Aryna Sabalenka and Barbora Krejcikova will clash against each other in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.5
Barbora Krejcikova -> 2.59
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Barbora Krejcikova
This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Barbora Krejcikova fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Krejcikova won 0-6 7-6(2) 6-1 in the quarter in Dubai back in February 2023.
Highlights Barbora Krejcikova vs Aryna Sabalenka – Dubai 23-February-2023
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Aryna got to the 4th round after beating Evgeniya Rodina 6-2 6-0 and Lesya Tsurenko w/o.
In the 3rd round, Sabalenka defeated Tsurenko (w/o). During the match, Sabalenka and Tsurenko scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 2 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Sabalenka was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka couldn’t to score even 1 ace and she was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Aryna Sabalenka conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 66% of her matches (277-141). 14-1 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled168-77 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4.
The Belarussian has a composed 14-1 win-loss record in 2023, 14-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Barbora Krejcikova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-16 | 7-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-19 | 22-11 | 5-5 | 2-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-15 | 12-10 | 2-3 | 9-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-19 | 27-13 | 15-3 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-10 | 7-4 | 9-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, Krejcikova reached the 4th round after defeating Dayana Yastremska 6-1 6-2 and Xinyu Wang 6-2 6-71 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Barbora defeated Wang (6-2 6-71 6-2). During the match Krejcikova scored 103 points vs Wang’s 82. The Czech was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Krejcikova scored 6 aces and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Barbora Krejcikova lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Krejcikova put 59% of her first serves in, winning 86% (44/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (14/36) on the 2nd serve. Krejcikova broke Wang 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Czech has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Dubai where she defeated Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-2.
Krejcikova has a composed 13-4 win-loss record in 2023, 13-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Krejcikova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 44 |
| Pts | 64-38 | 161-118 |
| Total Points | 102 | 279 |
| Winners | 24 | 56 |
| %Winners | 38% | 35% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Krejcikova competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Barbora Krejcikova dropped 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 3 set(s) less than Krejcikova (2 vs 5). Therefore, Sabalenka played 30 games less than Krejcikova. Aryna scored 24 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Barbora scored 56 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Krejcikova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 30/50 | 68/131 |
| %1st in | 60% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 56/68 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 27/63 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 43% |
Sabalenka blasted 5 aces . Krejcikova bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Sabalenka won 80% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Krejcikova won 82% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Krejcikova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 13 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 13/24 |
| % Converted | 42% | 54% |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 |
| Saved | 4 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
The Belarussian broke her opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Sabalenka pretty solid on her serve as she has never dropped a single service game after saving 4 break points. Krejcikova broke her opponents 13 times with a 54% conversion rate. Barbora conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||
| R2 Rodina |
R3 Tsurenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | – | 14 | |
| pts | 64-38 | – | 64-38 | |
| Total points | 102 | – | 102 | |
| Winners | 24 | – | 24 | |
| %Winners | 38% | – | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | – | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | – | 2 | |
| 1st in | 30/50 | – | 30/50 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | – | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | – | 24/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | – | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | – | 9/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | – | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | – | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | – | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | – | 42% | |
| Conceded | 4 | – | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | – | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | – | 0 | |
| Krejcikova | ||||
| R2 Yastremska |
R3 Wang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-71 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 29 | 44 | |
| pts | 58-36 | 103-82 | 161-118 | |
| Total points | 94 | 185 | 279 | |
| Winners | 12 | 44 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 21% | 43% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 10 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 17/44 | 51/87 | 68/131 | |
| % 1st in | 39% | 59% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 12/17 | 44/51 | 56/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 86% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/27 | 14/36 | 27/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 39% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Converted | 7/12 | 6/12 | 13/24 | |
| Converted % | 58% | 50% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 2/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 50% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWW
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Bernarda PeraPera (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (6-3 7-61) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-1 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 6-75 6-1) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (w/o) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-6 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Rebecca PetersonPeterson – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Xinyu WangWang (6-2 6-71 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (6-3 7-6(1)) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-1 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Bernarda PeraPera (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 6-7(5) 6-1) – See score progression
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-6(5) 6-4) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Jessica PegulaPegula (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Rebecca PetersonPeterson (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-2) – H2H and prediction
