Alexander Bublik and Jan-Lennard Struff will clash against each other in the quarter of the Phoenix Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jan-Lennard Struff who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jan-Lennard Struff is the pick to win this match.
Jan-Lennard Struff -> 1.88
Alexander Bublik -> 1.88
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Jan-Lennard Struff
This will be the 3rd time that Alexander Bublik and Jan-Lennard Struff square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Struff (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Struff won 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in St petersburg back in 2021.
Highlights Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik – St petersburg 27-October-2021
Alexander Bublik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-15 | 9-6 | 5-5 | 5-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-17 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 46, Bublik reached the quarter after defeating Denis Kudla 7-69 4-6 6-2 and Zhizhen Zhang 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Bublik had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-1 6-2). During the match, Bublik scored 59 points vs Zhang’s 36. Alexander was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bublik managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alexander Bublik was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (25/32) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Kazakhstani broke Zhang 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bublik has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Bublik has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (304-219). 3-6 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Bublik has a composed 123-88 match record in the last years on hard.
Alexander’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Marseille.
The Kazakhstani has a composed 6-11 win-loss record in 2023, 3-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Phoenix Challenger
The Kazakhstani has never competed in this tournament before.
Jan-Lennard Struff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-13 | 4-6 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-24 | 21-9 | 14-7 | 5-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-22 | 3-10 | 7-4 | 12-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-30 | 8-11 | 11-8 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-15 | 10-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 134, Jan-Lennard got to the quarter after defeating Enzo Couacaud 6-4 6-3, Rinky Hijikata 7-65 6-1, Pavel Kotov 6-2 6-4 and Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Jan-Lennard had a good straight sets win against Kokkinakis (6-3 6-3). During the match Struff scored 60 points vs Kokkinakis’s 42. Jan-Lennard was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Struff managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jan-Lennard Struff was exceptionally effective on serve to win 83% (24/29) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The German broke Kokkinakis 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jan-Lennard started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Struff’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger and the Manama Challenger.
Struff has a composed 18-6 win-loss record in 2023, 16-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Phoenix Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bublik | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 75 |
| Pts | 169-140 | 283-221 |
| Total Points | 309 | 504 |
| Winners | 69 | 103 |
| %Winners | 41% | 36% |
Bublik played 2 matches while Struff competed in 4 matches. Struff started his run from the qualifications while Bublik had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Alexander Bublik conceded 1 set while Jan-Lennard Struff hasn’t dropped a set so far. Bublik has played 3 set(s) less than Struff (5 vs 8). Therefore, Bublik played 29 games less than Struff. Bublik scored 69 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Jan-Lennard fired 103 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bublik | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 89/157 | 128/247 |
| %1st in | 57% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 69/89 | 103/128 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 34/68 | 61/119 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 51% |
Bublik fired 14 aces (7 per match). Struff blasted 26 aces (6.5 per match). Bublik won 78% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Struff won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bublik | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 15 |
| Converted | 8/16 | 15/29 |
| % Converted | 50% | 52% |
| Conceded | 9 | 19 |
| Saved | 6 | 14 |
| % Saved | 67% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Bublik broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Jan-Lennard broke his opponents 15 times with a 52% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bublik | ||||
| R1 Kudla |
R2 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-69 4-6 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 15 | 46 | |
| pts | 110-104 | 59-36 | 169-140 | |
| Total points | 214 | 95 | 309 | |
| Winners | 44 | 25 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 9 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 4 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 57/101 | 32/56 | 89/157 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 44/57 | 25/32 | 69/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/44 | 14/24 | 34/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 58% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/5 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 80% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 4/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 100% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Struff | ||||||
| Q1 Couacaud |
Q3 Hijikata |
R1 Kotov |
R2 Kokkinakis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-65 6-1 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 75 | |
| pts | 78-65 | 78-61 | 67-53 | 60-42 | 283-221 | |
| Total points | 143 | 139 | 120 | 102 | 504 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | 25 | 24 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | 37% | 40% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 33/68 | 35/71 | 31/59 | 29/49 | 128/247 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | 53% | 59% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 27/35 | 25/31 | 24/29 | 103/128 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 77% | 81% | 83% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/35 | 19/36 | 14/28 | 13/20 | 61/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 53% | 50% | 65% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/8 | 4/5 | 3/6 | 15/29 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 50% | 80% | 50% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 19 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 7/9 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 78% | 67% | 100% | 156% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLWLWL
WWLWWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Phoenix Challenger
- Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Gregoire Barrere/Quentin HalysBarrere/Quentin Halys (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roberto Carballes Baena/Pedro Martinez PorteroCarballes Baena/Pedro Martinez Portero – Kevin Krawietz/Fabrice MartinKrawietz/Fabrice Martin (7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski – Hans Hach Verdugo/Denis KudlaHach Verdugo/Denis Kudla (6-0 4-6 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Alexander BublikBublik (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Quentin HalysHalys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
