Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Andrea Vavassori will clash against each other in the quarter of the Vina del Mar Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on CANCHA CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrea Vavassori who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrea Vavassori is the pick to win this match.
Andrea Vavassori -> 1.69
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 2.11
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Andrea Vavassori
This will be the 2nd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Andrea Vavassori square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Vavassori (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Vavassori won 6-7(6) 6-1 7-6(4) in the qualifications in Cordoba back in February 2023.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-28 | 2-4 | 52-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 124, Camilo reached the quarter after defeating Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1-6 6-4 6-3 and Hernan Casanova 6-3 4-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Ugo Carabelli defeated Casanova (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 107 points vs Casanova’s 98. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ugo Carabelli struck 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 63% of his first serves in, winning 75% (44/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Casanova 4 times after converting 24% of his break points (4/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Camilo has surrendered 2 set in this event to win 51% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 64% of his matches (261-150). 14-8 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ugo Carabelli has an overall234-128 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Ugo Carabelli’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Piracicaba Challenger.
The Argentine has an overall 14-8 win-loss record in 2023, 14-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Vina del Mar Challenger
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
Andrea Vavassori
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-15 | 11-6 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-26 | 3-3 | 28-15 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 2-3 | 20-13 | 8-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 11-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 5-3 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 216, Vavassori got to the quarter after beating Wilson Leite 6-1 6-4 and Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Agustin Tirante (6-3 6-3). During the match Vavassori scored 67 points vs Agustin Tirante’s 53. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Vavassori couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Andrea Vavassori was very effective on serve to win 74% (29/39) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Vavassori broke Agustin Tirante 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andrea hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Andrea has a compiled 5-3 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Vavassori |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 35 |
| Pts | 197-187 | 129-93 |
| Total Points | 384 | 222 |
| Winners | 80 | 52 |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Vavassori played 2 matches. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli conceded 2 sets while Andrea Vavassori hasn’t lost a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 2 sets more than Vavassori (6 vs 4). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 19 games more than Vavassori. Camilo scored 80 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Andrea recorded 52 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Vavassori |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 121/193 | 67/106 |
| %1st in | 63% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 80/121 | 52/67 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 32/72 | 23/39 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 59% |
Ugo Carabelli recorded 7 aces (3.5 per match). Vavassori managed to score 1 ace (0.5 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 66% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Vavassori won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Vavassori |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 7 |
| Converted | 10/29 | 7/15 |
| % Converted | 34% | 47% |
| Conceded | 20 | 6 |
| Saved | 12 | 5 |
| % Saved | 60% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 1 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 10 times with a 34% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | ||||
| R1 Alberto Olivieri |
R2 Casanova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 28 | 54 | |
| pts | 90-89 | 107-98 | 197-187 | |
| Total points | 179 | 205 | 384 | |
| Winners | 36 | 44 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 62/100 | 59/93 | 121/193 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 36/62 | 44/59 | 80/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 75% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 15/34 | 32/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 4/17 | 10/29 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 24% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 8 | 20 | |
| Saved | 6/12 | 6/8 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Vavassori | ||||
| R1 Leite |
R2 Agustin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 | 35 | |
| pts | 62-40 | 67-53 | 129-93 | |
| Total points | 102 | 120 | 222 | |
| Winners | 23 | 29 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 28/48 | 39/58 | 67/106 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 67% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 29/39 | 52/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 74% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 11/19 | 23/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 58% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/7 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 4/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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