Dominic Stricker and Otto Virtanen will square off in the semifinal of the Lugano Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 9:30 pm on CENTRALE. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dominic Stricker who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Dominic Stricker is the pick to win this match.
Dominic Stricker -> 1.47
Otto Virtanen -> 2.59

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Prediction and head to head Dominic Stricker vs. Otto Virtanen

This will be the 2^nd time that Dominic Stricker and Otto Virtanen fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Virtanen (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Virtanen won 6-4 7-6(5) in the quarter in the Bergamo Challenger back in 2022.

Dominic Stricker

Ranked no. 126, Stricker reached the semifinal after beating Raphael Collignon 6-4 2-6 6-2, Gauthier Onclin 6-3 6-3 and Liam Broady 3-6 6-3 7-6⁴.

In the quarter against Broady, Dominic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-6⁴).During the match, Stricker scored less points (1) than Broady. In fact, the world no. 126 won 93 points vs Broady’s. That means that Stricker was more focused during the important points. Dominic was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Regarding the service games, Stricker managed to score 17 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Dominic Stricker was very effective on serve to win 83% (40/48) of his 1st serve and 55% (26/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Swiss broke Broady once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Stricker has conceded 2 set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.

Stricker has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 61% of his matches (82-53). 10-2 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Stricker has a compiled47-20 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Rovereto Challenger where he defeated Giulio Zeppieri in the final 7-6(8) 6-2.

The Swiss has a compiled 12-3 win-loss record in 2023, 10-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lugano Challenger

Otto Virtanen

Ranked no. 170, Virtanen reached the semifinal after beating Matteo Gigante 6-7⁴ 6-3 6-2, Oleksii Krutykh 6-4 2-6 7-6⁵ and Ricardas Berankis 6-4 6-3.

In the quarter, Virtanen had a good straight sets win against Berankis (6-4 6-3). During the match Virtanen scored 58 points vs Berankis’s 45. Otto was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Virtanen bagged 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Otto Virtanen was extremely efficient on serve to win 83% (29/35) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Otto was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Berankis 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Otto has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Virtanen has an overall 7-7 win-loss record in 2023, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in the Lugano Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Stricker	Virtanen
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	8	8
Tot Games	75	80
Pts	259-239	271-239
Total Points	498	510
Winners	100	116
%Winners	39%	43%

Both Stricker and Virtanen played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Dominic Stricker dropped 2 sets, while Otto Virtanen conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Stricker and Virtanen have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Stricker played 5 games less than Virtanen. Dominic scored 100 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Otto blasted 116 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Stricker	Virtanen
Aces	41	31
Avg per match	13.7	10.3
1st in	134/248	153/236
%1st in	54%	65%
1st pts	100/134	116/153
%1st pts	75%	76%
2nd pts	56/114	40/83
%2nd pts	49%	48%

Stricker bagged 41 aces (13.7 per match). Virtanen scored 31 aces (10.3 per match). Stricker won 75% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Virtanen won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Stricker	Virtanen
Won	11	12
Converted	11/29	12/33
% Converted	38%	36%
Conceded	18	15
Saved	11	9
% Saved	61%	60%
Times Broken	7	6

Dominic broke his opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Swiss conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded. Otto broke his opponents 12 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Finn conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Stricker
	R1 Collignon	R2 Onclin	1/4 Broady	Total
Score	6-4 2-6 6-2	6-3 6-3	3-6 6-3 7-64
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	26	18	31	75
pts	90-86	76-59	93-94	259-239
Total points	176	135	187	498
Winners	32	28	40	100
%Winners	36%	37%	43%	39%
SERVE
Aces	10	14	17	41
Double Faults	6	1	5	12
1st in	46/90	40/63	48/95	134/248
% 1st in	51%	63%	51%	54%
1st pts	32/46	28/40	40/48	100/134
% 1st pts	70%	70%	83%	75%
2nd pts	17/44	13/23	26/47	56/114
% 2nd pts	39%	57%	55%	49%
Breaks
Won	6	4	1	11
Converted	6/18	4/7	1/4	11/29
Converted %	33%	57%	25%	38%
Conceded	8	5	5	18
Saved	3/8	4/5	4/5	11
Saved %	38%	80%	80%	66%
Times Broken	5	1	1	7

Virtanen
	R1 Gigante	R2 Krutykh	1/4 Berankis	Total
Score	6-74 6-3 6-2	6-4 2-6 7-65	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	2	8
Tot Games	30	31	19	80
pts	104-86	109-108	58-45	271-239
Total points	190	217	103	510
Winners	42	45	29	116
%Winners	40%	41%	50%	43%
SERVE
Aces	8	13	10	31
Double Faults	5	4	2	11
1st in	55/85	63/101	35/50	153/236
% 1st in	65%	62%	70%	65%
1st pts	42/55	45/63	29/35	116/153
% 1st pts	76%	71%	83%	76%
2nd pts	14/30	17/38	9/15	40/83
% 2nd pts	47%	45%	60%	48%
Breaks
Won	6	3	3	12
Converted	6/18	3/12	3/3	12/33
Converted %	33%	25%	100%	36%
Conceded	5	9	1	15
Saved	3/5	5/9	1/1	9
Saved %	60%	56%	100%	72%
Times Broken	2	4	0	6

Tennis Scores in Lugano Challenger

• Cem IlkelIlkel – Vitaliy SachkoSachko (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Otto VirtanenVirtanen – Ricardas BerankisBerankis (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Mika BrunoldBrunold (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Dominic StrickerStricker – Liam BroadyBroady (3-6 6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Cem IlkelIlkel – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Otto VirtanenVirtanen – (1-0) – H2H and prediction