Aleksandar Kovacevic and Gastao Elias will face off in the quarter of the Waco Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aleksandar Kovacevic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aleksandar Kovacevic is the pick to win this match.
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 1.32
Gastao Elias -> 3.24
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Prediction and head to head Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Gastao Elias
There is no head to head record between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Gastao Elias since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Aleksandar Kovacevic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-18 | 14-7 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-27 | 34-15 | 0-5 | 7-2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-31 | 22-18 | 4-4 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-17 | 11-10 | 2-3 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 121 (career-high), Aleksandar got to the quarter after defeating Ryan Harrison 6-3 7-64 and Nick Hardt 6-2 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Hardt (6-2 6-1). During the match, Kovacevic scored 62 points vs Hardt’s 36. The American was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kovacevic fired 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Aleksandar Kovacevic was very efficient on serve to win 71% (22/31) of his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Hardt 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Kovacevic has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (118-90). 4-3 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Kovacevic has a composed67-56 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Cleveland Challenger where he defeated Yibing Wu in the final 3-6 7-5 7-6(2).
Aleksandar has an aggregate 9-3 win-loss record in 2023, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Waco Challenger
Kovacevic has never competed in this tournament before.
Gastao Elias
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-17 | 7-4 | 16-11 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-18 | 10-8 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-24 | 4-3 | 18-17 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-18 | 13-5 | 24-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-7 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 248, the Portuguese reached the quarter after defeating Enzo Couacaud 7-64 6-2 and Aziz Dougaz 7-5 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Portuguese had a good straight sets win against Dougaz (7-5 6-3). During the match Elias scored 74 points vs Dougaz’s 61. Elias was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Elias recorded 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Gastao Elias lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Elias put 56% of his first serves in, winning 83% (30/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Gastao broke Dougaz 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gastao hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Elias has an aggregate 3-3 win-loss record in 2023, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kovacevic | Elias |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 42 |
| Pts | 134-105 | 151-116 |
| Total Points | 239 | 267 |
| Winners | 57 | 53 |
| %Winners | 43% | 35% |
Both Kovacevic and Elias played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kovacevic and Elias have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Kovacevic played 5 games less than Elias. Kovacevic scored 57 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Gastao fired 53 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kovacevic | Elias |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 77/132 | 63/120 |
| %1st in | 58% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 57/77 | 53/63 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 32/55 | 32/57 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 56% |
Kovacevic scored 12 aces (6 per match). Elias managed to score 5 aces (2.5 per match). Kovacevic won 74% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Elias won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kovacevic | Elias |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 7 |
| Converted | 6/13 | 7/18 |
| % Converted | 46% | 39% |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 |
| Saved | 6 | 1 |
| % Saved | 86% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Kovacevic broke his opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. The American surrendered his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Elias broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Gastao conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kovacevic | ||||
| R1 Harrison |
R2 Hardt |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 15 | 37 | |
| pts | 72-69 | 62-36 | 134-105 | |
| Total points | 141 | 98 | 239 | |
| Winners | 35 | 22 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 35% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 46/77 | 31/55 | 77/132 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 56% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 35/46 | 22/31 | 57/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 71% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 16/24 | 32/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 67% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 4/6 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 67% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Elias | ||||
| R1 Couacaud |
R2 Dougaz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-2 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | 42 | |
| pts | 77-55 | 74-61 | 151-116 | |
| Total points | 132 | 135 | 267 | |
| Winners | 23 | 30 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 41% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 27/56 | 36/64 | 63/120 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 56% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 23/27 | 30/36 | 53/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 83% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/29 | 13/28 | 32/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 46% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 4/8 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 50% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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