Elena Rybakina and Paula Badosa Gibert will face off in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.38
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 3.05

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Paula Badosa Gibert

This will be the 7th time that Elena Rybakina and Paula Badosa Gibert fight against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Badosa (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Rybakina won 6-3 7-5 in the 3rd round in Indian Wells back in March 2023.

Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Paula Badosa Gibert – Indian Wells 13-March-2023

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
5
High
3
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 59-19 37-13 9-3 8-0 5-3 0-0
2024 43-11 23-5 12-2 2-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0

Ranked no. 7 (career-high), Rybakina got to the 3rd round after defeating Anna Kalinskaya 7-5 4-6 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Kazakhstani defeated Kalinskaya (7-5 4-6 6-3). During the match, Rybakina scored 104 points vs Kalinskaya’s 89. Elena was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rybakina scored 14 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 54% of her first serves in, winning 76% (42/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (21/46) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Kalinskaya 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).

Rybakina has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (259-121). 17-4 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has a composed113-59 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Indian Wells where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-6(11) 6-4.

The Kazakhstani has a compiled 17-4 win-loss record in 2023, 17-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Miami
Rybakina's Record

Paula Badosa Gibert

Paula Badosa Gibert

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
25
High
2
LWLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-13 13-8 3-2 0-1 2-2 0-0
2024 37-19 26-11 6-5 0-1 5-2 0-0
2023 18-9 6-4 11-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 32-22 20-13 8-5 1-2 3-2 0-0
2021 43-17 19-9 17-3 4-3 3-2 0-0

Ranked no. 29, Badosa reached the 3rd round after beating Laura Siegemund 7-62 4-6 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Badosa defeated Siegemund (7-62 4-6 6-2). During the match Badosa scored 100 points vs Siegemund’s 89. Paula was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about serving, Badosa struck 5 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Overall, Paula Badosa Gibert was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (41/58) of her 1st serve and 51% (19/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve 4 times. Paula broke Siegemund 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).

Paula’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.

Paula has an aggregate 6-3 win-loss record in 2023, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See her history.

Miami
Badosa's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Rybakina
P.Badosa
2h:15
2h:15
Time on court​
2h:51
2h:51
!
2h:15
2h:15
Last match​
!
2h:51
2h:51
1
1
Match played
1
1
31
31
Games Played​
31
31
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
104
104
Total points​
100
100
104
104
Avg point​
100
100
42
42
Winners
41
41
42
42
Avg Winners​
41
41
40%
40%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
5
5
!
14
14
Avg Aces
5
5
7
7
Double Faults
9
9
!
7
7
Avg Double Faults
!
9
9
42/55
42/55
1st won total​
41/58
41/58
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
21/46
21/46
2nd won total​
19/37
19/37
46%
46%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
5/13
5/13
BP won
5/10
5/10
5/13
5/13
Avg BP won
5/10
5/10
38%
38%
Won
50%
50%
6
6
Conceded
4
4
6
6
Avg Conceded
4
4
4
4
Broken
4
4
4
4
Avg Broken
4
4
2
2
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rybakina Badosa
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 31 31
Pts 104-89 100-89
Total Points 193 189
Winners 42 41
%Winners 40% 41%

Both Rybakina and Badosa played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina lost 1 set, while Paula Badosa Gibert dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Rybakina and Badosa have played the same amount of sets 3. They also played the same amount of games (31). Elena scored 42 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa recorded 41 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rybakina Badosa
Aces 14 5
Avg per match 14 5
1st in 55/101 58/95
%1st in 54% 61%
1st pts 42/55 41/58
%1st pts 76% 71%
2nd pts 21/46 19/37
%2nd pts 46% 51%

Rybakina recorded 14 aces . Badosa recorded 5 aces . Rybakina won 76% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rybakina Badosa
Won 5 5
Converted 5/13 5/10
% Converted 38% 50%
Conceded 6 4
Saved 2 0
% Saved 33% 0%
Times Broken 4 4

Elena broke her opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Elena conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. The Spaniard broke her opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
R2
Kalinskaya
Total
Score 7-5 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 31 31
pts 104-89 104-89
Total points 193 193
Winners 42 42
%Winners 40% 40%
SERVE
Aces 14 14
Double Faults 7 7
1st in 55/101 55/101
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 42/55 42/55
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 21/46 21/46
% 2nd pts 46% 46%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/13 5/13
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 2/6 2
Saved % 33% 33%
Times Broken 4 4
Badosa
R2
Siegemund
Total
Score 7-62 4-6 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 31 31
pts 100-89 100-89
Total points 189 189
Winners 41 41
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 9 9
1st in 58/95 58/95
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 41/58 41/58
% 1st pts 71% 71%
2nd pts 19/37 19/37
% 2nd pts 51% 51%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/10 5/10
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 0/4 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 4 4

Tennis Scores in Miami

Upcoming matches in the draw