Maria Sakkari and Karolina Pliskova will face off in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Pliskova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karolina Pliskova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Pliskova -> 1.81
Maria Sakkari -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Karolina Pliskova
This will be the 6th time that Maria Sakkari and Karolina Pliskova clash against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Pliskova (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Pliskova won 6-1 6-2 in the 2nd round in Dubai back in February 2023.
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-16 | 12-7 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Maria reached the 4th round after beating Shelby Rogers 2-6 6-4 6-0 and Anhelina Kalinina 3-6 6-2 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Kalinina, Maria recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-4). During the match, Sakkari scored 97 points vs Kalinina’s 93. Sakkari was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sakkari blasted 6 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 52% of her first serves in, winning 71% (35/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (21/46) on the 2nd serve. Maria broke Kalinina 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sakkari has dropped 2 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points she played.
Sakkari has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (354-213). 10-4 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sakkari has a compiled 166-106 match record in the last years on hard.
Maria’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Australia, Linz and Doha.
Sakkari has a composed 13-5 win-loss record in 2023, 10-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Karolina Pliskova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-16 | 10-10 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-19 | 19-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-21 | 12-9 | 6-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-19 | 23-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-8 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Karolina got to the 4th round after beating Anna Kalinskaya 2-6 6-0 6-4 and Veronika Kudermetova 6-1 7-5.
In the 3rd round, Pliskova had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (6-1 7-5). During the match Pliskova scored 63 points vs Kudermetova’s 49. The Czech was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Pliskova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 6 double faults. Karolina Pliskova lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Pliskova put 59% of her first serves in, winning 77% (27/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (10/24) on the 2nd serve. Karolina broke Kudermetova 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Czech has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Karolina has a compiled 15-5 win-loss record in 2023, 15-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2016 and 2017. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakkari | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 43 |
| Pts | 178-164 | 150-123 |
| Total Points | 342 | 273 |
| Winners | 64 | 65 |
| %Winners | 36% | 43% |
Both Sakkari and Pliskova played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Maria Sakkari lost 2 sets, while Karolina Pliskova conceded 1 set. Sakkari has played 1 set more than Pliskova (6 vs 5). Therefore, Sakkari played 8 games more than Pliskova. Sakkari scored 64 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Pliskova recorded 65 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakkari | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 5 |
| 1st in | 94/176 | 91/149 |
| %1st in | 53% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 64/94 | 65/91 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 36/82 | 21/58 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 36% |
Sakkari managed to score 12 aces (6 per match). Pliskova managed to score 10 aces (5 per match). Sakkari won 68% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Pliskova won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 36% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakkari | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 12 |
| Converted | 11/19 | 12/14 |
| % Converted | 58% | 86% |
| Conceded | 21 | 17 |
| Saved | 14 | 10 |
| % Saved | 67% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 |
The Greek broke her opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. Maria lost her serve 7 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Pliskova broke her opponents 12 times with a 86% conversion rate. The Czech conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sakkari | ||||
| R2 Rogers |
R3 Kalinina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-0 | 3-6 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 27 | 51 | |
| pts | 81-71 | 97-93 | 178-164 | |
| Total points | 152 | 190 | 342 | |
| Winners | 29 | 35 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 45/81 | 49/95 | 94/176 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 52% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 29/45 | 35/49 | 64/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 71% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/36 | 21/46 | 36/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 46% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 5/11 | 11/19 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 45% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 9 | 21 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 6/9 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Pliskova | ||||
| R2 Kalinskaya |
R3 Kudermetova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-0 6-4 | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 19 | 43 | |
| pts | 87-74 | 63-49 | 150-123 | |
| Total points | 161 | 112 | 273 | |
| Winners | 38 | 27 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 56/90 | 35/59 | 91/149 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 59% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 38/56 | 27/35 | 65/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 77% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/34 | 10/24 | 21/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 32% | 42% | 36% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 7/8 | 5/6 | 12/14 | |
| Converted % | 88% | 83% | 86% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 2 | 17 | |
| Saved | 10/15 | 0/2 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 0% | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLLL
LWLWLWLLLL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-1 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 6-75 6-1) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Bernarda PeraPera (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (6-3 7-61) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (w/o) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Xinyu WangWang (6-2 6-71 6-2) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-6 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Rebecca PetersonPeterson – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (6-3 7-6(1)) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-1 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Bernarda PeraPera (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 6-7(5) 6-1) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-6(5) 6-4) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Jessica PegulaPegula (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Rebecca PetersonPeterson (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-2) – H2H and prediction
