Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Federico Gaio will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Santiago Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 7:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.25
Federico Gaio -> 3.65
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Federico Gaio
There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Federico Gaio since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-17 | 2-1 | 32-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 124, the Argentine got to the 2nd round after defeating Nicolas Villalon 6-1 6-0.
In the 1st round, Ugo Carabelli had a good straight sets win against Villalon (6-1 6-0). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 58 points vs Villalon’s 28. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli was unable to score even 1 ace during the match and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (17/23) of his 1st serve and 89% (8/9) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Argentine broke Villalon 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).
Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (259-149). 12-7 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Ugo Carabelli has an overall232-127 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
Camilo’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Piracicaba Challenger.
The Argentine has an aggregate 12-7 win-loss record in 2023, 12-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santiago Challenger
Federico Gaio
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-16 | 2-7 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 14-12 | 25-15 | 3-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-28 | 9-9 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-38 | 6-8 | 14-16 | 13-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-19 | 5-4 | 10-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 356, Gaio got to the 2nd round after defeating Orlando Luz 6-4 7-5, Gonzalo Villanueva 6-4 6-4 and Renzo Olivo 6-75 6-4 6-1.
In the 1st round against Olivo, Gaio recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-4 6-1). During the match Gaio scored 112 points vs Olivo’s 95. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Gaio struck 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Federico Gaio lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Gaio put 56% of his first serves in, winning 76% (39/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (20/40) on the 2nd serve. Federico broke Olivo 7 times after converting 39% of his break points (7/18).
Gaio’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Monastir and M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio.
Gaio has a composed 13-6 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santiago Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 13 | 72 |
| Pts | 58-28 | 243-199 |
| Total Points | 86 | 442 |
| Winners | 17 | 94 |
| %Winners | 29% | 39% |
Ugo Carabelli played 1 match while Gaio competed in 3 matches. Gaio started his run from the qualifications while Ugo Carabelli had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Federico Gaio dropped 1 set while Camilo Ugo Carabelli hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 5 set(s) less than Gaio (2 vs 7). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 59 games less than Gaio. Camilo scored 17 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Gaio recorded 94 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 5.7 |
| 1st in | 23/32 | 117/204 |
| %1st in | 72% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 17/23 | 94/117 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 8/9 | 47/87 |
| %2nd pts | 89% | 54% |
Ugo Carabelli didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Gaio bagged 17 aces (5.7 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 89% of the points. On the other side, Gaio won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 14 |
| Converted | 6/16 | 14/32 |
| % Converted | 38% | 44% |
| Conceded | 2 | 15 |
| Saved | 2 | 9 |
| % Saved | 100% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 |
Camilo broke his opponent 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. Federico broke his opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. Gaio conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||
| R1 Villalon |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 58-28 | 58-28 | |
| Total points | 86 | 86 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 23/32 | 23/32 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 17/23 | 17/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/9 | 8/9 | |
| % 2nd pts | 89% | 89% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Gaio | |||||
| Q1 Luz |
Q3 Villanueva |
R1 Olivo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-75 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 20 | 30 | 72 | |
| pts | 65-49 | 66-55 | 112-95 | 243-199 | |
| Total points | 114 | 121 | 207 | 442 | |
| Winners | 24 | 31 | 39 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 47% | 35% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 28/51 | 38/62 | 51/91 | 117/204 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 61% | 56% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 31/38 | 39/51 | 94/117 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 82% | 76% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/23 | 9/24 | 20/40 | 47/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 38% | 50% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/7 | 7/18 | 14/32 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 57% | 39% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1/3 | 7/10 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 70% | 153% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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LWWLWWWLLW Tennis Scores in Santiago Challenger
- Hugo DellienDellien – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (7-5 4-6 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Hugo GastonGaston (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Luciano DarderiDarderi – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (4-6 6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (3-6 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Facundo BagnisBagnis – Hernan CasanovaCasanova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Hugo DellienDellien (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Riccardo BonadioBonadio (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Federico GaioGaio (0-0) – H2H and prediction
