Varvara Gracheva and Anna-Lena Friedsam will play each other in the qualifications of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 2:00 pm on STADIUM 8. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Anna-Lena Friedsam who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Anna-Lena Friedsam is the pick to win this match.
Anna-Lena Friedsam -> 1.79
Varvara Gracheva -> 1.95
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Prediction and head to head Varvara Gracheva vs. Anna-Lena Friedsam
This will be the 3rd time that Varvara Gracheva and Anna-Lena Friedsam square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Friedsam (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Friedsam won 2-6 6-3 6-1 in the qualifications in Linz back in February 2023.
Varvara Gracheva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-19 | 4-8 | 15-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-30 | 23-18 | 7-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-32 | 7-11 | 12-14 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 11-10 | 7-10 | 9-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-14 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 66, the Russian got to the qualifications after defeating Petra Marcinko 7-62 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Marcinko (7-62 6-4). During the match, Gracheva scored 78 points vs Marcinko’s 69. Gracheva was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gracheva scored 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Varvara Gracheva lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Gracheva put 62% of her first serves in, winning 62% (28/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. Gracheva broke Marcinko 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Gracheva has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 60% of her matches (211-142). 10-6 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Gracheva has an overall50-49 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Austin.
Varvara has an aggregate 12-9 win-loss record in 2023, 10-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Gracheva has never competed in this tournament before.
Anna-Lena Friedsam
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-27 | 8-9 | 10-8 | 13-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-27 | 7-9 | 10-9 | 12-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 18-23 | 3-6 | 9-8 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-14 | 3-5 | 1-4 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 99, the German got to the qualifications after defeating Marina Bassols Ribera 6-1 6-0.
In the qualifications, Anna-Lena had a good straight sets win against Bassols Ribera (6-1 6-0). During the match Friedsam scored 72 points vs Bassols Ribera’s 45. Anna-Lena was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Friedsam recorded 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Anna-Lena Friedsam conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Friedsam put 72% of her first serves in, winning 84% (26/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (5/12) on the 2nd serve. Friedsam broke Bassols Ribera 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).
The German has a compiled 8-4 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gracheva | Friedsam |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 13 |
| Pts | 78-69 | 72-45 |
| Total Points | 147 | 117 |
| Winners | 28 | 26 |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% |
Both Gracheva and Friedsam played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gracheva and Friedsam have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Gracheva played 10 games more than Friedsam. Gracheva scored 28 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Friedsam bagged 26 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gracheva | Friedsam |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 45/73 | 31/43 |
| %1st in | 62% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 28/45 | 26/31 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 14/28 | 5/12 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 42% |
Gracheva blasted 5 aces . Friedsam fired 3 aces . Gracheva won 62% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Friedsam won 84% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gracheva | Friedsam |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/14 |
| % Converted | 38% | 36% |
| Conceded | 8 | 2 |
| Saved | 4 | 2 |
| % Saved | 50% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 |
Varvara broke her opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Russian lost her serve 4 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The German broke her opponent 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. The German was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Gracheva | |||
| Q1 Marcinko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 78-69 | 78-69 | |
| Total points | 147 | 147 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 45/73 | 45/73 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 28/45 | 28/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/28 | 14/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Friedsam | |||
| Q1 Bassols |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 72-45 | 72-45 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 31/43 | 31/43 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 26/31 | 26/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWWWLW
LLLLWWLLWL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
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