Hugo Gaston and Thiago Seyboth Wild will clash against each other in the final of the Vina del Mar Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Gaston who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hugo Gaston is the pick to win this match.
Hugo Gaston -> 1.75
Thiago Seyboth Wild -> 2.02
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Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Thiago Seyboth Wild
This will be the 2nd time that Hugo Gaston and Thiago Seyboth Wild clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Seyboth (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Seyboth won 6-4 6-2 in the final in M25 Montauban back in 2019.
Hugo Gaston
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-20 | 5-6 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 6-5 | 30-18 | 8-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 16-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-30 | 2-3 | 32-16 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-15 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 106, the French player got to the final after defeating Gonzalo Lama 6-1 6-4, Federico Gaio 6-4 ret., Riccardo Bonadio 6-2 5-7 6-3 and Andrea Vavassori 7-61 6-2.
In the semifinal, Gaston had a good straight sets win against Vavassori (7-61 6-2). During the match, Gaston scored 75 points vs Vavassori’s 57. Hugo was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gaston scored 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Hugo Gaston lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Gaston put 56% of his first serves in, winning 69% (29/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (20/33) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Vavassori 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Hugo has dropped 1 set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.
Gaston has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (177-127). 10-5 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Gaston has a compiled96-55 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Gaston’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Vina del Mar Challenger.
Gaston has a composed 12-7 win-loss record in 2023, 10-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Vina del Mar Challenger
Gaston has never competed in this tournament before.
Thiago Seyboth Wild
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-18 | 9-7 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-23 | 1-1 | 56-16 | 2-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-27 | 3-5 | 18-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-32 | 7-6 | 18-23 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-13 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 400, Seyboth reached the final after defeating Lautaro Midon 7-5 6-2, Orlando Luz 6-1 4-6 6-4, Andrea Pellegrino 3-6 6-4 6-3 and Tomas Barrios Vera 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Tomas Barrios Vera (6-3 6-4). During the match Seyboth scored 71 points vs Tomas Barrios Vera’s 55. Thiago was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Seyboth fired 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Thiago Seyboth Wild lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Seyboth put 67% of his first serves in, winning 79% (33/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (9/21) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian broke Tomas Barrios Vera 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brazilian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Seyboth’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Santiago Challenger.
Seyboth has an overall 21-7 win-loss record in 2023, 21-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gaston | Seyboth |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 77 | 94 |
| Pts | 263-199 | 347-296 |
| Total Points | 462 | 643 |
| Winners | 100 | 140 |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% |
Both Gaston and Seyboth played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hugo Gaston surrendered 1 set, while Thiago Seyboth Wild lost 2 sets. Gaston has played 1 set(s) less than Seyboth (9 vs 10). Therefore, Gaston played 17 games less than Seyboth. Gaston scored 100 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Thiago bagged 140 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gaston | Seyboth |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 129/239 | 207/307 |
| %1st in | 54% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 100/129 | 140/207 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 61/110 | 52/100 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 52% |
Gaston struck 16 aces (4 per match). Seyboth struck 13 aces (3.3 per match). Gaston won 78% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Seyboth won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gaston | Seyboth |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 17 |
| Converted | 14/25 | 17/39 |
| % Converted | 56% | 44% |
| Conceded | 17 | 17 |
| Saved | 11 | 8 |
| % Saved | 65% | 47% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 9 |
Hugo broke his opponents 14 times with a 56% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponents 17 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gaston | ||||||
| R1 Lama |
R2 Gaio |
1/4 Bonadio |
1/2 Vavassori |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-4 ret. | 6-2 5-7 6-3 | 7-61 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 10 | 29 | 21 | 77 | |
| pts | 61-41 | 34-27 | 93-74 | 75-57 | 263-199 | |
| Total points | 102 | 61 | 167 | 132 | 462 | |
| Winners | 22 | 11 | 38 | 29 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 32% | 41% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 25/48 | 15/30 | 47/86 | 42/75 | 129/239 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 50% | 55% | 56% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 22/25 | 11/15 | 38/47 | 29/42 | 100/129 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 73% | 81% | 69% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/23 | 8/15 | 19/39 | 20/33 | 61/110 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 53% | 49% | 61% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/5 | 5/10 | 4/5 | 14/25 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 40% | 50% | 80% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 17 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/1 | 6/9 | 5/7 | 11 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | 67% | 71% | 35% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| Seyboth | ||||||
| R1 Midon |
R2 Luz |
1/4 Pellegrino |
1/2 Tomas Barrios Vera |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | 6-1 4-6 6-4 | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 27 | 28 | 19 | 94 | |
| pts | 73-59 | 99-87 | 104-95 | 71-55 | 347-296 | |
| Total points | 132 | 186 | 199 | 126 | 643 | |
| Winners | 27 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 140 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 40% | 38% | 46% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 48/71 | 57/83 | 60/90 | 42/63 | 207/307 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 69% | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 27/48 | 40/57 | 40/60 | 33/42 | 140/207 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 70% | 67% | 79% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 14/26 | 14/30 | 9/21 | 52/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 54% | 47% | 43% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/12 | 5/9 | 3/11 | 17/39 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 33% | 56% | 27% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 2/4 | 3/7 | 2/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 50% | 43% | 67% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Hugo GastonGaston (1-0) – H2H and prediction
