Hubert Hurkacz and Tommy Paul will play each other in the 3^rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hubert Hurkacz who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Hubert Hurkacz is the pick to win this match.
Hubert Hurkacz -> 1.72
Tommy Paul -> 2.12

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Prediction and head to head Hubert Hurkacz vs. Tommy Paul

This will be the 2^nd time that Hubert Hurkacz and Tommy Paul face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Hurkacz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Hurkacz won 7-5 7-6(4) in the 2^nd round in Paris back in 2021.

Hubert Hurkacz

Hubert Hurkacz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
40

High
6

WLLWWWWLWW

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2025	15-11	4-5	7-4	3-2	1-0	0-0
2024	40-19	17-10	14-4	4-3	5-2	0-0
2023	47-24	23-11	5-5	13-5	6-3	0-0
2022	41-21	18-9	9-4	9-6	5-2	0-0
2021	36-23	22-9	1-4	8-7	5-3	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 11, Hubert got to the 3^rd round after defeating Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Hurkacz had a good straight sets win against Popyrin (6-3 6-3). During the match, Hurkacz scored 63 points vs Popyrin’s 49. Hurkacz was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Hurkacz struck 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Hubert Hurkacz was extremely effective on serve to win 75% (30/40) of his 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Pole broke Popyrin 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Hurkacz has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (320-195). 8-4 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Hurkacz has a composed 154-73 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Marseille where he beat Benjamin Bonzi in the final 6-3 7-6(4).

Hurkacz has an aggregate 13-5 win-loss record in 2023, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells

Hurkacz's Record

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
16

High
8

LWLWLLWWWW

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2025	27-12	11-5	12-4	3-1	1-2	0-0
2024	45-20	17-12	10-4	8-2	10-2	0-0
2023	46-29	29-13	5-6	3-5	9-5	0-0
2022	39-27	21-12	2-6	9-5	7-4	0-0
2021	33-23	12-12	9-7	12-4	0-0	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 19, Tommy got to the 3^rd round after defeating Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Struff (6-3 6-3). During the match Paul scored 67 points vs Struff’s 49. Tommy was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Paul scored 6 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Tommy Paul lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 71% of his first serves in, winning 65% (24/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 87% (13/15) on the 2nd serve. Tommy broke Struff 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Paul’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Acapulco.

Paul has an overall 13-4 win-loss record in 2023, 12-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2021. See his history.

Indian Wells

Paul's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Hurkacz and Paul played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Hurkacz and Paul have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (18). Hubert scored 30 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Paul bagged 24 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Hurkacz struck 9 aces . Paul blasted 6 aces . Hurkacz won 75% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 87% of the points.

How they played the important points

Hurkacz broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Hubert pretty solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. Tommy broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 0Slam
• 8Main
• 3Chall
• 2Minor

• 0Slam
• 4Main
• 4Chall
• 6Minor

Hubert
Hurkacz

1:3

Tommy
Paul

Rank

40

High

6

0Hard1

0Clay2

1I.hard0

Rank

16

High

8

Win Loss

Hurkacz

WLLWWWWLWW

Paul

LWLWLLWWWW

2025 2024 2023

15 - 11

27 - 12

4-5

Hard

11-5

3-2

I Hard

3-1

7-4

Clay

12-4

1-0

Grass

1-2

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 1-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Cristian GarinGarin – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 7-6²) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (6-2 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (7-5 1-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Taro DanielDaniel (6-7⁵ 7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Andrey RublevRublev – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alejandro TabiloAlejandro – Jordan ThompsonJordan (6-3 7-6(6)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-6) – H2H and prediction
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tommy PaulPaul (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex MolcanMolcan – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Christian GarinGarin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Andy MurrayMurray (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (2-1) – H2H and prediction

Hurkacz

More Stats

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Paul