H2H, prediction of Aryna Sabalenka vs Maria Sakkari in Indian Wells with odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Indian Wells. Sabalenka and Sakkari will play each other in the semifinal of the BNP Paribas Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Maria Sakkari

Aryna Sabalenka and Maria Sakkari will square off in the semifinal of the BNP Paribas Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.42
Maria Sakkari -> 2.875

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Maria Sakkari

This will be the 8th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Maria Sakkari square off. The head to head is 4-3 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 4-3 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Sakkari won 6-2 6-4 in the R in Fort Worth back in 2022.

Highlights Maria Sakkari vs Aryna Sabalenka – Fort Worth 02-November-2022

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
LWLWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 14-4 14-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Sabalenka got to the semifinal after beating Evgeniya Rodina 6-2 6-0, Lesya Tsurenko w/o, Barbora Krejcikova 6-3 2-6 6-4 and Cori Gauff 6-4 6-0.

In the quarter, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-4 6-0). During the match, Sabalenka scored 59 points vs Gauff’s 36. Sabalenka was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka scored 5 aces and she was very solid in conceding no double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was very efficient on serve to win 87% (26/30) of her 1st serve and 55% (6/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Belarussian broke Gauff 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 57% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 66% of her matches (279-141). 16-1 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an aggregate170-77 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Adelaide where she defeated Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she overcame Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4.

The Belarussian has an overall 16-1 win-loss record in 2023, 16-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Sabalenka
Indian Wells
Sabalenka's Record

Maria Sakkari

Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
9
High
3
LWWLWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 12-6 12-6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 38-25 26-17 5-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
2022 40-23 21-12 8-5 4-2 7-4 0-0
2021 38-20 23-13 9-4 5-2 1-1 0-0
2020 20-11 12-7 2-2 6-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 7, Sakkari got to the semifinal after beating Shelby Rogers 2-6 6-4 6-0, Anhelina Kalinina 3-6 6-2 6-4, Karolina Pliskova 6-4 5-7 6-3 and Petra Kvitova 4-6 7-5 6-1.

In the quarter against Kvitova, The Greek recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-1). During the match Sakkari scored 90 points vs Kvitova’s 88. Sakkari was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about serving, Sakkari made 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 59% of her first serves in, winning 73% (37/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. Sakkari broke Kvitova 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Greek has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.

The Greek’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Australia, Linz and Doha.

Sakkari has a composed 15-5 win-loss record in 2023, 12-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2022. See her history.

Sakkari
Indian Wells
Sakkari's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
M.Sakkari
4h:12
4h:12
Time on court​
!
9h:32
9h:32
1h:04
1h:04
Last match​
!
2h:15
2h:15
3
3
Match played
!
4
4
57
57
Games Played​
111
111
7
7
Set played​​
12
12
209
209
Total points​
386
386
69.7
69.7
Avg point​
96.5
96.5
89
89
Winners
141
141
29.7
29.7
Avg Winners​
35.3
35.3
43%
43%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
21
21
Aces
22
22
7
7
Avg Aces
5.5
5.5
6
6
Double Faults
25
25
2
2
Avg Double Faults
!
6.3
6.3
89/113
89/113
1st won total​
141/195
141/195
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
27/62
27/62
2nd won total​
63/160
63/160
44%
44%
2nd won %
!
39%
39%
-- Break Points --
12/31
12/31
BP won
23/57
23/57
4/10.3
4/10.3
Avg BP won
5.8/14.3
5.8/14.3
39%
39%
Won
40%
40%
8
8
Conceded
38
38
2.7
2.7
Avg Conceded
9.5
9.5
3
3
Broken
15
15
1
1
Avg Broken
3.8
3.8
5
5
Saved
23
23

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Sakkari
Match played 3 4
Tot Set 7 12
Tot Games 57 111
Pts 209-160 386-364
Total Points 369 750
Winners 89 141
%Winners 43% 37%

Sabalenka played 3 matches while Sakkari competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka conceded 1 set, while Maria Sakkari dropped 4 sets. Sabalenka has played 5 set(s) less than Sakkari (7 vs 12). Therefore, Sabalenka played 54 games less than Sakkari. Sabalenka scored 89 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Greek managed to score 141 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Sakkari
Aces 21 22
Avg per match 7 5.5
1st in 113/175 195/355
%1st in 65% 55%
1st pts 89/113 141/195
%1st pts 79% 72%
2nd pts 27/62 63/160
%2nd pts 44% 39%

Sabalenka blasted 21 aces (7 per match). Sakkari fired 22 aces (5.5 per match). Sabalenka won 79% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Sakkari won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 39% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Sakkari
Won 12 23
Converted 12/31 23/57
% Converted 39% 40%
Conceded 8 38
Saved 5 23
% Saved 63% 61%
Times Broken 3 15

Aryna broke her opponents 12 times with a 39% conversion rate. Sabalenka lost her serve 3 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. The Greek broke her opponents 23 times with a 40% conversion rate. Maria conceded her serve 15 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R2
Rodina
R3
Tsurenko
R4
Krejcikova
1/4
Gauff
Total
Score 6-2 6-0 w/o 6-3 2-6 6-4 6-4 6-0
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 14 27 16 57
pts 64-38 86-86 59-36 209-160
Total points 102 172 95 369
Winners 24 39 26 89
%Winners 38% 45% 44% 43%
SERVE
Aces 5 11 5 21
Double Faults 2 4 0 6
1st in 30/50 53/84 30/41 113/175
% 1st in 60% 63% 73% 65%
1st pts 24/30 39/53 26/30 89/113
% 1st pts 80% 74% 87% 79%
2nd pts 9/20 12/31 6/11 27/62
% 2nd pts 45% 39% 55% 44%
Breaks
Won 5 3 4 12
Converted 5/12 3/11 4/8 12/31
Converted % 42% 27% 50% 39%
Conceded 4 4 0 8
Saved 4/4 1/4 0/0 5
Saved % 100% 25% 31%
Times Broken 0 3 0 3
Sakkari
R2
Rogers
R3
Kalinina
R4
Pliskova
1/4
Kvitova
Total
Score 2-6 6-4 6-0 3-6 6-2 6-4 6-4 5-7 6-3 4-6 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 3 3 12
Tot Games 24 27 31 29 111
pts 81-71 97-93 118-112 90-88 386-364
Total points 152 190 230 178 750
Winners 29 35 40 37 141
%Winners 36% 36% 34% 41% 37%
SERVE
Aces 6 6 4 6 22
Double Faults 6 8 9 2 25
1st in 45/81 49/95 50/93 51/86 195/355
% 1st in 56% 52% 54% 59% 55%
1st pts 29/45 35/49 40/50 37/51 141/195
% 1st pts 64% 71% 80% 73% 72%
2nd pts 15/36 21/46 12/43 15/35 63/160
% 2nd pts 42% 46% 28% 43% 39%
Breaks
Won 6 5 7 5 23
Converted 6/8 5/11 7/29 5/9 23/57
Converted % 75% 45% 24% 56% 40%
Conceded 12 9 8 9 38
Saved 8/12 6/9 3/8 6/9 23
Saved % 67% 67% 38% 67% 60%
Times Broken 4 3 5 3 15

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Sabalenka
LWLWWLWWWW
Sakkari
LWWLWWWWWL
2024 2023 2022
14 - 4
12 - 6
14-4
Hard
12-6

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw