Heather Watson and Maria Lourdes Carle will clash against each other in the qualifications of the ATX Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 10:30 am on Stadium Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Heather Watson who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Heather Watson is the pick to win this match.
Heather Watson -> 1.3
Maria Lourdes Carle -> 3.3
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Prediction and head to head Heather Watson vs. Maria Lourdes Carle
There is no head to head record between Heather Watson and Maria Lourdes Carle since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Heather Watson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-14 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-25 | 18-13 | 2-4 | 6-3 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-26 | 14-13 | 4-6 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-21 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-11 | 14-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 148, Watson got to the qualifications after defeating Jamie Loeb 6-3 4-6 6-4.
In the qualifications, Heather defeated Loeb (6-3 4-6 6-4). During the match, Watson scored 115 points vs Loeb’s 107. The Brit was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about the service games, Watson scored 13 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Heather Watson lost the serve 5 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Watson put 58% of her first serves in, winning 71% (44/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (16/45) on the 2nd serve. Watson broke Loeb 6 times after converting 30% of her break points (6/20).
Watson has good record in the last 10 years having won 54% of her matches (239-206). 5-3 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Watson has a compiled 136-120 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Brit’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the W25 Glasgow.
The Brit has a composed 9-4 win-loss record in 2023, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Austin
The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.
Maria Lourdes Carle
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-13 | 7-4 | 19-6 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 2-7 | 40-22 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-36 | 15-12 | 34-23 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-27 | 16-8 | 29-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 31-7 | 27-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 153, Maria reached the qualifications after defeating Gabriela Lee 6-3 6-1.
In the qualifications, Lourdes had a good straight sets win against Talaba (6-3 6-1). During the match Lourdes scored 58 points vs Talaba’s 34. Lourdes was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Lourdes wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Maria Lourdes Carle conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Lourdes put 70% of her first serves in, winning 84% (27/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. Lourdes broke Talaba 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Maria has a compiled 2-6 win-loss record in 2023, 2-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Watson | Lourdes |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 16 |
| Pts | 115-107 | 58-34 |
| Total Points | 222 | 92 |
| Winners | 44 | 27 |
| %Winners | 38% | 47% |
Both Watson and Lourdes played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Heather Watson lost 1 set while Maria Lourdes Carle hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Watson has played 1 set more than Lourdes (3 vs 2). Therefore, Watson played 13 games more than Lourdes. The Brit scored 44 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Maria made 27 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Watson | Lourdes |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 0 |
| 1st in | 62/107 | 32/46 |
| %1st in | 58% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 44/62 | 27/32 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 16/45 | 7/14 |
| %2nd pts | 36% | 50% |
Watson struck 13 aces . Lourdes didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Watson won 71% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 36% of the points. On the other side, Lourdes won 84% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Watson | Lourdes |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/20 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 30% | 67% |
| Conceded | 14 | 1 |
| Saved | 9 | 1 |
| % Saved | 64% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 |
Watson broke her opponent 6 times with a 30% conversion rate. Watson lost her serve 5 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. Maria broke her opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Lourdes was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Watson | |||
| Q1 Loeb |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 115-107 | 115-107 | |
| Total points | 222 | 222 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 62/107 | 62/107 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 44/62 | 44/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/45 | 16/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 36% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/20 | 6/20 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 14 | |
| Saved | 9/14 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Lourdes | |||
| Q1 Talaba |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 58-34 | 58-34 | |
| Total points | 92 | 92 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 32/46 | 32/46 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 27/32 | 27/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 7/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLLLWL
LLLLWLLWWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Katie BoulterBoulter – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Heather WatsonWatson – Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle (0-0) – H2H and prediction
