H2H, prediction of Daniil Medvedev vs Ilya Ivashka in Indian Wells with odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Indian Wells. Medvedev and Ivashka will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Ilya Ivashka

Daniil Medvedev and Ilya Ivashka will square off in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.026
Ilya Ivashka -> 12.75

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Ilya Ivashka

This will be the 8th time that Daniil Medvedev and Ilya Ivashka clash against each other. The head to head is 6-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Medvedev won 7-6(4) 6-3 in the 2nd round in Halle back in 2022.

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0

Ranked no. 6, Daniil got to the 3rd round after beating Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (6-4 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 67 points vs Nakashima’s 50. Medvedev was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev bagged 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (24/33) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Medvedev broke Nakashima 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Medvedev has a good record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (443-180). 15-2 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has a composed 196-64 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2.

Medvedev has an aggregate 20-2 win-loss record in 2023, 15-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Medvedev
Indian Wells
Medvedev's Record

Ilya Ivashka

Ilya Ivashka
Ilya Ivashka

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
602
High
40
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 0-2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 12-24 5-12 5-7 0-1 2-4 0-0
2022 23-24 8-6 5-7 6-8 4-3 0-0
2021 43-20 14-6 13-5 6-4 10-5 0-0

Ranked no. 85, Ivashka reached the 3rd round after defeating Roman Safiullin 6-4 6-2 and Botic Van De Zandschulp 7-5 3-2 ret..

In the 2nd round against Van De Zandschulp, Ivashka had a free pass after Van De Zandschulp retired on a 7-5 3-2 . scoreline.

Ivashka has a compiled 2-5 win-loss record in 2023, 2-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2019. See his history.

Ivashka
Indian Wells
Ivashka's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Medvedev
I.Ivashka
1h:26
1h:26
Time on court​
!
3h:27
3h:27
1h:26
1h:26
Last match​
1h:55
1h:55
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
19
19
Games Played​
35
35
2
2
Set played​​
5
5
67
67
Total points​
139
139
67
67
Avg point​
69.5
69.5
24
24
Winners
56
56
24
24
Avg Winners​
28
28
36%
36%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
7
7
6
6
Avg Aces
3.5
3.5
2
2
Double Faults
3
3
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
24/33
24/33
1st won total​
56/77
56/77
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
16/23
16/23
2nd won total​
22/45
22/45
!
70%
70%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
3/7
3/7
BP won
8/18
8/18
3/7
3/7
Avg BP won
4/9
4/9
43%
43%
Won
44%
44%
6
6
Conceded
10
10
6
6
Avg Conceded
5
5
0
0
Broken
3
3
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
6
6
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Ivashka
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 19 35
Pts 67-50 139-114
Total Points 117 253
Winners 24 56
%Winners 36% 40%

Medvedev played 1 match while Ivashka competed in 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Medvedev has played 3 set(s) less than Ivashka (2 vs 5). Therefore, Medvedev played 16 games less than Ivashka. Daniil scored 24 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Ivashka bagged 56 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Ivashka
Aces 6 7
Avg per match 6 3.5
1st in 33/56 77/122
%1st in 59% 63%
1st pts 24/33 56/77
%1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 16/23 22/45
%2nd pts 70% 49%

Medvedev managed to score 6 aces . Ivashka managed to score 7 aces (3.5 per match). Medvedev won 73% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Ivashka won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Ivashka
Won 3 8
Converted 3/7 8/18
% Converted 43% 44%
Conceded 6 10
Saved 6 7
% Saved 100% 70%
Times Broken 0 3

Daniil broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Medvedev quite strong on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 6 break points. Ilya broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. Ilya conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R2
Nakashima
Total
Score 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 67-50 67-50
Total points 117 117
Winners 24 24
%Winners 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 33/56 33/56
% 1st in 59% 59%
1st pts 24/33 24/33
% 1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 16/23 16/23
% 2nd pts 70% 70%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/7 3/7
Converted % 43% 43%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 6/6 6
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Ivashka
R1
Safiullin
R2
Van De Zandschulp
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 7-5 3-2 ret.
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 17 35
pts 69-51 70-63 139-114
Total points 120 133 253
Winners 29 27 56
%Winners 42% 39% 40%
SERVE
Aces 5 2 7
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 36/57 41/65 77/122
% 1st in 63% 63% 63%
1st pts 29/36 27/41 56/77
% 1st pts 81% 66% 73%
2nd pts 8/21 14/24 22/45
% 2nd pts 38% 58% 49%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/10 3/8 8/18
Converted % 50% 38% 44%
Conceded 5 5 10
Saved 3/5 4/5 7
Saved % 60% 80% 140%
Times Broken 2 1 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Medvedev
LW
Ivashka
L
2025 2024 2023
1 - 1
0 - 1
1-1
Hard
0-1

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw