H2H, prediction of Jannik Sinner vs Adrian Mannarino in Indian Wells with odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Indian Wells. Sinner and Mannarino will play each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Adrian Mannarino

Jannik Sinner and Adrian Mannarino will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.119
Adrian Mannarino -> 6.3

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Adrian Mannarino

This will be the 3rd time that Jannik Sinner and Adrian Mannarino play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Sinner won 2-6 6-4 6-2 in the 2nd round in Montreal back in 2022.

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 7-0 7-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0

Ranked no. 13, the Italian reached the 3rd round after beating Richard Gasquet 6-3 7-62.

In the 2nd round, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Gasquet (6-3 7-62). During the match, Sinner scored 74 points vs Gasquet’s 58. Sinner was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jannik Sinner was pretty efficient on serve to win 89% (31/35) of his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sinner broke Gasquet twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Sinner has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 69% of his matches (222-101). 6-2 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has an overall76-36 record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Montpellier where he defeated Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3.

Jannik has an overall 13-3 win-loss record in 2023, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Sinner
Indian Wells
Sinner's Record

Adrian Mannarino

Adrian Mannarino
Adrian Mannarino

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
124
High
17
LLLLWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 7-18 2-9 5-6 0-3 0-0 0-0
2024 17-33 9-17 0-5 7-6 1-5 0-0
2023 44-29 15-13 2-8 15-4 12-4 0-0
2022 31-32 18-14 1-6 8-7 4-5 0-0
2021 14-26 5-7 0-7 5-8 4-4 0-0

Ranked no. 68, Adrian reached the 3rd round after defeating Dominic Thiem 4-6 6-4 7-65 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-4 6-4). During the match Mannarino scored 87 points vs Musetti’s 74. Adrian was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Mannarino bagged 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Adrian Mannarino lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Mannarino put 63% of his first serves in, winning 64% (38/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. Mannarino broke Musetti 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Adrian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Mannarino has an aggregate 9-7 win-loss record in 2023, 6-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2015. See his history.

Mannarino
Indian Wells
Mannarino's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Sinner
A.Mannarino
1h:34
1h:34
Time on court​
!
4h:59
4h:59
1h:34
1h:34
Last match​
!
2h:16
2h:16
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
22
22
Games Played​
53
53
2
2
Set played​​
5
5
74
74
Total points​
192
192
74
74
Avg point​
96
96
31
31
Winners
77
77
31
31
Avg Winners​
38.5
38.5
42%
42%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
6
6
9
9
Avg Aces
3
3
1
1
Double Faults
3
3
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
31/35
31/35
1st won total​
77/123
77/123
!
89%
89%
1st won %
63%
63%
17/31
17/31
2nd won total​
46/75
46/75
55%
55%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
2/4
2/4
BP won
8/14
8/14
2/4
2/4
Avg BP won
4/7
4/7
50%
50%
Won
!
57%
57%
2
2
Conceded
19
19
2
2
Avg Conceded
9.5
9.5
1
1
Broken
6
6
1
1
Avg Broken
3
3
1
1
Saved
13
13

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sinner Mannarino
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 22 53
Pts 74-58 192-171
Total Points 132 363
Winners 31 77
%Winners 42% 40%

Sinner played 1 match while Mannarino competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Adrian Mannarino lost 1 set while Jannik Sinner hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sinner has played 3 set(s) less than Mannarino (2 vs 5). Therefore, Sinner played 31 games less than Mannarino. Jannik scored 31 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The French player struck 77 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sinner Mannarino
Aces 9 6
Avg per match 9 3
1st in 35/66 123/198
%1st in 53% 62%
1st pts 31/35 77/123
%1st pts 89% 63%
2nd pts 17/31 46/75
%2nd pts 55% 61%

Sinner made 9 aces . Mannarino blasted 6 aces (3 per match). Sinner won 89% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sinner Mannarino
Won 2 8
Converted 2/4 8/14
% Converted 50% 57%
Conceded 2 19
Saved 1 13
% Saved 50% 68%
Times Broken 1 6

Jannik broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Jannik dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Mannarino broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
R2
Gasquet
Total
Score 6-3 7-62
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 22
pts 74-58 74-58
Total points 132 132
Winners 31 31
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 35/66 35/66
% 1st in 53% 53%
1st pts 31/35 31/35
% 1st pts 89% 89%
2nd pts 17/31 17/31
% 2nd pts 55% 55%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/4 2/4
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 1/2 1
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 1
Mannarino
R1
Thiem
R2
Musetti
Total
Score 4-6 6-4 7-65 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 33 20 53
pts 105-97 87-74 192-171
Total points 202 161 363
Winners 39 38 77
%Winners 37% 44% 40%
SERVE
Aces 3 3 6
Double Faults 2 1 3
1st in 64/105 59/93 123/198
% 1st in 61% 63% 62%
1st pts 39/64 38/59 77/123
% 1st pts 61% 64% 63%
2nd pts 30/41 16/34 46/75
% 2nd pts 73% 47% 61%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/6 4/8 8/14
Converted % 67% 50% 57%
Conceded 8 11 19
Saved 4/8 9/11 13
Saved % 50% 82% 132%
Times Broken 4 2 6

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Sinner
WWWWWWW
Mannarino
LLLLWWWLWL
2025 2024 2023
7 - 0
7 - 18
7-0
Hard
2-9
0-0
Clay
5-6

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw