Yosuke Watanuki and Benoit Paire will fight against each other in the 1st round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on BUTCH BUCHHOLZ. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yosuke Watanuki who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yosuke Watanuki is the pick to win this match.
Yosuke Watanuki -> 1.53
Benoit Paire -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Yosuke Watanuki vs. Benoit Paire
This will be the 2nd time that Yosuke Watanuki and Benoit Paire square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Watanuki (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Watanuki won 7-6(2) 6-1 in the 2nd round in the Monterrey Challenger back in February 2023.
Yosuke Watanuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-24 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 11-11 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 29-12 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-22 | 19-11 | 6-4 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-17 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 6-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 123, Watanuki reached the 1st round after defeating Alexander Blockx 3-6 6-3 6-0 and Christopher O Connell 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Yousuke had a good straight sets win against O Connell (6-4 6-4). During the match, Watanuki scored 72 points vs O Connell’s 64. Yousuke was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Watanuki fired 13 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Yosuke Watanuki lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Watanuki put 59% of his first serves in, winning 82% (28/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (9/24) on the 2nd serve. Watanuki broke O Connell 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yousuke started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Watanuki has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (188-118). 12-5 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Watanuki has a compiled115-66 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Japanese’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger and the Monterrey Challenger.
The Japanese has a compiled 12-5 win-loss record in 2023, 12-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Watanuki has never competed in this tournament before.
Benoit Paire
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 11-30 | 6-12 | 0-9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-38 | 13-12 | 27-17 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 16-31 | 7-13 | 6-14 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-32 | 6-12 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 170, Benoit got to the 1st round after defeating Gijs Brouwer 6-2 6-4 and Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-4 4-6 7-5.
In the qualifications, The French player defeated Kokkinakis (6-4 4-6 7-5). During the match Paire scored 100 points vs Kokkinakis’s 97. Paire was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.
About the serving games, Paire overpowered his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Benoit Paire lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Paire put 66% of his first serves in, winning 84% (53/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Paire broke Kokkinakis twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paire started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Puerto Vallarta Challenger where he beat Yuta Shimizu in the final 3-6 6-0 6-2.
Paire has a composed 12-9 win-loss record in 2023, 11-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2016, 2017 and 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Watanuki | Paire |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 50 |
| Pts | 158-127 | 171-154 |
| Total Points | 285 | 325 |
| Winners | 57 | 74 |
| %Winners | 36% | 43% |
Both Watanuki and Paire played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Yosuke Watanuki dropped 1 set, while Benoit Paire conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Watanuki and Paire have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Watanuki played 6 games less than Paire. Yousuke scored 57 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Benoit made 74 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Watanuki | Paire |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 9.5 | 12.5 |
| 1st in | 70/133 | 89/157 |
| %1st in | 53% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 57/70 | 74/89 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 30/63 | 34/68 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 50% |
Watanuki recorded 19 aces (9.5 per match). Paire managed to score 25 aces (12.5 per match). Watanuki won 81% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Paire won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Watanuki | Paire |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 6 |
| Converted | 9/22 | 6/15 |
| % Converted | 41% | 40% |
| Conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Saved | 4 | 11 |
| % Saved | 50% | 85% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Watanuki broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Japanese surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Paire conceded his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.
| Watanuki | ||||
| Q1 Blockx |
Q3 O |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-0 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 20 | 44 | |
| pts | 86-63 | 72-64 | 158-127 | |
| Total points | 149 | 136 | 285 | |
| Winners | 29 | 28 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 39% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 13 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 36/75 | 34/58 | 70/133 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 59% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 29/36 | 28/34 | 57/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 82% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/39 | 9/24 | 30/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 38% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/13 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 31% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 0/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 0% | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Paire | ||||
| Q1 Brouwer |
Q3 Kokkinakis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 4-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 32 | 50 | |
| pts | 71-57 | 100-97 | 171-154 | |
| Total points | 128 | 197 | 325 | |
| Winners | 21 | 53 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 53% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 20 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 26/62 | 63/95 | 89/157 | |
| % 1st in | 42% | 66% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 53/63 | 74/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 84% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/36 | 14/32 | 34/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 44% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 2/6 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 33% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 7/8 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 88% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWLLLWL
LLLLLLLWWL Tennis Scores in Miami
- Guido PellaPella – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (1-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Mikael YmerYmer (7-65 4-4 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Laslo DjereDjere – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-2 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-4 5-7 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Andy MurrayMurray (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jeff WolfWolf – Alexander BublikBublik (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Facundo BagnisBagnis – Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves (6-3 1-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Emilio NavaNava – John IsnerIsner (7-65 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Pedro CachinCachin (6-4 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (6-74 7-62 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taro DanielDaniel – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (4-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Gael MonfilsMonfils (3-3 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yibing WuWu – Kyle EdmundEdmund (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Oscar OtteOtte (7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Richard GasquetGasquet – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Guido PellaPella – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Maxime CressyCressy (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico CoriaCoria – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Christian GarinGarin (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Taro DanielDaniel – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gregoire BarrereBarrere – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (5-2) – H2H and prediction
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Zizou BergsBergs (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Denis KudlaKudla (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Quentin HalysHalys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Emilio NavaNava (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Dominic ThiemThiem (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Benoit PairePaire (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Tommy PaulPaul (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jeff WolfWolf – Andrey RublevRublev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Laslo DjereDjere (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Facundo BagnisBagnis (3-0) – H2H and prediction
