James McCabe and Yuta Shimizu will face off in the semifinal of the Puerto Vallarta Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on ESTADIO PUERTO MAGICO. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is James McCabe who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, James McCabe is the pick to win this match.
James McCabe -> 1.77
Yuta Shimizu -> 2
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Prediction and head to head James McCabe vs. Yuta Shimizu
There is no head to head record between James McCabe and Yuta Shimizu since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
James McCabe
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-19 | 16-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-27 | 24-14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 30-19 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-5 | 17-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 308, the Australian got to the semifinal after defeating Ivar Aramburu Contreras 6-3 6-0, Keegan Smith 6-77 7-67 6-3, Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-3 7-65, Jose Statham 2-6 6-1 6-3 and Ulises Blanch 6-4 5-7 6-3.
In the quarter, The Australian defeated Blanch (6-4 5-7 6-3). During the match, McCabe scored 102 points vs Blanch’s 93. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Regarding the service games, McCabe recorded 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, James McCabe was pretty efficient on serve to win 82% (49/60) of his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Blanch twice after converting 18% of his break points (2/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
McCabe started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 3 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
McCabe has a solid win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 66% of his matches (72-37). 16-5 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, McCabe has an overall63-29 record in the last 4 years on hard.
James’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Bengaluru Challenger.
The Australian has a composed 16-5 win-loss record in 2023, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Puerto Vallarta Challenger
James has never competed in this tournament before.
Yuta Shimizu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-13 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-24 | 35-23 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-23 | 36-21 | 7-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-12 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-1 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 309, Shimizu reached the semifinal after defeating Gabriel Diallo 4-6 6-3 7-64, Alexis Galarneau 6-4 6-2 and Daniel Altmaier 3-6 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter against Altmaier, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Shimizu scored 96 points vs Altmaier’s 91. The Japanese was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Shimizu scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Yuta Shimizu lost the serve 5 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Shimizu put 53% of his first serves in, winning 73% (36/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (15/43) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Altmaier 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Yuta’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Burnie.
The Japanese has an overall 13-3 win-loss record in 2023, 13-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | McCabe | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 127 | 78 |
| Pts | 439-371 | 287-251 |
| Total Points | 810 | 538 |
| Winners | 192 | 100 |
| %Winners | 44% | 35% |
McCabe played 5 matches while Shimizu competed in 3 matches. McCabe started his run from the qualifications while Shimizu had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. James McCabe lost 3 sets, while Yuta Shimizu lost 2 sets. McCabe has played 5 sets more than Shimizu (13 vs 8). Therefore, McCabe played 49 games more than Shimizu. McCabe scored 192 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Shimizu scored 100 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | McCabe | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 44 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 8.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st in | 235/382 | 134/247 |
| %1st in | 62% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 192/235 | 100/134 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 87/147 | 45/113 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 40% |
McCabe recorded 44 aces (8.8 per match). Shimizu recorded 7 aces (2.3 per match). McCabe won 82% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Shimizu won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 40% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | McCabe | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 17 |
| Converted | 13/40 | 17/31 |
| % Converted | 33% | 55% |
| Conceded | 20 | 34 |
| Saved | 17 | 22 |
| % Saved | 85% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 12 |
James broke his opponents 13 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Australian dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded. Shimizu broke his opponents 17 times with a 55% conversion rate. Shimizu conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| McCabe | |||||||
| Q1 Jose Aramburu Contreras |
Q3 Smith |
R1 Pablo Ficovich |
R2 Statham |
1/4 Blanch |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-77 7-67 6-3 | 6-3 7-65 | 2-6 6-1 6-3 | 6-4 5-7 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 35 | 22 | 24 | 31 | 127 | |
| pts | 65-36 | 114-108 | 81-68 | 77-66 | 102-93 | 439-371 | |
| Total points | 101 | 222 | 149 | 143 | 195 | 810 | |
| Winners | 26 | 55 | 34 | 28 | 49 | 192 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 48% | 42% | 36% | 48% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 9 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 44 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 32/47 | 66/108 | 39/70 | 38/66 | 60/91 | 235/382 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 61% | 56% | 58% | 66% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 55/66 | 34/39 | 28/38 | 49/60 | 192/235 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 83% | 87% | 74% | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 27/42 | 16/31 | 17/28 | 17/31 | 87/147 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 64% | 52% | 61% | 55% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 1/8 | 2/5 | 4/11 | 2/11 | 13/40 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 13% | 40% | 36% | 18% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 1/1 | 5/5 | 4/6 | 4/5 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% | 80% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Shimizu | |||||||
| R1 Diallo |
R2 Galarneau |
1/4 Altmaier |
Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 7-64 | 6-4 6-2 | 3-6 6-4 6-3 | ||||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Tot Games | 32 | 18 | 28 | 78 | |||
| pts | 124-114 | 67-46 | 96-91 | 287-251 | |||
| Total points | 238 | 113 | 187 | 538 | |||
| Winners | 44 | 20 | 36 | 100 | |||
| %Winners | 35% | 30% | 38% | 35% | |||
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |||
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |||
| 1st in | 59/102 | 26/53 | 49/92 | 134/247 | |||
| % 1st in | 58% | 49% | 53% | 54% | |||
| 1st pts | 44/59 | 20/26 | 36/49 | 100/134 | |||
| % 1st pts | 75% | 77% | 73% | 75% | |||
| 2nd pts | 15/43 | 15/27 | 15/43 | 45/113 | |||
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 56% | 35% | 40% | |||
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17 | |||
| Converted | 6/16 | 5/8 | 6/7 | 17/31 | |||
| Converted % | 38% | 63% | 86% | 55% | |||
| Conceded | 15 | 6 | 13 | 34 | |||
| Saved | 10/15 | 4/6 | 8/13 | 22 | |||
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 62% | 39% | |||
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12 | |||
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWLLLW
LWLWWWWLLW Tennis Scores in Puerto Vallarta Challenger
- Benoit PairePaire – Aziz DougazDougaz (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (3-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Illya MarchenkoMarchenko – Gastao EliasElias (6-74 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- James McCabeMcCabe – Ulises BlanchBlanch (6-4 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Andre Goransson/Ben McLachlanGoransson/Ben McLachlan – Daniel Moreno/Benoit PaireMoreno/Benoit Paire (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul – Hans Hach Verdugo/Nicolas MahutHach Verdugo/Nicolas Mahut (6-75 7-63 10-7) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Illya MarchenkoMarchenko – Benoit PairePaire (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
