Brandon Nakashima and Mackenzie Mcdonald will square off in the 2nd round of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on CANCHA 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.83
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.98
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald
This will be the 4th time that Brandon Nakashima and Mackenzie Mcdonald clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Mcdonald (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Mcdonald won 7-6(5) 7-6(1) 1-6 6-7(10) 6-4 in the 1st round in at the Australian Open back in January 2023.
Highlights Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Brandon Nakashima – Australian Open 16-January-2023
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-15 | 10-7 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 49, Brandon got to the 2nd round after beating Daniel Altmaier 6-3 3-6 6-1.
In the 1st round, Brandon defeated Altmaier (6-3 3-6 6-1). During the match, Nakashima scored 83 points vs Altmaier’s 71. Brandon was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nakashima recorded 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Brandon Nakashima lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 65% of his first serves in, winning 80% (41/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Brandon broke Altmaier 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Nakashima has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (145-84). 1-2 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nakashima has an aggregate76-44 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
The American has a composed 1-2 win-loss record in 2023, 1-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Acapulco
Mackenzie Mcdonald
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-11 | 10-6 | 1-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-23 | 18-12 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 23-15 | 0-6 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 16-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-26 | 15-12 | 12-5 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 62, the American got to the 2nd round after defeating Luciano Darderi 6-4 6-2.
In the 1st round, Mcdonald had a good straight sets win against Darderi (6-4 6-2). During the match Mcdonald scored 66 points vs Darderi’s 44. Mcdonald was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Mcdonald blasted 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mackenzie Mcdonald conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Mcdonald put 87% of his first serves in, winning 85% (35/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (3/6) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Darderi 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Delray Beach.
The American has an aggregate 10-5 win-loss record in 2023, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Acapulco
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 18 |
| Pts | 83-71 | 66-44 |
| Total Points | 154 | 110 |
| Winners | 41 | 35 |
| %Winners | 49% | 53% |
Both Nakashima and Mcdonald played 1 match. At the moment, Brandon Nakashima lost 1 set while Mackenzie Mcdonald hasn’t lost a set so far. Nakashima has played 1 set more than Mcdonald (3 vs 2). Therefore, Nakashima played 7 games more than Mcdonald. The American scored 41 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The American made 35 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 11 |
| 1st in | 51/78 | 41/47 |
| %1st in | 65% | 87% |
| 1st pts | 41/51 | 35/41 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 12/27 | 3/6 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 50% |
Nakashima struck 5 aces . Mcdonald bagged 11 aces . Nakashima won 80% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Mcdonald won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 |
| % Converted | 33% | 33% |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 |
| Saved | 4 | 1 |
| % Saved | 80% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Nakashima lost his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Mackenzie broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Mcdonald was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Nakashima | |||
| R1 Altmaier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 83-71 | 83-71 | |
| Total points | 154 | 154 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 51/78 | 51/78 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 41/51 | 41/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/27 | 12/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Mcdonald | |||
| R1 Darderi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 66-44 | 66-44 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 41/47 | 41/47 | |
| % 1st in | 87% | 87% | |
| 1st pts | 35/41 | 35/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLLWWLL
LLLWLWWLWL Tennis Scores in Acapulco
- Jacopo BerrettiniBerrettini – Oscar OtteOtte (3-6 7-63 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Nick ChappellChappell (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Elias YmerYmer – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-0 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Michael MmohMmoh – Marcos GironGiron (7-63 6-1) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Ben SheltonShelton (6-77 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Emilio GomezGomez (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Taro DanielDaniel – Jeff WolfWolf (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-74 6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Guido AndreozziAndreozzi (6-4 4-6 7-62) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (7-66 6-4) – See score progression
- Feliciano LopezLopez – Christopher EubanksEubanks (7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – John IsnerIsner (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Elias YmerYmer – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Alex MolcanMolcan (6-0 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Nick ChappellChappell (6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Jacopo BerrettiniBerrettini – Oscar OtteOtte (3-6 7-6(3) 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Feliciano LopezLopez – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taro DanielDaniel – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elias YmerYmer – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Michael MmohMmoh – Tommy PaulPaul (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (2-5) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jacopo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
