Aleksandar Kovacevic and Alexandre Muller will clash against each other in the final of the Waco Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aleksandar Kovacevic who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aleksandar Kovacevic is the pick to win this match.
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 1.74
Alexandre Muller -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Alexandre Muller
There is no head to head record between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Alexandre Muller since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Aleksandar Kovacevic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-18 | 14-7 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-27 | 34-15 | 0-5 | 7-2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-31 | 22-18 | 4-4 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-17 | 11-10 | 2-3 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 121 (career-high), Kovacevic got to the final after defeating Ryan Harrison 6-3 7-64, Nick Hardt 6-2 6-1, Gastao Elias 7-5 7-5 and Borna Gojo 6-3 7-67.
In the semifinal, The American had a good straight sets win against Gojo (6-3 7-67). During the match, Kovacevic scored 75 points vs Gojo’s 64. Kovacevic was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kovacevic made 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Aleksandar Kovacevic was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (34/46) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Gojo twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aleksandar hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Kovacevic has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (120-90). 6-3 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kovacevic has an aggregate69-56 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Cleveland Challenger where he defeated Yibing Wu in the final 3-6 7-5 7-6(2).
Kovacevic has an aggregate 11-3 win-loss record in 2023, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Waco Challenger
Kovacevic has never competed in this tournament before.
Alexandre Muller
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-19 | 7-8 | 14-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-33 | 20-13 | 18-12 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-31 | 6-6 | 27-20 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 6-7 | 16-15 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-13 | 3-2 | 15-9 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 146, Muller got to the final after defeating Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-2 3-6 7-68, Marco Trungelliti 6-1 6-2, Seong Chan Hong 6-77 7-61 6-2 and Alex Michelsen 6-3 6-0.
In the semifinal, Alexandre had a good straight sets win against Michelsen (6-3 6-0). During the match Muller scored 55 points vs Michelsen’s 28. Alexandre was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Muller wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alexandre Muller was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Muller broke Michelsen 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Muller has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Muller’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Waco Challenger.
Muller has an overall 16-7 win-loss record in 2023, 14-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kovacevic | Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 83 | 94 |
| Pts | 300-242 | 312-235 |
| Total Points | 542 | 547 |
| Winners | 123 | 140 |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% |
Both Kovacevic and Muller played 4 matches. At the moment, Alexandre Muller lost 2 sets while Aleksandar Kovacevic hasn’t lost a set so far. Kovacevic has played 2 set(s) less than Muller (8 vs 10). Therefore, Kovacevic played 11 games less than Muller. Kovacevic scored 123 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Muller scored 140 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kovacevic | Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st in | 160/273 | 191/277 |
| %1st in | 59% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 123/160 | 140/191 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 66/113 | 52/86 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 60% |
Kovacevic made 21 aces (5.3 per match). Muller recorded 11 aces (2.8 per match). Kovacevic won 77% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Muller won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kovacevic | Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 18 |
| Converted | 11/27 | 18/27 |
| % Converted | 41% | 67% |
| Conceded | 11 | 16 |
| Saved | 8 | 9 |
| % Saved | 73% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 7 |
Kovacevic broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Alexandre broke his opponents 18 times with a 67% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kovacevic | ||||||
| R1 Harrison |
R2 Hardt |
1/4 Elias |
1/2 Gojo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | 6-2 6-1 | 7-5 7-5 | 6-3 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 15 | 24 | 22 | 83 | |
| pts | 72-69 | 62-36 | 91-73 | 75-64 | 300-242 | |
| Total points | 141 | 98 | 164 | 139 | 542 | |
| Winners | 35 | 22 | 32 | 34 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 35% | 35% | 45% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 46/77 | 31/55 | 37/73 | 46/68 | 160/273 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 56% | 51% | 68% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 35/46 | 22/31 | 32/37 | 34/46 | 123/160 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 71% | 86% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 16/24 | 20/36 | 14/22 | 66/113 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 67% | 56% | 64% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 4/6 | 3/9 | 2/5 | 11/27 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 67% | 33% | 40% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/3 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Muller | ||||||
| R1 Pablo Ficovich |
R2 Trungelliti |
1/4 Chan Hong |
1/2 Michelsen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 7-68 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-77 7-61 6-2 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 15 | 34 | 15 | 94 | |
| pts | 93-86 | 54-24 | 110-97 | 55-28 | 312-235 | |
| Total points | 179 | 78 | 207 | 83 | 547 | |
| Winners | 41 | 25 | 50 | 24 | 140 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 46% | 45% | 44% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 57/85 | 31/40 | 72/109 | 31/43 | 191/277 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 78% | 66% | 72% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 41/57 | 25/31 | 50/72 | 24/31 | 140/191 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 81% | 69% | 77% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 7/9 | 22/37 | 7/12 | 52/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 78% | 59% | 58% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/4 | 5/8 | 5/9 | 18/27 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 100% | 63% | 56% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 16 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 0/0 | 7/10 | 1/2 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 25% | – | 70% | 50% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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