Taylor Fritz and Tommy Paul will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 8:00 pm on ESTADIO. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Taylor Fritz is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.53
Tommy Paul -> 2.51
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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Tommy Paul
This will be the 7th time that Taylor Fritz and Tommy Paul clash against each other. The head to head is 3-3 for Fritz and Paul (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Fritz won 7-6(2) 6-4 in the 3rd round in Miami back in 2022.
Highlights Taylor Fritz vs Tommy Paul – Miami 28-March-2022
Taylor Fritz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-6 | 13-5 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-23 | 23-10 | 15-7 | 6-4 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5 (career-high), the American got to the semifinal after beating John Isner 3-6 6-3 6-4, Denis Shapovalov 6-4 6-4 and Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, Fritz had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (6-3 6-4). During the match, Fritz scored 68 points vs Tiafoe’s 55. Taylor was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Fritz made 5 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Taylor Fritz was pretty efficient on serve to win 75% (24/32) of his 1st serve and 66% (21/32) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Tiafoe twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Taylor has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Fritz has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (312-196). 12-2 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fritz has an aggregate 190-102 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Australia where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(6) and in Delray Beach where he defeated Miomir Kecmanovic in the final 6-0 5-7 6-2.
The American has an aggregate 14-3 win-loss record in 2023, 12-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Acapulco
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-6 | 10-4 | 4-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, Paul reached the semifinal after defeating Emilio Gomez 6-1 7-64, Michael Mmoh 6-4 2-2 ret. and Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-2 6-2.
In the quarter, Paul had a good straight sets win against Mcdonald (6-2 6-2). During the match Paul scored 57 points vs Mcdonald’s 31. Tommy was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Paul recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Tommy Paul was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 80% (8/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Paul broke Mcdonald 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paul hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Tommy’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in at the Australian Open .
Paul has a compiled 11-3 win-loss record in 2023, 10-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Acapulco
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2020 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 67 | 50 |
| Pts | 214-188 | 190-140 |
| Total Points | 402 | 330 |
| Winners | 99 | 88 |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% |
Both Fritz and Paul played 3 matches. At the moment, Taylor Fritz dropped 1 set while Tommy Paul hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Talking about their workload, Fritz and Paul have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Fritz played 17 games more than Paul. The American scored 99 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The American managed to score 88 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 116/199 | 113/158 |
| %1st in | 58% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 99/116 | 88/113 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 43/83 | 27/45 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 60% |
Fritz scored 16 aces (5.3 per match). Paul recorded 9 aces (3 per match). Fritz won 85% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 8 |
| Converted | 7/11 | 8/23 |
| % Converted | 64% | 35% |
| Conceded | 10 | 8 |
| Saved | 8 | 7 |
| % Saved | 80% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Fritz broke his opponents 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. Fritz dropped his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Tommy broke his opponents 8 times with a 35% conversion rate. Tommy conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fritz | |||||
| R1 Isner |
R2 Shapovalov |
1/4 Tiafoe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 20 | 19 | 67 | |
| pts | 82-80 | 64-53 | 68-55 | 214-188 | |
| Total points | 162 | 117 | 123 | 402 | |
| Winners | 47 | 28 | 24 | 99 | |
| %Winners | 57% | 44% | 35% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 7 | 5 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 55/83 | 29/52 | 32/64 | 116/199 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 56% | 50% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 47/55 | 28/29 | 24/32 | 99/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 97% | 75% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/28 | 11/23 | 21/32 | 43/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 48% | 66% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 7/11 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 60% | 67% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/2 | 4/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Paul | |||||
| R1 Gomez |
R2 Mmoh |
1/4 Mcdonald |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-64 | 6-4 2-2 ret. | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 14 | 16 | 50 | |
| pts | 81-64 | 52-45 | 57-31 | 190-140 | |
| Total points | 145 | 97 | 88 | 330 | |
| Winners | 36 | 26 | 26 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 50% | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 47/66 | 33/49 | 33/43 | 113/158 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 67% | 77% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 36/47 | 26/33 | 26/33 | 88/113 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 79% | 79% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 8/16 | 8/10 | 27/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 50% | 80% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 1/3 | 4/9 | 8/23 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 33% | 44% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 100% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWWWLWW
WWLWWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Acapulco
- Holger RuneRune – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-0 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Andre Goransson/Ben McLachlanGoransson/Ben McLachlan – Mackenzie McDonald/Ben SheltonMcDonald/Ben Shelton (6-1 6-74 11-9) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Taro DanielDaniel (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-0 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Taro DanielDaniel (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tommy PaulPaul – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (2-0) – H2H and prediction
