Elena Rybakina and Paula Badosa Gibert will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.4
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 2.96
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Paula Badosa Gibert
This will be the 6th time that Elena Rybakina and Paula Badosa Gibert clash against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Badosa won 6-2 3-6 6-4 in the Rubber 2 in Billie Jean King Cup, Finals back in 2022.
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 1-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10 (career-high), Rybakina got to the 3rd round after beating Sofia Kenin 7-66 7-65.
In the 2nd round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Kenin (7-66 7-65). During the match, Rybakina scored 90 points vs Kenin’s 80. Elena was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina bagged 6 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 55% of her first serves in, winning 80% (39/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (20/40) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Kenin twice after converting 33% of her break points (2/6).
Rybakina has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (253-121). 11-4 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has an overall107-59 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Kazakhstani’s best result of the year was reaching the final at the Australian Open .
The Kazakhstani has an aggregate 11-4 win-loss record in 2023, 11-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Paula Badosa Gibert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-18 | 26-11 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-9 | 7-6 | 6-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Paula reached the 3rd round after beating Nuria Parrizas-Diaz 6-2 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Paula had a good straight sets win against Parrizas-Diaz (6-2 7-5). During the match Badosa scored 74 points vs Parrizas-Diaz’s 60. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Badosa fired 5 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 50% of her first serves in, winning 68% (21/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the 2nd serve. Paula broke Parrizas-Diaz 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).
Paula’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal Adelaide.
Paula has an aggregate 5-2 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 20 |
| Pts | 90-80 | 74-60 |
| Total Points | 170 | 134 |
| Winners | 39 | 21 |
| %Winners | 43% | 28% |
Both Rybakina and Badosa played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rybakina and Badosa have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Rybakina played 6 games more than Badosa. The Kazakhstani scored 39 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa made 21 winners (28%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 5 |
| 1st in | 49/89 | 31/62 |
| %1st in | 55% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 39/49 | 21/31 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 20/40 | 16/31 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 52% |
Rybakina fired 6 aces . Badosa struck 5 aces . Rybakina won 80% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 6 |
| Converted | 2/6 | 6/13 |
| % Converted | 33% | 46% |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 |
| Saved | 5 | 3 |
| % Saved | 71% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Rybakina broke her opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. Rybakina conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. Badosa broke her opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||
| R2 Kenin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 90-80 | 90-80 | |
| Total points | 170 | 170 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 49/89 | 49/89 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 39/49 | 39/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/40 | 20/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/6 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Badosa | |||
| R2 Parrizas-Diaz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 74-60 | 74-60 | |
| Total points | 134 | 134 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 31/62 | 31/62 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 21/31 | 21/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 16/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWLLWWWW
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
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- Cori GauffGauff – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (3-6 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (3-6 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rebecca PetersonPeterson – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (3-6 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bernarda PeraPera – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Jessica PegulaPegula (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Rebecca PetersonPeterson (0-1) – H2H and prediction
