Alexis Galarneau and Shintaro Mochizuki will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Waco Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexis Galarneau who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexis Galarneau is the pick to win this match.
Alexis Galarneau -> 1.51
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 2.43
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Prediction and head to head Alexis Galarneau vs. Shintaro Mochizuki
There is no head to head record between Alexis Galarneau and Shintaro Mochizuki since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Alexis Galarneau
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-11 | 9-5 | 8-5 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-26 | 20-18 | 3-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-28 | 12-7 | 9-9 | 18-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-20 | 13-9 | 5-6 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-3 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 224, Galarneau reached the 2nd round after defeating Elmar Ejupovic 6-0 6-3.
In the 1st round, Alexis had a good straight sets win against Ejupovic (6-0 6-3). During the match, Galarneau scored 64 points vs Ejupovic’s 43. The Canadian was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Galarneau managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alexis Galarneau was exceptionally effective on serve to win 75% (21/28) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Galarneau broke Ejupovic 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Galarneau has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 55% of his matches (113-93). 2-2 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Galarneau has an overall64-47 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Galarneau has a compiled 2-3 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Waco Challenger
Galarneau has never competed in this tournament before.
Shintaro Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-17 | 5-8 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 14-12 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 299 (career-high), Shintaro got to the 2nd round after beating Alec Beckley 6-4 6-4, Illya Marchenko 6-3 4-6 7-63 and Rinky Hijikata 3-6 7-62 7-5.
In the 1st round against Hijikata, Shintaro recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-62 7-5).During the match Mochizuki scored less points (3) than Hijikata. In fact, the world no. 224 won 117 points vs Hijikata’s. That means that Mochizuki was more focused during the important points. The Japanese was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Mochizuki made 8 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 64% of his first serves in, winning 66% (45/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (18/38) on the 2nd serve. Mochizuki broke Hijikata 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Shintaro has a compiled 11-6 win-loss record in 2023, 11-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Galarneau | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 86 |
| Pts | 64-43 | 294-281 |
| Total Points | 107 | 575 |
| Winners | 21 | 102 |
| %Winners | 33% | 35% |
Galarneau played 1 match while Mochizuki competed in 3 matches. Mochizuki started his run from the qualifications while Galarneau had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Shintaro Mochizuki surrendered 2 sets while Alexis Galarneau hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Galarneau has played 6 set(s) less than Mochizuki (2 vs 8). Therefore, Galarneau played 71 games less than Mochizuki. Alexis scored 21 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese fired 102 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Galarneau | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 28/47 | 151/264 |
| %1st in | 60% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 102/151 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 55/113 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 49% |
Galarneau bagged 2 aces . Mochizuki blasted 13 aces (4.3 per match). Galarneau won 75% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Galarneau | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 14 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 14/28 |
| % Converted | 45% | 50% |
| Conceded | 2 | 20 |
| Saved | 2 | 9 |
| % Saved | 100% | 45% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 11 |
Alexis broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Alexis very solid his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. Shintaro broke his opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. Mochizuki conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 45% of the break points that he conceded.
| Galarneau | |||
| R1 Ejupovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 64-43 | 64-43 | |
| Total points | 107 | 107 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 28/47 | 28/47 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 21/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 11/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Mochizuki | |||||
| Q1 Beckley |
Q3 Marchenko |
R1 Hijikata |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 4-6 7-63 | 3-6 7-62 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 32 | 34 | 86 | |
| pts | 74-65 | 103-96 | 117-120 | 294-281 | |
| Total points | 139 | 199 | 237 | 575 | |
| Winners | 24 | 33 | 45 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | 38% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 33/66 | 50/92 | 68/106 | 151/264 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 54% | 64% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 24/33 | 33/50 | 45/68 | 102/151 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 66% | 66% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 20/42 | 18/38 | 55/113 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 48% | 47% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 6/9 | 4/11 | 14/28 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 36% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 1/6 | 3/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 17% | 43% | 131% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWLWWLLW
LLLLWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Waco Challenger
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Seong Chan HongChan Hong – Nicolas MejiaMejia (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Alex BoltBolt (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Seong Chan HongChan Hong – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Borna GojoGojo – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aziz DougazDougaz – Gastao EliasElias (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nick HardtHardt – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
