Shintaro Mochizuki and Illya Marchenko will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Waco Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Illya Marchenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Illya Marchenko is the pick to win this match.
Illya Marchenko -> 1.87
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.87
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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Illya Marchenko
There is no head to head record between Shintaro Mochizuki and Illya Marchenko since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Shintaro Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-26 | 12-16 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 14-12 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 302,he will start his run in the Waco Challenger after he played his last match in the Waco Challenger where he overcame 6-4 6-4 to Beckley in the qualifications on the 26th of February.
The Japanese has a composed 8-6 win-loss record in 2023, 8-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Talking about his overall career, Mochizuki has an overall 114-93 record. He has a positive 63-52 record on hard.
Previously in the Waco Challenger
Shintaro has never competed in this tournament before.
Illya Marchenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-18 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-22 | 17-5 | 6-6 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 9-10 | 3-4 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-28 | 5-7 | 2-5 | 26-12 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 375, the Ukrainian reached the qualifications after beating Daniel Rincon 7-66 6-4.
In the qualifications, Marchenko had a good straight sets win against Rincon (7-66 6-4). During the match Marchenko scored 89 points vs Rincon’s 86. The Ukrainian was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Marchenko scored 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Illya Marchenko lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Marchenko put 52% of his first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the 2nd serve. Marchenko broke Rincon 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
The Ukrainian has an aggregate 6-4 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mochizuki | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 23 |
| Pts | 74-65 | 89-86 |
| Total Points | 139 | 175 |
| Winners | 24 | 28 |
| %Winners | 32% | 31% |
Both Mochizuki and Marchenko played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mochizuki and Marchenko have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Mochizuki played 3 games less than Marchenko. Mochizuki scored 24 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Illya blasted 28 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mochizuki | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 33/66 | 40/77 |
| %1st in | 50% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 24/33 | 28/40 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 22/37 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 59% |
Mochizuki bagged 3 aces . Marchenko made 4 aces . Mochizuki won 73% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Marchenko won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mochizuki | Marchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/11 |
| % Converted | 50% | 27% |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Saved | 5 | 6 |
| % Saved | 71% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Mochizuki broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Japanese lost his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Marchenko broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mochizuki | ||
| Total | ||
|---|---|---|
| Score | ||
| Tot Set | 0 | |
| Tot Games | 0 | |
| pts | 0-0 | |
| Total points | 0 | |
| Winners | 0 | |
| %Winners | 0% | |
| SERVE | ||
| Aces | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | |
| 1st in | 0/0 | |
| % 1st in | 0% | |
| 1st pts | 0/0 | |
| % 1st pts | % | |
| 2nd pts | 0/0 | |
| % 2nd pts | 0% | |
| Breaks | ||
| Won | 0 | |
| Converted | 0/0 | |
| Converted % | 0% | |
| Conceded | 0 | |
| Saved | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | |
| Marchenko | |||
| Q1 Rincon |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 89-86 | 89-86 | |
| Total points | 175 | 175 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 40/77 | 40/77 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 28/40 | 28/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/37 | 22/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/11 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLWL
LLLLLLWWWW 
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