Cristina Bucsa and Katie Swan will square off in the 1st round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM 8. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Katie Swan who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Katie Swan is the pick to win this match.
Katie Swan -> 1.9
Cristina Bucsa -> 1.9
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Prediction and head to head Cristina Bucsa vs. Katie Swan
This will be the 3rd time that Cristina Bucsa and Katie Swan square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Swan (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Swan won 6-3 7-5 in the 2nd round in the Monzon back in 2018.
Cristina Bucsa
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-25 | 8-14 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 17-15 | 7-8 | 8-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-31 | 17-8 | 15-12 | 10-6 | 5-4 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 31-27 | 9-7 | 9-11 | 6-6 | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| 2020 | 14-13 | 4-3 | 8-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 90, the Spaniard reached the 1st round after defeating Erika Andreeva 6-3 7-5 and Elena Gabriela Ruse 7-63 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Gabriela Ruse (7-63 6-4). During the match, Bucsa scored 87 points vs Gabriela Ruse’s 78. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bucsa couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 4 double faults. Cristina Bucsa lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Bucsa put 60% of her first serves in, winning 62% (28/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Gabriela Ruse 4 times after converting 20% of her break points (4/20).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bucsa started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 54% of the points she played.
Bucsa has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 62% of her matches (242-151). 7-3 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bucsa has an overall76-34 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Spaniard has an overall 7-4 win-loss record in 2023, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.
Katie Swan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-18 | 5-5 | 1-5 | 7-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-13 | 17-6 | 2-3 | 6-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-12 | 11-6 | 1-5 | 5-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 156, Katie got to the 1st round after beating Leolia Jeanjean 6-2 6-1 and Dalma Galfi 6-4 7-66.
In the qualifications, Katie had a good straight sets win against Galfi (6-4 7-66). During the match Swan scored 80 points vs Galfi’s 74. Swan was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Swan struck 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Katie Swan lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Swan put 62% of her first serves in, winning 65% (34/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Galfi 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
The Brit has a composed 5-3 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bucsa | Swan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 38 |
| Pts | 174-148 | 139-114 |
| Total Points | 322 | 253 |
| Winners | 58 | 50 |
| %Winners | 33% | 36% |
Both Bucsa and Swan played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Bucsa and Swan have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Bucsa played 6 games more than Swan. The Spaniard scored 58 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Katie recorded 50 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bucsa | Swan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 96/153 | 76/132 |
| %1st in | 63% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 58/96 | 50/76 |
| %1st pts | 60% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 29/57 | 27/56 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 48% |
Bucsa scored 1 ace (0.5 per match). Swan also fired 6 aces (3 per match). Bucsa won 60% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Swan won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bucsa | Swan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 11 |
| Converted | 11/35 | 11/17 |
| % Converted | 31% | 65% |
| Conceded | 22 | 14 |
| Saved | 15 | 9 |
| % Saved | 68% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 5 |
Cristina broke her opponents 11 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Spaniard dropped her serve 7 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded. The Brit broke her opponents 11 times with a 65% conversion rate. Katie conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Bucsa | ||||
| Q1 Andreeva |
Q3 Gabriela Ruse |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 7-63 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 23 | 44 | |
| pts | 87-70 | 87-78 | 174-148 | |
| Total points | 157 | 165 | 322 | |
| Winners | 30 | 28 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 32% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 51/78 | 45/75 | 96/153 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 60% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 30/51 | 28/45 | 58/96 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 62% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/27 | 17/30 | 29/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 57% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 7/15 | 4/20 | 11/35 | |
| Converted % | 47% | 20% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 6 | 22 | |
| Saved | 12/16 | 3/6 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Swan | ||||
| Q1 Jeanjean |
Q3 Galfi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 23 | 38 | |
| pts | 59-40 | 80-74 | 139-114 | |
| Total points | 99 | 154 | 253 | |
| Winners | 16 | 34 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 43% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 24/48 | 52/84 | 76/132 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 62% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 16/24 | 34/52 | 50/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 65% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/24 | 18/32 | 27/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 56% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 8/11 | 3/6 | 11/17 | |
| Converted % | 73% | 50% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 6/8 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLLWLWL
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