Ugo Humbert and Mathias Bourgue will face off in the 2nd round of the Pau Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ugo Humbert who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ugo Humbert is the pick to win this match.
Ugo Humbert -> 1.3
Mathias Bourgue -> 3.3
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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Mathias Bourgue
This will be the 2nd time that Ugo Humbert and Mathias Bourgue square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Humbert (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played, Humbert won 6-3 6-3 in the quarter in the Cassis Challenger back in 2018.
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-13 | 11-4 | 4-5 | 4-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-14 | 11-7 | 4-3 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 89, the French player got to the 2nd round after defeating Calvin Hemery 6-3 6-73 6-4.
In the 1st round, Humbert defeated Hemery (6-3 6-73 6-4). During the match, Humbert scored 100 points vs Hemery’s 88. Ugo was pretty aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Regarding the service games, Humbert bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Ugo Humbert was very effective on serve to win 77% (46/60) of his 1st serve and 68% (26/38) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Hemery twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Humbert has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 60% of his matches (258-172). 3-2 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Humbert has an aggregate78-55 record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
Ugo has an aggregate 5-5 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Pau Challenger
Ugo has never competed in this tournament before.
Mathias Bourgue
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-20 | 0-1 | 8-14 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-28 | 6-4 | 22-13 | 16-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 22-19 | 5-5 | 7-10 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 6-7 | 11-9 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 427, Bourgue reached the 2nd round after beating Alexey Vatutin 6-3 6-4, Arthur Gea 6-3 6-3 and Jelle Sels 6-1 7-66.
In the 1st round, Bourgue had a good straight sets win against Sels (6-1 7-66). During the match Bourgue scored 81 points vs Sels’s 54. Bourgue was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Bourgue scored 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Mathias Bourgue was pretty effective on serve to win 94% (32/34) of his 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Bourgue broke Sels 3 times after converting 18% of his break points (3/17).
Bourgue has a composed 9-4 win-loss record in 2023, 7-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Humbert | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 57 |
| Pts | 100-88 | 214-154 |
| Total Points | 188 | 368 |
| Winners | 46 | 89 |
| %Winners | 46% | 42% |
Humbert played 1 match while Bourgue competed in 3 matches. Bourgue started his run from the qualifications while Humbert had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Ugo Humbert dropped 1 set while Mathias Bourgue hasn’t lost a set so far. Humbert has played 3 set(s) less than Bourgue (3 vs 6). Therefore, Humbert played 25 games less than Bourgue. Ugo scored 46 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Bourgue blasted 89 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Humbert | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 6 |
| 1st in | 60/98 | 101/158 |
| %1st in | 61% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 46/60 | 89/101 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 88% |
| 2nd pts | 26/38 | 33/57 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 58% |
Humbert managed to score 5 aces . Bourgue fired 18 aces (6 per match). Humbert won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Bourgue won 88% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Humbert | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 9 |
| Converted | 2/4 | 9/33 |
| % Converted | 50% | 27% |
| Conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Saved | 5 | 8 |
| % Saved | 100% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
The French player broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. The French player had a solid display on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 5 break points. Bourgue broke his opponents 9 times with a 27% conversion rate. Mathias conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Humbert | |||
| R1 Hemery |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-73 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 100-88 | 100-88 | |
| Total points | 188 | 188 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 60/98 | 60/98 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 46/60 | 46/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/38 | 26/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Bourgue | |||||
| Q1 Vatutin |
Q3 Gea |
R1 Sels |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-1 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 20 | 57 | |
| pts | 74-56 | 59-44 | 81-54 | 214-154 | |
| Total points | 130 | 103 | 135 | 368 | |
| Winners | 33 | 24 | 32 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 41% | 40% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 4 | 6 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/60 | 29/49 | 34/49 | 101/158 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 59% | 69% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 33/38 | 24/29 | 32/34 | 89/101 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 83% | 94% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 10/20 | 11/15 | 33/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 50% | 73% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 4/9 | 3/17 | 9/33 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 44% | 18% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 0% | 175% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLLWWLLL
LLLWLWLLWW Tennis Scores in Pau Challenger
- Ricardas BerankisBerankis – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (7-67 6-4) – See score progression
- Dan AddedAdded – Gabriel DebruDebru (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Mathias BourgueBourgue – Jelle SelsSels (6-1 7-66) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Manuel GuinardGuinard (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Calvin HemeryHemery (6-3 6-73 6-4) – See score progression
- Antoine BellierBellier – Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander RitschardRitschard – Louis WesselsWessels (7-64 7-66) – See score progression
- Laurent LokoliLokoli – Raul BrancaccioBrancaccio (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Mark LajalLajal (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Ugo BlanchetBlanchet (7-5 7-67) – See score progression
- Joris De LooreDe Loore – Lukas KleinKlein (3-6 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Luca Van AsscheVan Assche – Li TuTu (6-4 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Zizou BergsBergs – Zsombor PirosPiros (4-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – Emilio NavaNava (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (7-6(7) 6-4) – See score progression
- Dan AddedAdded – Gabriel DebruDebru (7-6(3) 6-3) – See score progression
- Ricardas BerankisBerankis – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Mathias BourgueBourgue – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Joris De LooreDe Loore – Jurij RodionovRodionov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Laurent LokoliLokoli – Alexander RitschardRitschard (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kaichi UchidaUchida – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Valentin RoyerRoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Antoine BellierBellier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dan AddedAdded – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
