Felix Auger-Aliassime and Tommy Paul will fight against each other in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 8:00 pm on STADIUM 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger-Aliassime who should win in 3 sets.
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 1.89
Tommy Paul -> 1.909
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Prediction and head to head Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Tommy Paul
There is no head to head record between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Tommy Paul since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 50-25 | 24-10 | 3-6 | 17-5 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-24 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, the Canadian reached the 4th round after beating Pedro Martinez Portero 7-65 6-4 and Francisco Cerundolo 7-5 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Cerundolo (7-5 6-4). During the match, Auger-Aliassime scored 77 points vs Cerundolo’s 69. Auger-Aliassime was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Auger-Aliassime scored 6 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Auger-Aliassime put 49% of his first serves in, winning 76% (31/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (21/42) on the 2nd serve. Auger-Aliassime broke Cerundolo 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Canadian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Auger-Aliassime has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (294-164). 8-4 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Auger-Aliassime has a compiled96-64 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Felix’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Doha.
Felix has an overall 10-5 win-loss record in 2023, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-13 | 13-6 | 12-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, the American reached the 4th round after beating Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3 6-3 and Hubert Hurkacz 4-6 6-2 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Hurkacz, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-4). During the match Paul scored 89 points vs Hurkacz’s 79. Paul was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.
About the serving games, Paul fired 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Tommy Paul lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 67% of his first serves in, winning 81% (47/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (12/29) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Hurkacz 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paul has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Acapulco.
The American has an overall 14-4 win-loss record in 2023, 13-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Auger-Aliassime | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 46 |
| Pts | 169-151 | 156-128 |
| Total Points | 320 | 284 |
| Winners | 58 | 71 |
| %Winners | 34% | 46% |
Both Auger-Aliassime and Paul played 2 matches. At the moment, Tommy Paul surrendered 1 set while Felix Auger-Aliassime hasn’t lost a set so far. Auger-Aliassime has played 1 set(s) less than Paul (4 vs 5). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 1 game less than Paul. Auger-Aliassime scored 58 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Paul scored 71 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Auger-Aliassime | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 6 |
| 1st in | 74/151 | 95/139 |
| %1st in | 49% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 58/74 | 71/95 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 41/77 | 25/44 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 57% |
Auger-Aliassime bagged 16 aces (8 per match). Paul bagged 12 aces (6 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 78% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Auger-Aliassime | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 8 |
| Converted | 6/25 | 8/22 |
| % Converted | 24% | 36% |
| Conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Saved | 5 | 9 |
| % Saved | 63% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Auger-Aliassime broke his opponents 6 times with a 24% conversion rate. The Canadian dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Tommy broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Paul conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Auger-Aliassime | ||||
| R2 Martinez Portero | R3 Cerundolo | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-4 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 22 | 45 | |
| pts | 92-82 | 77-69 | 169-151 | |
| Total points | 174 | 146 | 320 | |
| Winners | 27 | 31 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 40% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 6 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 8 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 33/68 | 41/83 | 74/151 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 31/41 | 58/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 76% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/35 | 21/42 | 41/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 50% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/17 | 4/8 | 6/25 | |
| Converted % | 12% | 50% | 24% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 7 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 71% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Paul | ||||
| R2 Struff | R3 Hurkacz | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 28 | 46 | |
| pts | 67-49 | 89-79 | 156-128 | |
| Total points | 116 | 168 | 284 | |
| Winners | 24 | 47 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 53% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 37/52 | 58/87 | 95/139 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 67% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 24/37 | 47/58 | 71/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 81% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/15 | 12/29 | 25/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 87% | 41% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/10 | 8/22 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 40% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 6/8 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Holger RuneRune (6-2 6-75 7-5) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (4-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Andy MurrayMurray (7-66 6-2) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-67 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Taro DanielDaniel (6-75 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (7-5 1-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Andy MurrayMurray (7-6(6) 6-2) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-6(7) 6-4) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Holger RuneRune (6-2 6-7(5) 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-6) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Christian GarinGarin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Jack DraperDraper (1-0) – H2H and prediction