Jelle Sels and Mathias Bourgue will fight against each other in the 1st round of the Pau Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 11:00 am on COURT CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mathias Bourgue who should win in 3 sets.
Mathias Bourgue -> 1.44
Jelle Sels -> 2.64
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Prediction and head to head Jelle Sels vs. Mathias Bourgue
This will be the 2nd time that Jelle Sels and Mathias Bourgue fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Bourgue (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Bourgue won 6-7(1) 7-6(4) 6-1 in the quarter in the Brest Challenger back in 2022.
Jelle Sels
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-34 | 5-6 | 21-18 | 15-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-30 | 13-6 | 28-16 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-27 | 5-4 | 3-14 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-33 | 0-0 | 26-17 | 22-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-31 | 2-3 | 14-13 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 144, the Dutch will start his run in the Pau Challenger after he played his last match in the Andria Challenger where he lost 2-1 ret. to Sachko in the 2nd round on the 23rd of November.
This will be the first match of the season on indoor hard courts.
Talking about his overall career, Jelle has an overall 290-227 record. He has a positive 69-57 record on indoor hard courts.
Previously in the Pau Challenger
The Dutch has never competed in this tournament before.
Mathias Bourgue
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 14-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-29 | 7-5 | 11-16 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-28 | 6-4 | 22-13 | 16-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 22-19 | 5-5 | 7-10 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 6-7 | 11-9 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 427, Mathias reached the 1st round after beating Alexey Vatutin 6-3 6-4 and Arthur Gea 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications, Bourgue had a good straight sets win against Gea (6-3 6-3). During the match Bourgue scored 59 points vs Gea’s 44. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Bourgue bagged 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mathias Bourgue lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Bourgue put 59% of his first serves in, winning 83% (24/29) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Mathias broke Gea 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mathias started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Mathias has an aggregate 8-4 win-loss record in 2023, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Tennis Scores in Pau Challenger
- Zizou BergsBergs – Zsombor PirosPiros (4-6 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Luca Van AsscheVan Assche – Li TuTu (6-4 3-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – Emilio NavaNava (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy – Antoine BellierBellier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mathias BourgueBourgue – Jelle SelsSels (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander RitschardRitschard – Louis WesselsWessels (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kaichi UchidaUchida – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Ugo BlanchetBlanchet (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Manuel GuinardGuinard – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gijs BrouwerBrouwer – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Raul BrancaccioBrancaccio – Laurent LokoliLokoli (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lukas KleinKlein – Joris De LooreDe Loore (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dan AddedAdded – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Valentin RoyerRoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Richard BerankisBerankis (0-0) – H2H and prediction