Sara Errani and Arantxa Rus will play each other in the qualifications of the BNP Paribas Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 4. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Arantxa Rus who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Arantxa Rus is the pick to win this match.
Arantxa Rus -> 1.84
Sara Errani -> 1.89
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Prediction and head to head Sara Errani vs. Arantxa Rus
This will be the 7th time that Sara Errani and Arantxa Rus fight against each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Errani (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Errani won 6-1 5-7 6-4 in the 1st round in Warsaw back in 2022.
Sara Errani
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-22 | 9-11 | 13-7 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-31 | 11-9 | 21-17 | 3-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 8-10 | 21-15 | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-21 | 6-10 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-13 | 9-8 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 97, Sara reached the qualifications after defeating Ylena In-Albon 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, Sara had a good straight sets win against In-Albon (6-4 6-2). During the match, Errani scored 65 points vs In-Albon’s 47. Errani was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Errani couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the match and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Sara Errani was very effective on serve to win 72% (28/39) of her 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Sara broke In-Albon 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Errani has positive record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (260-206). 6-3 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Errani has a compiled 109-91 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title the W60 Arcadia where she defeated Arantxa Rus in the final w/o.
Sara has a composed 9-5 win-loss record in 2023, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Arantxa Rus
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-33 | 14-14 | 19-13 | 2-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 57-22 | 10-10 | 43-8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 9-10 | 29-17 | 7-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-23 | 5-9 | 33-11 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-17 | 13-8 | 4-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 130, Arantxa reached the qualifications after beating Diana Shnaider 7-60 5-7 6-0.
In the qualifications, Rus defeated Shnaider (7-60 5-7 6-0). During the match Rus scored 100 points vs Shnaider’s 82. Rus was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Rus scored 4 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Arantxa Rus lost the serve 4 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rus put 63% of her first serves in, winning 71% (42/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. Rus broke Shnaider 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).
Arantxa’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the W60 Arcadia.
Arantxa has a composed 7-3 win-loss record in 2023, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Errani | Rus |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 31 |
| Pts | 65-47 | 100-82 |
| Total Points | 112 | 182 |
| Winners | 28 | 42 |
| %Winners | 43% | 42% |
Both Errani and Rus played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Arantxa Rus lost 1 set while Sara Errani hasn’t lost a set so far. Errani has played 1 set(s) less than Rus (2 vs 3). Therefore, Errani played 13 games less than Rus. Sara scored 28 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Arantxa scored 42 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Errani | Rus |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 4 |
| 1st in | 39/53 | 59/94 |
| %1st in | 74% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 28/39 | 42/59 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 17/35 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 49% |
Errani didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Rus recorded 4 aces . Errani won 72% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Rus won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Errani | Rus |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 6/7 |
| % Converted | 80% | 86% |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Saved | 3 | 1 |
| % Saved | 75% | 20% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Errani broke her opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Sara conceded her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. The Dutch broke her opponent 6 times with a 86% conversion rate. Arantxa conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 20% of the break points that she conceded.
| Errani | |||
| Q1 In-Albon |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 65-47 | 65-47 | |
| Total points | 112 | 112 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 39/53 | 39/53 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 28/39 | 28/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 9/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Rus | |||
| Q1 Shnaider |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-60 5-7 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 100-82 | 100-82 | |
| Total points | 182 | 182 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 59/94 | 59/94 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 42/59 | 42/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/35 | 17/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 6/7 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 86% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 20% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLLWWL
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