Carlos Alcaraz and Felix Auger-Aliassime will play each other in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.49
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
This will be the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Felix Auger-Aliassime face off. The head to head is 3-0 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Auger-Aliassime won 6-3 6-2 in the semifinal in Basel back in 2022.
Highlights Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Carlos Alcaraz – Basel 29-October-2022
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52-11 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 5-1 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard reached the quarter after beating Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-3 6-3, Tallon Griekspoor 7-64 6-3 and Jack Draper 6-2 2-0 ret..
In the 4th round against Draper, Carlos had a free pass after Draper retired on a 6-2 2-0 . scoreline.
Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 6 years having won 77% of his matches (179-52). 3-0 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a composed52-14 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Buenos Aires where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5.
Alcaraz has a compiled 11-1 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Felix Auger-Aliassime
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-24 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-19 | 8-8 | 1-3 | 14-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Felix got to the quarter after beating Pedro Martinez Portero 7-65 6-4, Francisco Cerundolo 7-5 6-4 and Tommy Paul 3-6 6-3 7-66.
In the 4th round against Paul, Felix recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-66). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 102 points vs Paul’s 98. Auger-Aliassime was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Auger-Aliassime recorded 12 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Felix Auger-Aliassime was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (43/55) of his 1st serve and 53% (21/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Felix broke Paul twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Canadian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Felix’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Doha.
The Canadian has a composed 11-5 win-loss record in 2023, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 76 |
| Pts | 178-127 | 271-249 |
| Total Points | 305 | 520 |
| Winners | 72 | 101 |
| %Winners | 40% | 37% |
Both Alcaraz and Auger-Aliassime played 3 matches. At the moment, Felix Auger-Aliassime dropped 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t lost a set so far. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Auger-Aliassime have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Alcaraz played 26 games less than Auger-Aliassime. The Spaniard scored 72 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian blasted 101 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 9.3 |
| 1st in | 92/143 | 129/246 |
| %1st in | 64% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 72/92 | 101/129 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 39/51 | 62/117 |
| %2nd pts | 76% | 53% |
Alcaraz bagged 4 aces (1.3 per match). Auger-Aliassime recorded 28 aces (9.3 per match). Alcaraz won 78% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 76% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 8 |
| Converted | 7/18 | 8/33 |
| % Converted | 39% | 24% |
| Conceded | 5 | 17 |
| Saved | 5 | 12 |
| % Saved | 100% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Carlos broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Spaniard quite strong on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 5 break points. The Canadian broke his opponents 8 times with a 24% conversion rate. Auger-Aliassime conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||
| R2 Kokkinakis | R3 Griekspoor | R4 Draper | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 7-64 6-3 | 6-2 2-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 | 10 | 50 | |
| pts | 61-42 | 76-65 | 41-20 | 178-127 | |
| Total points | 103 | 141 | 61 | 305 | |
| Winners | 23 | 33 | 16 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 28/44 | 44/72 | 20/27 | 92/143 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 61% | 74% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 33/44 | 16/20 | 72/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 75% | 80% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/16 | 19/28 | 6/7 | 39/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 88% | 68% | 86% | 76% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 1/4 | 3/5 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 25% | 60% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 100% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Auger-Aliassime | |||||
| R2 Martinez Portero | R3 Cerundolo | R4 Paul | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-4 | 7-5 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 22 | 31 | 76 | |
| pts | 92-82 | 77-69 | 102-98 | 271-249 | |
| Total points | 174 | 146 | 200 | 520 | |
| Winners | 27 | 31 | 43 | 101 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 40% | 42% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 6 | 12 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 8 | 7 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 33/68 | 41/83 | 55/95 | 129/246 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | 58% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 31/41 | 43/55 | 101/129 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 76% | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/35 | 21/42 | 21/40 | 62/117 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 50% | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/17 | 4/8 | 2/8 | 8/33 | |
| Converted % | 12% | 50% | 25% | 24% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 7 | 9 | 17 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 5/7 | 7/9 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 71% | 78% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-3) – H2H and prediction