Andrey Rublev and Daniil Medvedev will fight against each other in the final of the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.23
Andrey Rublev -> 4.2

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Daniil Medvedev

This will be the 8th time that Andrey Rublev and Daniil Medvedev fight against each other. The head to head is 5-2 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.

The last time that they played, Rublev won 6-7(7) 6-3 7-6(7) in the R in Nitto atp finals back in 2022.

Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Daniil Medvedev – Nitto atp finals 14-November-2022

Andrey Rublev

Andrey Rublev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
16
High
5
LWWLLLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-25 16-13 8-6 6-4 4-2 0-0
2024 43-26 26-11 11-6 6-7 0-2 0-0
2023 56-26 23-12 19-5 6-7 8-2 0-0
2022 51-20 19-7 14-6 18-6 0-1 0-0
2021 53-23 25-10 9-5 12-6 7-2 0-0

Ranked no. 6, the Russian got to the final after beating Filip Krajinovic 7-5 6-2, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6 7-66 7-63, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 7-63 and Alexander Zverev 6-3 7-69.

In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Zverev (6-3 7-69). During the match, Rublev scored 83 points vs Zverev’s 71. Andrey was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rublev bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Andrey Rublev was extremely effective on serve to win 75% (33/44) of his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Zverev 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Andrey has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (371-210). 9-4 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Rublev has an aggregate 146-77 record in the last years on hard.

The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Dubai.

Rublev has an overall 9-5 win-loss record in 2023, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Dubai

Dubai
Rublev's Record

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
13
High
1
LWWLWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-23 20-12 6-4 10-4 5-3 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0

Ranked no. 7, Daniil got to the final after beating Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-2, Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-2, Borna Coric 6-3 6-2 and Novak Djokovic 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Djokovic (6-4 6-4). During the match Medvedev scored 63 points vs Djokovic’s 61. Daniil was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Medvedev bagged 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve once. Furthermore, Medvedev put 58% of his first serves in, winning 78% (28/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. Daniil broke Djokovic 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4.

Daniil has a composed 18-2 win-loss record in 2023, 13-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Dubai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017. See his history.

Dubai
Medvedev's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Rublev
D.Medvedev
7h:43
7h:43
Time on court​
5h:31
5h:31
1h:58
1h:58
Last match​
1h:35
1h:35
4
4
Match played
4
4
97
97
Games Played​
73
73
9
9
Set played​​
8
8
350
350
Total points​
254
254
87.5
87.5
Avg point​
63.5
63.5
143
143
Winners
106
106
35.8
35.8
Avg Winners​
26.5
26.5
41%
41%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
31
31
Aces
23
23
7.8
7.8
Avg Aces
5.8
5.8
6
6
Double Faults
8
8
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
143/183
143/183
1st won total​
106/129
106/129
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
71/116
71/116
2nd won total​
45/79
45/79
!
61%
61%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
9/26
9/26
BP won
14/20
14/20
2.3/6.5
2.3/6.5
Avg BP won
3.5/5
3.5/5
35%
35%
Won
!
70%
70%
12
12
Conceded
3
3
3
3
Avg Conceded
0.8
0.8
5
5
Broken
2
2
1.3
1.3
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
7
7
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rublev Medvedev
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 9 8
Tot Games 97 73
Pts 350-303 254-185
Total Points 653 439
Winners 143 106
%Winners 41% 42%

Both Rublev and Medvedev played 4 matches. At the moment, Andrey Rublev lost 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Rublev has played 1 set more than Medvedev (9 vs 8). Therefore, Rublev played 24 games more than Medvedev. The Russian scored 143 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Medvedev fired 106 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rublev Medvedev
Aces 31 23
Avg per match 7.8 5.8
1st in 183/299 129/208
%1st in 61% 62%
1st pts 143/183 106/129
%1st pts 78% 82%
2nd pts 71/116 45/79
%2nd pts 61% 57%

Rublev managed to score 31 aces (7.8 per match). Medvedev blasted 23 aces (5.8 per match). Rublev won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rublev Medvedev
Won 9 14
Converted 9/26 14/20
% Converted 35% 70%
Conceded 12 3
Saved 7 1
% Saved 58% 33%
Times Broken 5 2

The Russian broke his opponents 9 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded. Daniil broke his opponents 14 times with a 70% conversion rate. Daniil conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
R1
Krajinovic
R2
Davidovich Fokina
1/4
Van De Zandschulp
1/2
Zverev
Total
Score 7-5 6-2 1-6 7-66 7-63 6-3 7-63 6-3 7-69
Tot Set 2 3 2 2 9
Tot Games 20 33 22 22 97
pts 74-54 105-108 88-70 83-71 350-303
Total points 128 213 158 154 653
Winners 26 48 36 33 143
%Winners 35% 46% 41% 40% 41%
SERVE
Aces 8 12 9 2 31
Double Faults 1 2 1 2 6
1st in 29/56 63/101 47/72 44/70 183/299
% 1st in 52% 62% 65% 63% 61%
1st pts 26/29 48/63 36/47 33/44 143/183
% 1st pts 90% 76% 77% 75% 78%
2nd pts 15/27 22/38 17/25 17/26 71/116
% 2nd pts 56% 58% 68% 65% 61%
Breaks
Won 4 0 2 3 9
Converted 4/6 0/2 2/12 3/6 9/26
Converted % 67% 0% 17% 50% 35%
Conceded 2 4 5 1 12
Saved 1/2 2/4 4/5 0/1 7
Saved % 50% 50% 80% 0% 45%
Times Broken 1 2 1 1 5
Medvedev
R1
Arnaldi
R2
Bublik
1/4
Coric
1/2
Djokovic
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 6-4 6-2 6-3 6-2 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 18 18 17 20 73
pts 72-54 59-36 60-34 63-61 254-185
Total points 126 95 94 124 439
Winners 29 29 20 28 106
%Winners 40% 49% 33% 44% 42%
SERVE
Aces 6 5 4 8 23
Double Faults 3 1 3 1 8
1st in 37/62 30/41 26/43 36/62 129/208
% 1st in 60% 73% 60% 58% 62%
1st pts 29/37 29/30 20/26 28/36 106/129
% 1st pts 78% 97% 77% 78% 82%
2nd pts 14/25 7/11 11/17 13/26 45/79
% 2nd pts 56% 64% 65% 50% 57%
Breaks
Won 3 3 5 3 14
Converted 3/5 3/5 5/6 3/4 14/20
Converted % 60% 60% 83% 75% 70%
Conceded 0 0 2 1 3
Saved 0/0 0/0 1/2 0/1 1
Saved % 50% 0% 13%
Times Broken 0 0 1 1 2

Upcoming matches in the draw