Carlos Alcaraz and Nicolas Jarry will square off in the semifinal of the Rio Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:30 pm on QUADRA GUGA KUERTEN. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.113
Nicolas Jarry -> 6.5
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Nicolas Jarry
There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Nicolas Jarry since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-9 | 20-4 | 17-4 | 4-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Carlos got to the semifinal after defeating Mateus Alves 6-4 6-4, Fabio Fognini 6-75 6-2 6-4 and Dusan Lajovic 6-4 7-60.
In the quarter, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Lajovic (6-4 7-60). During the match, Alcaraz scored 80 points vs Lajovic’s 65. Alcaraz was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (34/48) of his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Alcaraz broke Lajovic 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 6 years having won 77% of his matches (175-51). 7-0 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an overall106-28 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Buenos Aires where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5.
The Spaniard has a composed 7-0 win-loss record in 2023, 7-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Nicolas Jarry
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-21 | 8-11 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 14-7 | 21-8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 8-5 | 30-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-22 | 13-4 | 32-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 139, Jarry reached the semifinal after defeating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-1 6-2, Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-2 6-3, Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-1, Pedro Martinez Portero 6-2 6-2 and Sebastian Baez 6-3 7-63.
In the quarter, Nicolas had a good straight sets win against Baez (6-3 7-63). During the match Jarry scored 75 points vs Baez’s 58. The Chilean was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Jarry fired 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Nicolas Jarry was quite efficient on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Nicolas broke Baez 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nicolas started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 61% of the points he played.
Jarry has a compiled 10-3 win-loss record in 2023, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 74 | 87 |
| Pts | 261-220 | 311-202 |
| Total Points | 481 | 513 |
| Winners | 102 | 116 |
| %Winners | 39% | 37% |
Alcaraz played 3 matches while Jarry competed in 5 matches. Jarry started his run from the qualifications while Alcaraz had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Carlos Alcaraz lost 1 set while Nicolas Jarry hasn’t dropped a set so far. Alcaraz has played 3 set(s) less than Jarry (7 vs 10). Therefore, Alcaraz played 13 games less than Jarry. The Spaniard scored 102 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Jarry made 116 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 37 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 7.4 |
| 1st in | 151/227 | 139/236 |
| %1st in | 67% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 102/151 | 116/139 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 37/76 | 66/97 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 68% |
Alcaraz made 7 aces (2.3 per match). Jarry made 37 aces (7.4 per match). Alcaraz won 68% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Jarry won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 18 |
| Converted | 16/32 | 18/33 |
| % Converted | 50% | 55% |
| Conceded | 17 | 6 |
| Saved | 7 | 4 |
| % Saved | 41% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 2 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 16 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alcaraz lost his serve 10 times and he saved 41% of the break points that he conceded. Jarry broke his opponents 18 times with a 55% conversion rate. Jarry conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||
| R1 Alves |
R2 Fognini |
1/4 Lajovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-75 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 7-60 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 31 | 23 | 74 | |
| pts | 72-60 | 109-95 | 80-65 | 261-220 | |
| Total points | 132 | 204 | 145 | 481 | |
| Winners | 28 | 40 | 34 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 37% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 38/57 | 65/93 | 48/77 | 151/227 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 70% | 62% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 40/65 | 34/48 | 102/151 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 62% | 71% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/19 | 13/28 | 15/29 | 37/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 46% | 52% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 8 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 8/17 | 4/6 | 16/32 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 47% | 67% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/5 | 5/8 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 0% | 63% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | |
| Jarry | |||||||
| Q1 Ugo |
Q3 Manuel |
R1 Musetti |
R2 Martinez Portero |
1/4 Baez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 22 | 87 | |
| pts | 55-29 | 59-35 | 57-36 | 65-44 | 75-58 | 311-202 | |
| Total points | 84 | 94 | 93 | 109 | 133 | 513 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | 19 | 20 | 29 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 41% | 33% | 31% | 39% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 13 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 37 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 32/44 | 27/41 | 22/39 | 24/49 | 34/63 | 139/236 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 66% | 56% | 49% | 54% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 24/32 | 24/27 | 19/22 | 20/24 | 29/34 | 116/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 89% | 86% | 83% | 85% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/12 | 12/14 | 13/17 | 16/25 | 16/29 | 66/97 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 86% | 76% | 64% | 55% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/4 | 4/5 | 4/8 | 3/10 | 18/33 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 75% | 80% | 50% | 30% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | – | 100% | 33% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
LLLWLLLLLL Tennis Scores in Rio De Janeiro
- Juan-Sebastian Cabal/Marcelo MeloCabal/Marcelo Melo – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Nicolas JarryJarry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
