Jannik Sinner and Stan Wawrinka will square off in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 8:00 pm on STADIUM 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.333
Stan Wawrinka -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Stan Wawrinka
This will be the 5th time that Jannik Sinner and Stan Wawrinka clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Sinner won 6-1 6-3 in the quarter in Rotterdam back in February 2023.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Stan Wawrinka – Rotterdam 17-February-2023
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-0 | 7-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Italian got to the 4th round after beating Richard Gasquet 6-3 7-62 and Adrian Mannarino 7-67 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Mannarino (7-67 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 73 points vs Mannarino’s 60. Sinner was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner bagged 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Jannik Sinner was extremely effective on serve to win 82% (27/33) of his 1st serve and 79% (22/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Mannarino once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jannik hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Sinner has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 69% of his matches (223-101). 7-2 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a composed77-36 match record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Montpellier where he defeated Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3.
Sinner has a compiled 14-3 win-loss record in 2023, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Stan Wawrinka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 7-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-20 | 1-5 | 5-10 | 5-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-24 | 8-6 | 11-8 | 8-9 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-15 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 100, the Swiss reached the 4th round after beating Aleksandar Vukic 6-4 1-6 6-1, Miomir Kecmanovic 7-68 6-4 and Holger Rune 6-2 6-75 7-5.
In the 3rd round, Wawrinka defeated Rune (6-2 6-75 7-5). During the match Wawrinka scored 118 points vs Rune’s 94. Wawrinka was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Wawrinka recorded 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Stan Wawrinka was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 74% (43/58) of his 1st serve and 61% (27/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Swiss broke Rune 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Wawrinka has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Stan has a composed 9-5 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2017. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 80 |
| Pts | 147-118 | 262-214 |
| Total Points | 265 | 476 |
| Winners | 58 | 102 |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% |
Sinner played 2 matches while Wawrinka competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Stan Wawrinka surrendered 2 sets while Jannik Sinner hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sinner has played 4 set(s) less than Wawrinka (4 vs 8). Therefore, Sinner played 35 games less than Wawrinka. Sinner scored 58 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Swiss managed to score 102 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 35 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 11.7 |
| 1st in | 68/127 | 126/230 |
| %1st in | 54% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 58/68 | 102/126 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 39/59 | 62/104 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 60% |
Sinner bagged 15 aces (7.5 per match). Wawrinka recorded 35 aces (11.7 per match). Sinner won 85% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Wawrinka won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 10 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 10/17 |
| % Converted | 50% | 59% |
| Conceded | 2 | 14 |
| Saved | 1 | 9 |
| % Saved | 50% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Jannik broke his opponents 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Wawrinka broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. The Swiss conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||
| R2 Gasquet |
R3 Mannarino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-62 | 7-67 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 23 | 45 | |
| pts | 74-58 | 73-60 | 147-118 | |
| Total points | 132 | 133 | 265 | |
| Winners | 31 | 27 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 37% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 6 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 35/66 | 33/61 | 68/127 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 31/35 | 27/33 | 58/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 82% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 22/28 | 39/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 79% | 66% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 1/2 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wawrinka | |||||
| R1 Vukic |
R2 Kecmanovic |
R3 Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 1-6 6-1 | 7-68 6-4 | 6-2 6-75 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 23 | 33 | 80 | |
| pts | 64-57 | 80-63 | 118-94 | 262-214 | |
| Total points | 121 | 143 | 212 | 476 | |
| Winners | 29 | 30 | 43 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 38% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 13 | 12 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 34/63 | 34/65 | 58/102 | 126/230 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 52% | 57% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 29/34 | 30/34 | 43/58 | 102/126 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 88% | 74% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 19/31 | 27/44 | 62/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 61% | 61% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 2/5 | 5/8 | 10/17 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 40% | 63% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/2 | 6/8 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 75% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWW
LWWWWLLLWL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Jack DraperDraper – Andy MurrayMurray (7-66 6-2) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-67 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Holger RuneRune (6-2 6-75 7-5) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (4-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Taro DanielDaniel (6-75 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (7-5 1-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Andy MurrayMurray (7-6(6) 6-2) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-6(7) 6-4) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Holger RuneRune (6-2 6-7(5) 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-6) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Christian GarinGarin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Jack DraperDraper (1-0) – H2H and prediction
