Daniil Medvedev and Ilya Ivashka will square off in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.026
Ilya Ivashka -> 12.75
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Ilya Ivashka
This will be the 8th time that Daniil Medvedev and Ilya Ivashka clash against each other. The head to head is 6-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Medvedev won 7-6(4) 6-3 in the 2nd round in Halle back in 2022.
Daniil Medvedev
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Daniil got to the 3rd round after beating Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (6-4 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 67 points vs Nakashima’s 50. Medvedev was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev bagged 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (24/33) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Medvedev broke Nakashima 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Medvedev has a good record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (443-180). 15-2 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has a composed 196-64 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2.
Medvedev has an aggregate 20-2 win-loss record in 2023, 15-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Ilya Ivashka
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2023 | 12-24 | 5-12 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
2022 | 23-24 | 8-6 | 5-7 | 6-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 43-20 | 14-6 | 13-5 | 6-4 | 10-5 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 85, Ivashka reached the 3rd round after defeating Roman Safiullin 6-4 6-2 and Botic Van De Zandschulp 7-5 3-2 ret..
In the 2nd round against Van De Zandschulp, Ivashka had a free pass after Van De Zandschulp retired on a 7-5 3-2 . scoreline.
Ivashka has a compiled 2-5 win-loss record in 2023, 2-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Medvedev | Ivashka |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 2 |
Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
Tot Games | 19 | 35 |
Pts | 67-50 | 139-114 |
Total Points | 117 | 253 |
Winners | 24 | 56 |
%Winners | 36% | 40% |
Medvedev played 1 match while Ivashka competed in 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Medvedev has played 3 set(s) less than Ivashka (2 vs 5). Therefore, Medvedev played 16 games less than Ivashka. Daniil scored 24 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Ivashka bagged 56 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Medvedev | Ivashka |
---|---|---|
Aces | 6 | 7 |
Avg per match | 6 | 3.5 |
1st in | 33/56 | 77/122 |
%1st in | 59% | 63% |
1st pts | 24/33 | 56/77 |
%1st pts | 73% | 73% |
2nd pts | 16/23 | 22/45 |
%2nd pts | 70% | 49% |
Medvedev managed to score 6 aces . Ivashka managed to score 7 aces (3.5 per match). Medvedev won 73% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Ivashka won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Medvedev | Ivashka |
---|---|---|
Won | 3 | 8 |
Converted | 3/7 | 8/18 |
% Converted | 43% | 44% |
Conceded | 6 | 10 |
Saved | 6 | 7 |
% Saved | 100% | 70% |
Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Daniil broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Medvedev quite strong on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 6 break points. Ilya broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. Ilya conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
Medvedev | |||
R2 Nakashima |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
pts | 67-50 | 67-50 | |
Total points | 117 | 117 | |
Winners | 24 | 24 | |
%Winners | 36% | 36% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 6 | 6 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
1st in | 33/56 | 33/56 | |
% 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
1st pts | 24/33 | 24/33 | |
% 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
2nd pts | 16/23 | 16/23 | |
% 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 3 | 3 | |
Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
Saved | 6/6 | 6 | |
Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Ivashka | ||||
R1 Safiullin |
R2 Van De Zandschulp |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-2 | 7-5 3-2 ret. | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 35 | |
pts | 69-51 | 70-63 | 139-114 | |
Total points | 120 | 133 | 253 | |
Winners | 29 | 27 | 56 | |
%Winners | 42% | 39% | 40% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
1st in | 36/57 | 41/65 | 77/122 | |
% 1st in | 63% | 63% | 63% | |
1st pts | 29/36 | 27/41 | 56/77 | |
% 1st pts | 81% | 66% | 73% | |
2nd pts | 8/21 | 14/24 | 22/45 | |
% 2nd pts | 38% | 58% | 49% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
Converted | 5/10 | 3/8 | 8/18 | |
Converted % | 50% | 38% | 44% | |
Conceded | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
Saved | 3/5 | 4/5 | 7 | |
Saved % | 60% | 80% | 140% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Richard GasquetGasquet (6-3 7-62) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-68 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Guido PellaPella (7-63 7-64) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Andy MurrayMurray – Radu AlbotAlbot (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Borna CoricCoric (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Daniel EvansEvans (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Jack SockSock (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Tung-Lin WuWu (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Oscar OtteOtte (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-60 4-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Taro DanielDaniel – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-65 0-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Pedro CachinCachin (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (2-6 7-65 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Yibing WuWu (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Marcos GironGiron (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Maxime CressyCressy (7-63 7-613) – See score progression
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-5 3-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Guido PellaPella (7-6(3) 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Daniel EvansEvans (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Andy MurrayMurray – Radu AlbotAlbot (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Jack SockSock (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (7-6(5) 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Borna CoricCoric (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Richard GasquetGasquet (6-3 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (7-6(8) 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taro DanielDaniel – Cameron NorrieNorrie (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (6-1) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Casper RuudRuud (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tommy PaulPaul (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Ugo HumbertHumbert (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Andy MurrayMurray (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (0-0) – H2H and prediction