Nerman Fatic and Gianluca Mager will face off in the quarter of the Antalya Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gianluca Mager who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gianluca Mager is the pick to win this match.
Gianluca Mager -> 1.49
Nerman Fatic -> 2.53
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Prediction and head to head Nerman Fatic vs. Gianluca Mager
This will be the 2nd time that Nerman Fatic and Gianluca Mager play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Fatic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Fatic won 6-3 6-0 in the 1st round in the Trieste Challenger back in 2022.
Nerman Fatic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-26 | 3-5 | 14-20 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-28 | 0-1 | 35-25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 34-27 | 0-1 | 31-19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 37-26 | 1-1 | 30-22 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 9-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 248, the Bosnian reached the quarter after beating Ivan Gakhov 7-5 6-3 and Damir Dzumhur 6-4 3-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Nerman defeated Dzumhur (6-4 3-6 6-4).During the match, Fatic scored less points (1) than Dzumhur. In fact, the world no. 248 won 96 points vs Dzumhur’s. That means that Fatic was more focused during the important points. The Bosnian was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Fatic scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 6 double faults. Nerman Fatic lost the serve 6 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Fatic put 67% of his first serves in, winning 58% (38/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (13/33) on the 2nd serve. Nerman broke Dzumhur 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nerman has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Fatic has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 59% of his matches (278-190). 2-0 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Fatic has an overall228-141 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
Fatic has an aggregate 2-0 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Antalya Challenger
Gianluca Mager
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-25 | 0-0 | 41-24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-20 | 3-5 | 15-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-28 | 2-5 | 17-21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-28 | 4-7 | 22-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-15 | 1-4 | 10-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 323, Mager got to the quarter after beating Lukas Neumayer 6-2 6-3 and Flavio Cobolli 6-0 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Cobolli (6-0 6-3). During the match Mager scored 69 points vs Cobolli’s 45. Mager was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Mager recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Gianluca Mager was pretty effective on serve to win 84% (21/25) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Gianluca broke Cobolli 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gianluca hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
The Italian has a compiled 5-5 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fatic | Mager |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 32 |
| Pts | 174-160 | 136-93 |
| Total Points | 334 | 229 |
| Winners | 66 | 42 |
| %Winners | 38% | 31% |
Both Fatic and Mager played 2 matches. At the moment, Nerman Fatic lost 1 set while Gianluca Mager hasn’t conceded a set so far. Fatic has played 1 set more than Mager (5 vs 4). Therefore, Fatic played 18 games more than Mager. Nerman scored 66 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian blasted 42 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fatic | Mager |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 104/175 | 51/102 |
| %1st in | 59% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 66/104 | 42/51 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 35/71 | 32/51 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 63% |
Fatic recorded 7 aces (3.5 per match). Mager scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Fatic won 63% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Mager won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fatic | Mager |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 8 |
| Converted | 9/21 | 8/24 |
| % Converted | 43% | 33% |
| Conceded | 18 | 8 |
| Saved | 11 | 8 |
| % Saved | 61% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 0 |
Fatic broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Fatic lost his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded. Gianluca broke his opponents 8 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Italian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 8 break points.
| Fatic | ||||
| R1 Gakhov |
R2 Dzumhur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 29 | 50 | |
| pts | 78-63 | 96-97 | 174-160 | |
| Total points | 141 | 193 | 334 | |
| Winners | 28 | 38 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 38/76 | 66/99 | 104/175 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 38/66 | 66/104 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 58% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/38 | 13/33 | 35/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 39% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 6/11 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 55% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 13 | 18 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 7/13 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 54% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Mager | ||||
| R1 Neumayer |
R2 Cobolli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 15 | 32 | |
| pts | 67-48 | 69-45 | 136-93 | |
| Total points | 115 | 114 | 229 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 30% | 31% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 26/55 | 25/47 | 51/102 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 53% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 21/25 | 42/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 84% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/29 | 14/22 | 32/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 64% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/14 | 8/24 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 29% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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