Gastao Elias and Illya Marchenko will clash against each other in the quarter of the Puerto Vallarta Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:30 pm on CANCHA 7 LEGUAS. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Illya Marchenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Illya Marchenko is the pick to win this match.
Illya Marchenko -> 1.68
Gastao Elias -> 2.12
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Prediction and head to head Gastao Elias vs. Illya Marchenko
There is no head to head record between Gastao Elias and Illya Marchenko since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Gastao Elias
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-17 | 7-4 | 16-11 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-18 | 10-8 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-24 | 4-3 | 18-17 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-18 | 13-5 | 24-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-7 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 230, Elias got to the quarter after beating Facundo Mena 6-1 2-0 ret. and Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 2-6 7-65.
In the 2nd round, Elias defeated Mochizuki (6-3 2-6 7-65). During the match, Elias scored 98 points vs Mochizuki’s 92. Elias was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Elias bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Gastao Elias lost the serve 5 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Elias put 45% of his first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (27/48) on the 2nd serve. Gastao broke Mochizuki 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Elias has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (288-231). 5-4 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Elias has an aggregate 58-54 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Portuguese has a composed 5-4 win-loss record in 2023, 5-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Puerto Vallarta Challenger
The Portuguese has never competed in this tournament before.
Illya Marchenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-15 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-22 | 17-5 | 6-6 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 9-10 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-28 | 5-7 | 2-5 | 26-12 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 386, Illya reached the quarter after beating Nicolas Barrientos 6-1 6-3, Alex Rybakov 7-60 7-61, Guido Andreozzi 6-3 6-4 and Christian Langmo 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Langmo (6-4 6-3). During the match Marchenko scored 63 points vs Langmo’s 50. The Ukrainian was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Marchenko struck 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Illya Marchenko was very efficient on serve to win 88% (28/32) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Marchenko broke Langmo twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Ukrainian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Marchenko has a composed 10-5 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Elias | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 80 |
| Pts | 134-112 | 277-217 |
| Total Points | 246 | 494 |
| Winners | 38 | 104 |
| %Winners | 28% | 38% |
Elias played 2 matches while Marchenko competed in 4 matches. Marchenko started his run from the qualifications while Elias had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Gastao Elias conceded 1 set while Illya Marchenko hasn’t conceded a set so far. Elias has played 2 set(s) less than Marchenko (6 vs 8). Therefore, Elias played 41 games less than Marchenko. Elias scored 38 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Marchenko recorded 104 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Elias | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 29 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 7.3 |
| 1st in | 52/109 | 133/243 |
| %1st in | 48% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 38/52 | 104/133 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 31/57 | 68/110 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 62% |
Elias made 4 aces (2 per match). Marchenko managed to score 29 aces (7.3 per match). Elias won 73% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Marchenko won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Elias | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 12 |
| Converted | 9/20 | 12/33 |
| % Converted | 45% | 36% |
| Conceded | 8 | 18 |
| Saved | 3 | 14 |
| % Saved | 38% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 |
Elias broke his opponents 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. Gastao conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded. Illya broke his opponents 12 times with a 36% conversion rate. Illya conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Elias | ||||
| R1 Mena |
R2 Mochizuki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 2-0 ret. | 6-3 2-6 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 9 | 30 | 39 | |
| pts | 36-20 | 98-92 | 134-112 | |
| Total points | 56 | 190 | 246 | |
| Winners | 12 | 26 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 27% | 28% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 13/22 | 39/87 | 52/109 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 45% | 48% | |
| 1st pts | 12/13 | 26/39 | 38/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 67% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/9 | 27/48 | 31/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 56% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/12 | 9/20 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 42% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/8 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 38% | 19% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Marchenko | ||||||
| Q1 Barrientos |
Q3 Rybakov |
R1 Andreozzi |
R2 Langmo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 7-60 7-61 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 26 | 19 | 19 | 80 | |
| pts | 62-36 | 89-80 | 63-51 | 63-50 | 277-217 | |
| Total points | 98 | 169 | 114 | 113 | 494 | |
| Winners | 19 | 34 | 23 | 28 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 38% | 37% | 44% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 25/45 | 44/81 | 32/55 | 32/62 | 133/243 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 54% | 58% | 52% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 34/44 | 23/32 | 28/32 | 104/133 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 77% | 72% | 88% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/20 | 22/37 | 13/23 | 18/30 | 68/110 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 59% | 57% | 60% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 1/9 | 4/7 | 2/5 | 12/33 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 11% | 57% | 40% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4/5 | 2/4 | 4/4 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | 50% | 100% | 155% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLLW
LLLWWWWLLL 
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