-5 4-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Kazakhstani defeated Kalinskaya (7-5 4-6 6-3). During the match, Rybakina scored 104 points vs Kalinskaya’s 89. Elena was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina scored 14 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 54% of her first serves in, winning 76% (42/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (21/46) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Kalinskaya 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Rybakina has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (259-121). 17-4 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has a composed113-59 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Indian Wells where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-6(11) 6-4.
The Kazakhstani has a compiled 17-4 win-loss record in 2023, 17-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Paula Badosa Gibert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-13 | 13-8 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-19 | 26-11 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, Badosa reached the 3rd round after beating Laura Siegemund 7-62 4-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Badosa defeated Siegemund (7-62 4-6 6-2). During the match Badosa scored 100 points vs Siegemund’s 89. Paula was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Badosa struck 5 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Overall, Paula Badosa Gibert was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (41/58) of her 1st serve and 51% (19/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve 4 times. Paula broke Siegemund 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Paula’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.
Paula has an aggregate 6-3 win-loss record in 2023, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 |
| Pts | 104-89 | 100-89 |
| Total Points | 193 | 189 |
| Winners | 42 | 41 |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% |
Both Rybakina and Badosa played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina lost 1 set, while Paula Badosa Gibert dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Rybakina and Badosa have played the same amount of sets 3. They also played the same amount of games (31). Elena scored 42 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa recorded 41 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 14 | 5 |
| 1st in | 55/101 | 58/95 |
| %1st in | 54% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 42/55 | 41/58 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 21/46 | 19/37 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 51% |
Rybakina recorded 14 aces . Badosa recorded 5 aces . Rybakina won 76% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 33% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Elena broke her opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Elena conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. The Spaniard broke her opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||
| R2 Kalinskaya | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 104-89 | 104-89 | |
| Total points | 193 | 193 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 14 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 55/101 | 55/101 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 42/55 | 42/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/46 | 21/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Badosa | |||
| R2 Siegemund | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 4-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 100-89 | 100-89 | |
| Total points | 189 | 189 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 58/95 | 58/95 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 41/58 | 41/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/37 | 19/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/4 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores in Miami
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Maria SakkariSakkari (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Lin ZhuZhu (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Xinyu WangWang (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (7-64 0-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Rebecca MarinoMarino (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (2-6 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Nao HibinoHibino (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Xiyu WangWang (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Claire LiuLiu – Julia GrabherGrabher (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (4-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Mirjam BjorklundBjorklund (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (7-62 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Katherine SebovSebov (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Evgeniya RodinaRodina (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Andrei Stefan ApostolStefan Apostol (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Vasile AntonescuAntonescu – Bogdan Ionut ApostolIonut Apostol (3-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jan MertlMertl – Dan Alexandru TomescuAlexandru Tomescu (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Maria SakkariSakkari (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Lin ZhuZhu (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Xinyu WangWang (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sofia KeninKenin – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Belinda BencicBencic (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Donna VekicVekic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Shelby RogersRogers – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Claire LiuLiu – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Elise MertensMertens (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (3-0) – H2H and prediction