Matteo Berrettini and Taro Daniel will play each other in the 2nd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on STADIUM 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.24
Taro Daniel -> 4.05

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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Taro Daniel

This will be the 5th time that Matteo Berrettini and Taro Daniel play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Berrettini won 6-2 6-3 in the quarter in Naples back in 2022.

Highlights Matteo Berrettini vs Taro Daniel – Naples 21-October-2022

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
56
High
6
WLWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-17 10-9 4-3 6-4 0-1 0-0
2024 36-13 7-6 15-1 8-3 6-3 0-0
2023 14-12 9-10 2-0 0-0 3-2 0-0
2022 32-12 15-9 4-2 4-1 9-0 0-0
2021 41-12 14-5 13-4 3-2 11-1 0-0

Ranked no. 23, the Italian will start his run in Indian Wells after he played his last match in Acapulco where he lost 6-0 1-0 ret. to Rune in the quarter on the 2nd of March.

Matteo has a compiled 5-4 win-loss record in 2023, 5-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Matteo’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Australia.

Talking about his overall career, Matteo has an overall 285-140 record. He has a positive 126-63 record on hard.

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2022. See his history.

Indian Wells
Berrettini's Record

Taro Daniel

Taro Daniel

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
381
High
58
LLWLLLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-31 10-19 1-8 0-3 1-1 0-0
2024 31-33 16-16 5-11 9-3 1-3 0-0
2023 45-30 34-16 7-10 2-1 2-3 0-0
2022 43-29 27-17 12-7 2-2 2-3 0-0
2021 30-25 5-7 21-15 4-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 103, Daniel reached the 2nd round after defeating Nick Hardt 5-7 6-1 6-4, Alexei Popyrin 6-4 4-6 6-1 and Roberto Carballes Baena 6-1 7-5.

In the 1st round, Daniel had a good straight sets win against Carballes Baena (6-1 7-5). During the match Daniel scored 70 points vs Carballes Baena’s 50. Daniel was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Daniel struck 3 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Taro Daniel was quite effective on serve to win 76% (29/38) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Taro broke Carballes Baena 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Daniel has an overall 11-6 win-loss record in 2023, 10-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018. See his history.

Indian Wells
Daniel's Record

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

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