Benoit Paire and Illya Marchenko will face off in the semifinal of the Puerto Vallarta Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 9:30 pm on ESTADIO PUERTO MAGICO. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Illya Marchenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Illya Marchenko is the pick to win this match.
Illya Marchenko -> 1.7
Benoit Paire -> 2.09
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Benoit Paire vs. Illya Marchenko
This will be the 3rd time that Benoit Paire and Illya Marchenko square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Marchenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Marchenko won 6-1 6-4 in the 1st round in the Quimper Challenger back in January 2023.
Benoit Paire
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 6-15 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-38 | 13-12 | 27-17 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 16-31 | 7-13 | 6-14 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-32 | 6-12 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-13 | 8-6 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 209, Benoit reached the semifinal after defeating Nicolas Mejia 6-73 6-1 7-65, Daniel Rincon 6-2 5-7 6-2 and Aziz Dougaz 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, Paire had a good straight sets win against Dougaz (6-3 6-4). During the match, Paire scored 64 points vs Dougaz’s 50. Benoit was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paire bagged 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Benoit Paire lost the serve once. Furthermore, Paire put 52% of his first serves in, winning 89% (25/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. Paire broke Dougaz 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paire has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Paire has won exactly 50% of his matches (262-260) in the last 10 years. 7-6 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paire has an overall 95-103 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Paire has a compiled 8-8 win-loss record in 2023, 7-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Puerto Vallarta Challenger
Benoit has never competed in this tournament before.
Illya Marchenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-15 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-22 | 17-5 | 6-6 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 9-10 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-28 | 5-7 | 2-5 | 26-12 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 386, Illya got to the semifinal after defeating Nicolas Barrientos 6-1 6-3, Alex Rybakov 7-60 7-61, Guido Andreozzi 6-3 6-4, Christian Langmo 6-4 6-3 and Gastao Elias 6-74 6-3 6-0.
In the quarter against Elias, The Ukrainian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-3 6-0). During the match Marchenko scored 101 points vs Elias’s 85. Marchenko was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Marchenko fired 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Illya Marchenko lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Marchenko put 61% of his first serves in, winning 65% (35/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (22/35) on the 2nd serve. Marchenko broke Elias 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Illya started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Illya has a composed 11-5 win-loss record in 2023, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paire | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 80 | 108 |
| Pts | 274-236 | 378-302 |
| Total Points | 510 | 680 |
| Winners | 99 | 139 |
| %Winners | 36% | 37% |
Paire played 3 matches while Marchenko competed in 5 matches. Marchenko started his run from the qualifications while Paire had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Benoit Paire surrendered 2 sets, while Illya Marchenko dropped 1 set. Paire has played 3 set(s) less than Marchenko (8 vs 11). Therefore, Paire played 28 games less than Marchenko. The French player scored 99 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Marchenko fired 139 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paire | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 32 | 35 |
| Avg per match | 10.7 | 7 |
| 1st in | 120/240 | 187/332 |
| %1st in | 50% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 99/120 | 139/187 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 56/120 | 90/145 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 62% |
Paire blasted 32 aces (10.7 per match). Marchenko bagged 35 aces (7 per match). Paire won 83% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Marchenko won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paire | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 18 |
| Converted | 14/27 | 18/48 |
| % Converted | 52% | 38% |
| Conceded | 12 | 24 |
| Saved | 5 | 18 |
| % Saved | 42% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 6 |
Paire broke his opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Paire conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 42% of the break points that he conceded. Marchenko broke his opponents 18 times with a 38% conversion rate. Illya conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paire | |||||
| R1 Mejia |
R2 Rincon |
1/4 Dougaz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 6-1 7-65 | 6-2 5-7 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 28 | 19 | 80 | |
| pts | 112-103 | 98-83 | 64-50 | 274-236 | |
| Total points | 215 | 181 | 114 | 510 | |
| Winners | 39 | 35 | 25 | 99 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 36% | 39% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 16 | 9 | 7 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 14 | 6 | 3 | 23 | |
| 1st in | 49/102 | 43/84 | 28/54 | 120/240 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 51% | 52% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 39/49 | 35/43 | 25/28 | 99/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 81% | 89% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/53 | 16/41 | 13/26 | 56/120 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 39% | 50% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 6/12 | 3/6 | 14/27 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 50% | 50% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 3/6 | 0/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 50% | 0% | 30% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | |
| Marchenko | |||||||
| Q1 Barrientos |
Q3 Rybakov |
R1 Andreozzi |
R2 Langmo |
1/4 Elias |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 7-60 7-61 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-74 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 26 | 19 | 19 | 28 | 108 | |
| pts | 62-36 | 89-80 | 63-51 | 63-50 | 101-85 | 378-302 | |
| Total points | 98 | 169 | 114 | 113 | 186 | 680 | |
| Winners | 19 | 34 | 23 | 28 | 35 | 139 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 38% | 37% | 44% | 35% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 4 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 25/45 | 44/81 | 32/55 | 32/62 | 54/89 | 187/332 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 54% | 58% | 52% | 61% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 34/44 | 23/32 | 28/32 | 35/54 | 139/187 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 77% | 72% | 88% | 65% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/20 | 22/37 | 13/23 | 18/30 | 22/35 | 90/145 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 59% | 57% | 60% | 63% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 1/9 | 4/7 | 2/5 | 6/15 | 18/48 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 11% | 57% | 40% | 40% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 24 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4/5 | 2/4 | 4/4 | 4/6 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | 50% | 100% | 67% | 126% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLWLLL
LLLWWWWLLL Tennis Scores in Puerto Vallarta Challenger
- James McCabeMcCabe – Ulises BlanchBlanch (6-4 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Benoit PairePaire – Aziz DougazDougaz (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Illya MarchenkoMarchenko – Gastao EliasElias (6-74 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul – Hans Hach Verdugo/Nicolas MahutHach Verdugo/Nicolas Mahut (6-75 7-63 10-7) – See score progression
- Andre Goransson/Ben McLachlanGoransson/Ben McLachlan – Daniel Moreno/Benoit PaireMoreno/Benoit Paire (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Illya MarchenkoMarchenko – Benoit PairePaire (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
