James McCabe and Keegan Smith will play each other in the qualifications of the Puerto Vallarta Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 3:00 pm on ESTADIO PUERTO MAGICO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is James McCabe who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, James McCabe is the pick to win this match.
James McCabe -> 1.43
Keegan Smith -> 2.67
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Prediction and head to head James McCabe vs. Keegan Smith
There is no head to head record between James McCabe and Keegan Smith since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
James McCabe
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-19 | 16-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-27 | 24-14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 30-19 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-5 | 17-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 306 (career-high), McCabe reached the qualifications after beating Ivar Aramburu Contreras 6-3 6-0.
In the qualifications, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Jose Aramburu Contreras (6-3 6-0). During the match, McCabe scored 65 points vs Jose Aramburu Contreras’s 36. McCabe was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, McCabe made 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. James McCabe was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (26/32) of his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian broke Jose Aramburu Contreras 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
McCabe has a solid record in the last 4 years having won 65% of his matches (68-37). 12-5 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, McCabe has a composed59-29 record in the last 4 years on hard.
The Australian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Bengaluru Challenger.
McCabe has an aggregate 12-5 win-loss record in 2023, 12-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Puerto Vallarta Challenger
James has never competed in this tournament before.
Keegan Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-13 | 17-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-26 | 31-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-24 | 26-14 | 3-4 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 459, the American got to the qualifications after beating Daniel Cukierman 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Cukierman (6-3 6-3). During the match Smith scored 65 points vs Cukierman’s 46. Keegan was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Smith made 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Keegan Smith lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Smith put 75% of his first serves in, winning 82% (31/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (6/13) on the 2nd serve. Keegan broke Cukierman 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
The American has a composed 6-5 win-loss record in 2023, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | McCabe | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 18 |
| Pts | 65-36 | 65-46 |
| Total Points | 101 | 111 |
| Winners | 26 | 31 |
| %Winners | 40% | 48% |
Both McCabe and Smith played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, McCabe and Smith have played the same amount of sets 2. However, McCabe played 3 games less than Smith. The Australian scored 26 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 31 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | McCabe | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 7 |
| 1st in | 32/47 | 38/51 |
| %1st in | 68% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 31/38 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 6/13 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 46% |
McCabe recorded 9 aces . Smith fired 7 aces . McCabe won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | McCabe | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 80% | 50% |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
James broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. The Australian quite strong on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 3 break points. The American broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| McCabe | |||
| Q1 Jose Aramburu Contreras |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 65-36 | 65-36 | |
| Total points | 101 | 101 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 32/47 | 32/47 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 26/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 10/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Smith | |||
| Q1 Cukierman |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 65-46 | 65-46 | |
| Total points | 111 | 111 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 38/51 | 38/51 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 31/38 | 31/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWLLLW
LWWLWLWWLL 
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