
Jannik Sinner and Adrian Mannarino will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.119
Adrian Mannarino -> 6.3
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Adrian Mannarino
This will be the 3rd time that Jannik Sinner and Adrian Mannarino play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Sinner won 2-6 6-4 6-2 in the 2nd round in Montreal back in 2022.
Jannik Sinner
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 7-0 | 7-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Italian reached the 3rd round after beating Richard Gasquet 6-3 7-62.
In the 2nd round, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Gasquet (6-3 7-62). During the match, Sinner scored 74 points vs Gasquet’s 58. Sinner was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jannik Sinner was pretty efficient on serve to win 89% (31/35) of his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sinner broke Gasquet twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Sinner has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 69% of his matches (222-101). 6-2 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has an overall76-36 record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Montpellier where he defeated Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3.
Jannik has an overall 13-3 win-loss record in 2023, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Adrian Mannarino
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 7-18 | 2-9 | 5-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 68, Adrian reached the 3rd round after defeating Dominic Thiem 4-6 6-4 7-65 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-4 6-4). During the match Mannarino scored 87 points vs Musetti’s 74. Adrian was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Mannarino bagged 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Adrian Mannarino lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Mannarino put 63% of his first serves in, winning 64% (38/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. Mannarino broke Musetti 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Adrian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Mannarino has an aggregate 9-7 win-loss record in 2023, 6-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2015. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Sinner | Mannarino |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 2 |
Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
Tot Games | 22 | 53 |
Pts | 74-58 | 192-171 |
Total Points | 132 | 363 |
Winners | 31 | 77 |
%Winners | 42% | 40% |
Sinner played 1 match while Mannarino competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Adrian Mannarino lost 1 set while Jannik Sinner hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sinner has played 3 set(s) less than Mannarino (2 vs 5). Therefore, Sinner played 31 games less than Mannarino. Jannik scored 31 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The French player struck 77 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Sinner | Mannarino |
---|---|---|
Aces | 9 | 6 |
Avg per match | 9 | 3 |
1st in | 35/66 | 123/198 |
%1st in | 53% | 62% |
1st pts | 31/35 | 77/123 |
%1st pts | 89% | 63% |
2nd pts | 17/31 | 46/75 |
%2nd pts | 55% | 61% |
Sinner made 9 aces . Mannarino blasted 6 aces (3 per match). Sinner won 89% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Sinner | Mannarino |
---|---|---|
Won | 2 | 8 |
Converted | 2/4 | 8/14 |
% Converted | 50% | 57% |
Conceded | 2 | 19 |
Saved | 1 | 13 |
% Saved | 50% | 68% |
Times Broken | 1 | 6 |
Jannik broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Jannik dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Mannarino broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
Sinner | |||
R2 Gasquet |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 7-62 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
pts | 74-58 | 74-58 | |
Total points | 132 | 132 | |
Winners | 31 | 31 | |
%Winners | 42% | 42% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 9 | 9 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
1st in | 35/66 | 35/66 | |
% 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
1st pts | 31/35 | 31/35 | |
% 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
2nd pts | 17/31 | 17/31 | |
% 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 2 | 2 | |
Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Mannarino | ||||
R1 Thiem |
R2 Musetti |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 4-6 6-4 7-65 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Tot Games | 33 | 20 | 53 | |
pts | 105-97 | 87-74 | 192-171 | |
Total points | 202 | 161 | 363 | |
Winners | 39 | 38 | 77 | |
%Winners | 37% | 44% | 40% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
1st in | 64/105 | 59/93 | 123/198 | |
% 1st in | 61% | 63% | 62% | |
1st pts | 39/64 | 38/59 | 77/123 | |
% 1st pts | 61% | 64% | 63% | |
2nd pts | 30/41 | 16/34 | 46/75 | |
% 2nd pts | 73% | 47% | 61% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
Converted | 4/6 | 4/8 | 8/14 | |
Converted % | 67% | 50% | 57% | |
Conceded | 8 | 11 | 19 | |
Saved | 4/8 | 9/11 | 13 | |
Saved % | 50% | 82% | 132% | |
Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Head 2 Head



Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 1-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cristian GarinGarin – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (6-2 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (7-5 1-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Taro DanielDaniel (6-75 7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrey RublevRublev – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-6) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tommy PaulPaul (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Christian GarinGarin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Andy MurrayMurray (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (2-1) – H2H and prediction