Maximilian Marterer and Alejandro Tabilo will fight against each other in the 1st round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:30 pm on STADIUM 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Tabilo who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alejandro Tabilo is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Tabilo -> 1.86
Maximilian Marterer -> 1.94

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Prediction and head to head Maximilian Marterer vs. Alejandro Tabilo

There is no head to head record between Maximilian Marterer and Alejandro Tabilo since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Maximilian Marterer

Maximilian Marterer

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
724
High
45
LLLLWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 4-6 0-1 3-2 1-1 0-2 0-0
2024 22-32 5-10 11-11 4-8 2-3 0-0
2023 46-27 12-10 13-10 12-4 5-2 4-1
2022 39-28 11-7 17-15 7-5 4-1 0-0
2021 29-28 4-2 15-16 7-7 0-1 3-2

Ranked no. 156, Maximilian reached the 1st round after beating Christopher Eubanks 4-6 7-5 6-3 and Emilio Nava 6-1 7-64.

In the qualifications, Marterer had a good straight sets win against Nava (6-1 7-64). During the match, Marterer scored 67 points vs Nava’s 42. Maximilian was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Marterer scored 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Maximilian Marterer was pretty effective on serve to win 90% (26/29) of his 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Marterer broke Nava 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The German started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Marterer has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (317-212). 7-4 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Marterer has a compiled 66-45 match record in the last years on hard.

Maximilian has a composed 9-6 win-loss record in 2023, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Marterer's Record

Alejandro Tabilo

Alejandro Tabilo

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
81
High
19
LWLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-23 20-13 6-7 1-3 0-0 0-0
2024 38-27 13-8 15-10 3-7 7-2 0-0
2023 52-26 13-5 39-19 0-1 0-1 0-0
2022 33-22 7-6 23-11 0-1 3-4 0-0
2021 38-30 13-9 22-15 1-3 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 187, the Chilean got to the 1st round after beating Christopher O Connell 6-3 5-7 7-5 and Zachary Svajda 6-3 4-6 6-4.

In the qualifications, The Chilean defeated Svajda (6-3 4-6 6-4). During the match Tabilo scored 89 points vs Svajda’s 86. Alejandro was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about serving, Tabilo blasted 12 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Alejandro Tabilo was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 73% (43/59) of his 1st serve and 53% (19/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Alejandro broke Svajda 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tabilo started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Tabilo has an overall 8-6 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Indian Wells
Tabilo's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Marterer
A.Tabilo
3h:27
3h:27
Time on court​
4h:30
4h:30
1h:17
1h:17
Last match​
1h:58
1h:58
2
2
Match played
2
2
51
51
Games Played​
62
62
5
5
Set played​​
6
6
165
165
Total points​
196
196
82.5
82.5
Avg point​
98
98
73
73
Winners
80
80
36.5
36.5
Avg Winners​
40
40
44%
44%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
17
17
2
2
Avg Aces
8.5
8.5
3
3
Double Faults
10
10
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
5
5
73/92
73/92
1st won total​
80/111
80/111
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
39/67
39/67
2nd won total​
44/85
44/85
58%
58%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
6/11
6/11
BP won
8/18
8/18
3/5.5
3/5.5
Avg BP won
4/9
4/9
!
55%
55%
Won
44%
44%
12
12
Conceded
16
16
6
6
Avg Conceded
8
8
3
3
Broken
6
6
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
3
3
9
9
Saved
10
10

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Marterer Tabilo
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 6
Tot Games 51 62
Pts 165-133 196-182
Total Points 298 378
Winners 73 80
%Winners 44% 41%

Both Marterer and Tabilo played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Maximilian Marterer dropped 1 set, while Alejandro Tabilo conceded 2 sets. Marterer has played 1 set(s) less than Tabilo (5 vs 6). Therefore, Marterer played 11 games less than Tabilo. The German scored 73 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Tabilo managed to score 80 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Marterer Tabilo
Aces 4 17
Avg per match 2 8.5
1st in 92/159 111/196
%1st in 58% 57%
1st pts 73/92 80/111
%1st pts 79% 72%
2nd pts 39/67 44/85
%2nd pts 58% 52%

Marterer blasted 4 aces (2 per match). Tabilo managed to score 17 aces (8.5 per match). Marterer won 79% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Tabilo won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Marterer Tabilo
Won 6 8
Converted 6/11 8/18
% Converted 55% 44%
Conceded 12 16
Saved 9 10
% Saved 75% 63%
Times Broken 3 6

Maximilian broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Marterer lost his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Marterer
Q1
Eubanks
Q3
Nava
Total
Score 4-6 7-5 6-3 6-1 7-64
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 31 20 51
pts 98-91 67-42 165-133
Total points 189 109 298
Winners 47 26 73
%Winners 48% 39% 44%
SERVE
Aces 2 2 4
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 63/105 29/54 92/159
% 1st in 60% 54% 58%
1st pts 47/63 26/29 73/92
% 1st pts 75% 90% 79%
2nd pts 22/42 17/25 39/67
% 2nd pts 52% 68% 58%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/6 3/5 6/11
Converted % 50% 60% 55%
Conceded 10 2 12
Saved 8/10 1/2 9
Saved % 80% 50% 65%
Times Broken 2 1 3
Tabilo
Q1
O
Q3
Svajda
Total
Score 6-3 5-7 7-5 6-3 4-6 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 33 29 62
pts 107-96 89-86 196-182
Total points 203 175 378
Winners 37 43 80
%Winners 35% 48% 41%
SERVE
Aces 5 12 17
Double Faults 3 7 10
1st in 52/101 59/95 111/196
% 1st in 51% 62% 57%
1st pts 37/52 43/59 80/111
% 1st pts 71% 73% 72%
2nd pts 25/49 19/36 44/85
% 2nd pts 51% 53% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/13 3/5 8/18
Converted % 38% 60% 44%
Conceded 11 5 16
Saved 7/11 3/5 10
Saved % 64% 60% 62%
Times Broken 4 2 6

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw