Andrey Rublev and Daniil Medvedev will fight against each other in the final of the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.23
Andrey Rublev -> 4.2
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Daniil Medvedev
This will be the 8th time that Andrey Rublev and Daniil Medvedev fight against each other. The head to head is 5-2 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.
The last time that they played, Rublev won 6-7(7) 6-3 7-6(7) in the R in Nitto atp finals back in 2022.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Daniil Medvedev – Nitto atp finals 14-November-2022
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-25 | 16-13 | 8-6 | 6-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, the Russian got to the final after beating Filip Krajinovic 7-5 6-2, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6 7-66 7-63, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 7-63 and Alexander Zverev 6-3 7-69.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Zverev (6-3 7-69). During the match, Rublev scored 83 points vs Zverev’s 71. Andrey was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Andrey Rublev was extremely effective on serve to win 75% (33/44) of his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Zverev 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andrey has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (371-210). 9-4 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has an aggregate 146-77 record in the last years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Dubai.
Rublev has an overall 9-5 win-loss record in 2023, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Daniil got to the final after beating Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-2, Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-2, Borna Coric 6-3 6-2 and Novak Djokovic 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Djokovic (6-4 6-4). During the match Medvedev scored 63 points vs Djokovic’s 61. Daniil was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Medvedev bagged 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve once. Furthermore, Medvedev put 58% of his first serves in, winning 78% (28/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. Daniil broke Djokovic 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4.
Daniil has a composed 18-2 win-loss record in 2023, 13-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 97 | 73 |
| Pts | 350-303 | 254-185 |
| Total Points | 653 | 439 |
| Winners | 143 | 106 |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% |
Both Rublev and Medvedev played 4 matches. At the moment, Andrey Rublev lost 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Rublev has played 1 set more than Medvedev (9 vs 8). Therefore, Rublev played 24 games more than Medvedev. The Russian scored 143 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Medvedev fired 106 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 7.8 | 5.8 |
| 1st in | 183/299 | 129/208 |
| %1st in | 61% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 143/183 | 106/129 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 71/116 | 45/79 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 57% |
Rublev managed to score 31 aces (7.8 per match). Medvedev blasted 23 aces (5.8 per match). Rublev won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 14 |
| Converted | 9/26 | 14/20 |
| % Converted | 35% | 70% |
| Conceded | 12 | 3 |
| Saved | 7 | 1 |
| % Saved | 58% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
The Russian broke his opponents 9 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded. Daniil broke his opponents 14 times with a 70% conversion rate. Daniil conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||||
| R1 Krajinovic | R2 Davidovich Fokina | 1/4 Van De Zandschulp | 1/2 Zverev | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | 1-6 7-66 7-63 | 6-3 7-63 | 6-3 7-69 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 33 | 22 | 22 | 97 | |
| pts | 74-54 | 105-108 | 88-70 | 83-71 | 350-303 | |
| Total points | 128 | 213 | 158 | 154 | 653 | |
| Winners | 26 | 48 | 36 | 33 | 143 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 46% | 41% | 40% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 29/56 | 63/101 | 47/72 | 44/70 | 183/299 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 62% | 65% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 26/29 | 48/63 | 36/47 | 33/44 | 143/183 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 76% | 77% | 75% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 22/38 | 17/25 | 17/26 | 71/116 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 58% | 68% | 65% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 0/2 | 2/12 | 3/6 | 9/26 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 0% | 17% | 50% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/4 | 4/5 | 0/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 80% | 0% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Medvedev | ||||||
| R1 Arnaldi | R2 Bublik | 1/4 Coric | 1/2 Djokovic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 17 | 20 | 73 | |
| pts | 72-54 | 59-36 | 60-34 | 63-61 | 254-185 | |
| Total points | 126 | 95 | 94 | 124 | 439 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | 20 | 28 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 49% | 33% | 44% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 37/62 | 30/41 | 26/43 | 36/62 | 129/208 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 73% | 60% | 58% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 29/37 | 29/30 | 20/26 | 28/36 | 106/129 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 97% | 77% | 78% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 7/11 | 11/17 | 13/26 | 45/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 64% | 65% | 50% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | 5/6 | 3/4 | 14/20 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | 83% | 75% | 70% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 50% | 0% | 13% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Andrey RublevRublev (5-2) – H2H and prediction