Caty McNally and Kimberly Birrell will fight against each other in the quarter of the Merida Open Akron for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on Estadio Akron. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Caty McNally who should win in 3 sets.
Caty McNally -> 1.727
Kimberly Birrell -> 2.11
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Prediction and head to head Caty McNally vs. Kimberly Birrell
This will be the 2nd time that Caty McNally and Kimberly Birrell face off. The head to head is 1-0 for McNally (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, McNally won 6-2 6-2 in the qualifications in the W100 Surbiton back in 2019.
Caty McNally
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-21 | 21-12 | 19-6 | 0-1 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 8-5 | 2-2 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-13 | 5-6 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-23 | 7-9 | 1-6 | 17-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-20 | 10-11 | 4-5 | 3-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 92, the American got to the quarter after defeating Lin Zhu 7-63 6-75 6-1 and Katie Volynets 6-3 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Caty had a good straight sets win against Volynets (6-3 6-0). During the match, McNally scored 66 points vs Volynets’s 45. McNally was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, McNally wasn’t able to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and she committed only 1 double fault. Caty McNally lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, McNally put 60% of her first serves in, winning 59% (19/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. McNally broke Volynets 7 times after converting 54% of her break points (7/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
McNally has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points she played.
McNally has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 58% of her matches (130-93). 3-2 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, McNally has a compiled60-51 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Caty has an overall 3-2 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Merida
Caty has never competed in this tournament before.
Kimberly Birrell
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-28 | 28-16 | 1-5 | 3-2 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-30 | 22-19 | 1-1 | 1-6 | 12-4 | 5-0 |
| 2023 | 42-33 | 32-21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| 2022 | 41-25 | 38-20 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 133 (career-high), Birrell reached the quarter after beating Elizabeth Mandlik 6-4 6-3, Varvara Gracheva 6-3 6-3, Anna Bondar 7-68 6-1 and Xiyu Wang 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Kimberly had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-3 6-2). During the match Birrell scored 63 points vs Wang’s 44. Birrell was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Birrell scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Kimberly Birrell lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Birrell put 67% of her first serves in, winning 74% (29/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (7/19) on the 2nd serve. Kimberly broke Wang 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Birrell started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was winning the title the W60 Orlando where she overcame Rebecca Peterson in the final 6-3 6-0.
Birrell has an overall 14-4 win-loss record in 2023, 14-4 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | McNally | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 74 |
| Pts | 187-158 | 279-206 |
| Total Points | 345 | 485 |
| Winners | 75 | 113 |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% |
McNally played 2 matches while Birrell competed in 4 matches. Birrell started her run from the qualifications while McNally had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Caty McNally dropped 1 set while Kimberly Birrell hasn’t lost a set so far. McNally has played 3 set(s) less than Birrell (5 vs 8). Therefore, McNally played 26 games less than Birrell. The American scored 75 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Birrell scored 113 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | McNally | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 1 |
| 1st in | 123/181 | 150/236 |
| %1st in | 68% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 75/123 | 113/150 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 20/58 | 38/86 |
| %2nd pts | 34% | 44% |
McNally fired 2 aces (1 per match). Birrell fired 4 aces (1 per match). McNally won 61% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 34% of the points. On the other side, Birrell won 75% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | McNally | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 19 |
| Converted | 16/25 | 19/32 |
| % Converted | 64% | 59% |
| Conceded | 20 | 17 |
| Saved | 12 | 9 |
| % Saved | 60% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 8 |
McNally broke her opponents 16 times with a 64% conversion rate. McNally lost her serve 8 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Birrell broke her opponents 19 times with a 59% conversion rate. Kimberly conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.
| McNally | ||||
| R1 Zhu | R2 Volynets | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-75 6-1 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 15 | 48 | |
| pts | 121-113 | 66-45 | 187-158 | |
| Total points | 234 | 111 | 345 | |
| Winners | 56 | 19 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 29% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 91/128 | 32/53 | 123/181 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 60% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 56/91 | 19/32 | 75/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 59% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/37 | 10/21 | 20/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 27% | 48% | 34% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 9 | 7 | 16 | |
| Converted | 9/12 | 7/13 | 16/25 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 54% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 7 | 20 | |
| Saved | 7/13 | 5/7 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 54% | 71% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Birrell | ||||||
| Q1 Mandlik | Q3 Gracheva | R1 Bondar | R2 Wang | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | 7-68 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 74 | |
| pts | 73-55 | 65-49 | 78-58 | 63-44 | 279-206 | |
| Total points | 128 | 114 | 136 | 107 | 485 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | 34 | 29 | 113 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 38% | 44% | 46% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 32/54 | 35/59 | 44/65 | 39/58 | 150/236 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | 68% | 67% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 25/32 | 25/35 | 34/44 | 29/39 | 113/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 71% | 77% | 74% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 8/24 | 11/21 | 7/19 | 38/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 33% | 52% | 37% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 6/9 | 4/5 | 5/11 | 19/32 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 67% | 80% | 45% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/3 | 4/6 | 3/5 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 0% | 67% | 60% | 97% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
Tennis Scores in Merida
- Natela Dzalamidze/Kamilla RakhimovaDzalamidze/Kamilla Rakhimova – Kaitlyn Christian/Sabrina SantamariaChristian/Sabrina Santamaria (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Davide GaloppiniGaloppini – Enrico Dalla ValleDalla Valle (3-6 6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francesco VilardoVilardo – Sami ReinweinReinwein (6-73 7-61 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Magda LinetteLinette – Rebecca PetersonPeterson (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Caty McNallyMcNally – Kimberly BirrellBirrell (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camila GiorgiGiorgi – Sloane StephensStephens (3-2) – H2H and prediction