Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev will play each other in the 4th round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 13th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.285
Alexander Zverev -> 3.64

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Zverev

This will be the 13th time that Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev play each other. The head to head is 6-6 (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Zverev won 6-4 6-4 in the final in Nitto atp finals back in 2021.

Highlights Alexander Zverev vs Daniil Medvedev – Nitto atp finals 21-November-2021

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
13
High
1
LWWLWWWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-23 20-12 6-4 10-4 5-3 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 6, the Russian got to the 4th round after beating Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-3 and Ilya Ivashka 6-2 3-6 6-1.

In the 3rd round, The Russian defeated Ivashka (6-2 3-6 6-1). During the match, Medvedev scored 79 points vs Ivashka’s 65. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev fired 8 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 62% of his first serves in, winning 74% (35/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Ivashka 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Daniil has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a great record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (444-180). 16-2 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a compiled 197-64 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he defeated Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he overcame Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2.

The Russian has a compiled 21-2 win-loss record in 2023, 16-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Medvedev's Record

Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
3
High
2
WWLLWLWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 57-25 24-9 18-7 9-6 6-3 0-0
2024 69-21 29-10 23-6 11-3 6-2 0-0
2023 55-27 22-13 20-7 8-5 5-2 0-0
2022 29-10 9-4 17-5 3-1 0-0 0-0
2021 59-15 28-6 14-4 13-3 4-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 14, Zverev reached the 4th round after defeating Pedro Cachin 6-3 6-1 and Emil Ruusuvuori 7-5 1-6 7-5.

In the 3rd round, Alexander defeated Ruusuvuori (7-5 1-6 7-5).During the match Zverev scored less points (7) than Ruusuvuori. In fact, the world no. 6 won 94 points vs Ruusuvuori’s. That means that Zverev was more focused during the important points. Alexander was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about serving, Zverev managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alexander Zverev lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 61% of his first serves in, winning 66% (41/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (21/39) on the 2nd serve. Zverev broke Ruusuvuori 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alexander has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Alexander’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Dubai.

Zverev has an aggregate 8-7 win-loss record in 2023, 6-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.

Indian Wells
Zverev's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Medvedev
A.Zverev
3h:11
3h:11
Time on court​
3h:58
3h:58
1h:45
1h:45
Last match​
!
2h:40
2h:40
2
2
Match played
2
2
43
43
Games Played​
47
47
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
146
146
Total points​
159
159
73
73
Avg point​
79.5
79.5
59
59
Winners
64
64
29.5
29.5
Avg Winners​
32
32
40%
40%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
15
15
7
7
Avg Aces
7.5
7.5
8
8
Double Faults
2
2
4
4
Avg Double Faults
1
1
59/80
59/80
1st won total​
64/90
64/90
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
30/52
30/52
2nd won total​
33/59
33/59
58%
58%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
8/20
8/20
BP won
8/19
8/19
4/10
4/10
Avg BP won
4/9.5
4/9.5
40%
40%
Won
42%
42%
13
13
Conceded
15
15
6.5
6.5
Avg Conceded
7.5
7.5
2
2
Broken
4
4
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
11
11
Saved
11
11
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Zverev
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 43 47
Pts 146-115 159-142
Total Points 261 301
Winners 59 64
%Winners 40% 40%

Both Medvedev and Zverev played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev lost 1 set, while Alexander Zverev lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Medvedev and Zverev have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Medvedev played 4 games less than Zverev. Medvedev scored 59 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The German struck 64 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Zverev
Aces 14 15
Avg per match 7 7.5
1st in 80/132 90/149
%1st in 61% 60%
1st pts 59/80 64/90
%1st pts 74% 71%
2nd pts 30/52 33/59
%2nd pts 58% 56%

Medvedev made 14 aces (7 per match). Zverev scored 15 aces (7.5 per match). Medvedev won 74% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Zverev won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Zverev
Won 8 8
Converted 8/20 8/19
% Converted 40% 42%
Conceded 13 15
Saved 11 11
% Saved 85% 73%
Times Broken 2 4

The Russian broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Daniil dropped his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded. The German broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Alexander conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R2
Nakashima		 R3
Ivashka		 Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-1
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 19 24 43
pts 67-50 79-65 146-115
Total points 117 144 261
Winners 24 35 59
%Winners 36% 44% 40%
SERVE
Aces 6 8 14
Double Faults 2 6 8
1st in 33/56 47/76 80/132
% 1st in 59% 62% 61%
1st pts 24/33 35/47 59/80
% 1st pts 73% 74% 74%
2nd pts 16/23 14/29 30/52
% 2nd pts 70% 48% 58%
Breaks
Won 3 5 8
Converted 3/7 5/13 8/20
Converted % 43% 38% 40%
Conceded 6 7 13
Saved 6/6 5/7 11
Saved % 100% 71% 86%
Times Broken 0 2 2
Zverev
R2
Cachin		 R3
Ruusuvuori		 Total
Score 6-3 6-1 7-5 1-6 7-5
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 16 31 47
pts 65-41 94-101 159-142
Total points 106 195 301
Winners 23 41 64
%Winners 35% 44% 40%
SERVE
Aces 7 8 15
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 28/48 62/101 90/149
% 1st in 58% 61% 60%
1st pts 23/28 41/62 64/90
% 1st pts 82% 66% 71%
2nd pts 12/20 21/39 33/59
% 2nd pts 60% 54% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/6 4/13 8/19
Converted % 67% 31% 42%
Conceded 2 13 15
Saved 2/2 9/13 11
Saved % 100% 69% 85%
Times Broken 0 4 4

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw

Medvedev
More Stats
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Zverev

Click for FULL STATS