Cameron Norrie and Frances Tiafoe will square off in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cameron Norrie who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cameron Norrie is the pick to win this match.
Cameron Norrie -> 1.64
Frances Tiafoe -> 2.26

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Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Frances Tiafoe

This will be the 2nd time that Cameron Norrie and Frances Tiafoe clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Norrie (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Norrie won 6-0 3-6 6-4 in the quarter in Delray beach back in 2021.

Cameron Norrie

Cameron Norrie

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
27
High
8
LWWWWLWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-29 11-15 14-7 10-4 4-3 0-0
2024 24-21 7-4 8-8 6-5 3-4 0-0
2023 36-25 14-12 18-7 1-4 3-2 0-0
2022 49-26 26-11 11-5 6-7 6-3 0-0
2021 56-25 25-11 16-5 9-7 6-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 12, the Brit reached the quarter after beating Tung-Lin Wu 6-2 6-4, Taro Daniel 6-75 7-5 6-2 and Andrey Rublev 6-2 6-4.

In the 4th round, Cameron had a good straight sets win against Rublev (6-2 6-4). During the match, Norrie scored 60 points vs Rublev’s 47. The Brit was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Norrie bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Cameron Norrie lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Norrie put 60% of his first serves in, winning 79% (26/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (9/22) on the 2nd serve. The Brit was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Rublev 5 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Norrie has lost 1 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

Norrie has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (319-176). 11-2 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Norrie has an aggregate 206-86 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Rio de Janeiro where he overcame Carlos Alcaraz in the final 5-7 6-4 7-5.

Norrie has a compiled 21-3 win-loss record in 2023, 11-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Norrie's Record

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
30
High
10
LLLLLWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-23 13-13 11-7 1-1 1-2 0-0
2024 33-27 21-13 5-6 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 40-21 21-10 8-4 4-5 7-2 0-0
2022 35-25 19-11 8-6 5-5 3-3 0-0
2021 42-27 19-13 4-7 10-4 9-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 16, the American reached the quarter after beating Marcos Giron 6-2 6-2, Jason Murray Kubler 6-3 6-2 and Alejandro Tabilo 6-4 6-4.

In the 4th round, Tiafoe had a good straight sets win against Tabilo (6-4 6-4). During the match Tiafoe scored 67 points vs Tabilo’s 58. Tiafoe was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Tiafoe fired 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Frances Tiafoe lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Tiafoe put 61% of his first serves in, winning 77% (33/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. The American was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Tabilo 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Australia where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-2 0-0 ret..

Tiafoe has a composed 13-3 win-loss record in 2023, 12-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021 and 2022. See his history.

Indian Wells
Tiafoe's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Norrie
F.Tiafoe
5h:12
5h:12
Time on court​
3h:37
3h:37
1h:18
1h:18
Last match​
1h:21
1h:21
3
3
Match played
3
3
69
69
Games Played​
53
53
7
7
Set played​​
6
6
235
235
Total points​
183
183
78.3
78.3
Avg point​
61
61
102
102
Winners
88
88
34
34
Avg Winners​
29.3
29.3
43%
43%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
19
19
5.7
5.7
Avg Aces
6.3
6.3
5
5
Double Faults
5
5
1.7
1.7
Avg Double Faults
1.7
1.7
102/132
102/132
1st won total​
88/111
88/111
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
33/72
33/72
2nd won total​
33/61
33/61
46%
46%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
16/23
16/23
BP won
10/18
10/18
5.3/7.7
5.3/7.7
Avg BP won
3.3/6
3.3/6
!
70%
70%
Won
!
56%
56%
14
14
Conceded
7
7
4.7
4.7
Avg Conceded
2.3
2.3
7
7
Broken
1
1
2.3
2.3
Avg Broken
!
0.3
0.3
7
7
Saved
6
6
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Norrie Tiafoe
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 6
Tot Games 69 53
Pts 235-177 183-137
Total Points 412 320
Winners 102 88
%Winners 43% 48%

Both Norrie and Tiafoe played 3 matches. At the moment, Cameron Norrie dropped 1 set while Frances Tiafoe hasn’t conceded a set so far. Norrie has played 1 set more than Tiafoe (7 vs 6). Therefore, Norrie played 16 games more than Tiafoe. Cameron scored 102 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The American made 88 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Norrie Tiafoe
Aces 17 19
Avg per match 5.7 6.3
1st in 132/204 111/172
%1st in 65% 65%
1st pts 102/132 88/111
%1st pts 77% 79%
2nd pts 33/72 33/61
%2nd pts 46% 54%

Norrie recorded 17 aces (5.7 per match). Tiafoe blasted 19 aces (6.3 per match). Norrie won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Norrie Tiafoe
Won 16 10
Converted 16/23 10/18
% Converted 70% 56%
Conceded 14 7
Saved 7 6
% Saved 50% 86%
Times Broken 7 1

Norrie broke his opponents 16 times with a 70% conversion rate. Norrie dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Francis broke his opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Tiafoe conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.

Norrie
R2
Wu		 R3
Daniel		 R4
Rublev		 Total
Score 6-2 6-4 6-75 7-5 6-2 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 18 33 18 69
pts 63-39 112-91 60-47 235-177
Total points 102 203 107 412
Winners 25 51 26 102
%Winners 40% 46% 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 4 11 2 17
Double Faults 2 1 2 5
1st in 31/51 68/98 33/55 132/204
% 1st in 61% 69% 60% 65%
1st pts 25/31 51/68 26/33 102/132
% 1st pts 81% 75% 79% 77%
2nd pts 12/20 12/30 9/22 33/72
% 2nd pts 60% 40% 41% 46%
Breaks
Won 4 7 5 16
Converted 4/8 7/10 5/5 16/23
Converted % 50% 70% 100% 70%
Conceded 4 5 5 14
Saved 3/4 1/5 3/5 7
Saved % 75% 20% 60% 52%
Times Broken 1 4 2 7
Tiafoe
R2
Giron		 R3
Murray Kubler		 R4
Tabilo		 Total
Score 6-2 6-2 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 16 17 20 53
pts 57-37 59-42 67-58 183-137
Total points 94 101 125 320
Winners 22 33 33 88
%Winners 39% 56% 49% 48%
SERVE
Aces 4 9 6 19
Double Faults 0 1 4 5
1st in 25/42 43/59 43/71 111/172
% 1st in 60% 73% 61% 65%
1st pts 22/25 33/43 33/43 88/111
% 1st pts 88% 77% 77% 79%
2nd pts 11/17 8/16 14/28 33/61
% 2nd pts 65% 50% 50% 54%
Breaks
Won 4 3 3 10
Converted 4/11 3/4 3/3 10/18
Converted % 36% 75% 100% 56%
Conceded 0 1 6 7
Saved 0/0 1/1 5/6 6
Saved % – 100% 83% 61%
Times Broken 0 0 1 1

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
  • Cameron NorrieNorrie – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-0) – H2H and prediction
  • Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-0) – H2H and prediction
  • Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-3) – H2H and prediction
Norrie
More Stats
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Tiafoe

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