Daniil Medvedev and Felix Auger-Aliassime will square off in the semifinal of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.39
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 3
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
This will be the 6th time that Daniil Medvedev and Felix Auger-Aliassime play each other. The head to head is 5-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 6-2 6-4 in the quarter in Rotterdam back in February 2023.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime – Rotterdam 17-February-2023
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, the Russian reached the semifinal after beating Liam Broady 6-4 6-3 and Christopher O Connell 6-2 4-6 7-5.
In the quarter, The Russian defeated O Connell (6-2 4-6 7-5). During the match, Medvedev scored 87 points vs O Connell’s 73. Medvedev was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (40/51) of his 1st serve and 63% (20/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Daniil broke O Connell 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a great win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (435-180). 7-2 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a compiled 188-64 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2.
The Russian has an overall 12-2 win-loss record in 2023, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Daniil has never competed in this tournament before.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-24 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Felix reached the semifinal after beating Jason Murray Kubler 4-6 6-1 6-4 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-4 7-65.
In the quarter, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-4 7-65). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 70 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 65. Auger-Aliassime was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Auger-Aliassime blasted 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Felix Auger-Aliassime was very effective on serve to win 86% (37/43) of his 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Auger-Aliassime broke Davidovich Fokina once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Canadian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Auger-Aliassime has a composed 7-3 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 50 |
| Pts | 156-126 | 158-137 |
| Total Points | 282 | 295 |
| Winners | 69 | 74 |
| %Winners | 44% | 47% |
Both Medvedev and Auger-Aliassime played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev lost 1 set, while Felix Auger-Aliassime lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Medvedev and Auger-Aliassime have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Medvedev played 1 game less than Auger-Aliassime. Daniil scored 69 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Auger-Aliassime fired 74 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 11.5 |
| 1st in | 93/139 | 89/146 |
| %1st in | 67% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 69/93 | 74/89 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 28/46 | 34/57 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 60% |
Medvedev blasted 11 aces (5.5 per match). Auger-Aliassime blasted 23 aces (11.5 per match). Medvedev won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 4 |
| Converted | 8/14 | 4/10 |
| % Converted | 57% | 40% |
| Conceded | 9 | 7 |
| Saved | 5 | 6 |
| % Saved | 56% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Russian dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R2 Broady |
1/4 O |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 4-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 30 | 49 | |
| pts | 69-53 | 87-73 | 156-126 | |
| Total points | 122 | 160 | 282 | |
| Winners | 29 | 40 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 46% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 42/56 | 51/83 | 93/139 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 61% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 29/42 | 40/51 | 69/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 78% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 20/32 | 28/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 63% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/8 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 2/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 50% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Auger-Aliassime | ||||
| R2 Murray Kubler |
1/4 Davidovich Fokina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 6-4 | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 23 | 50 | |
| pts | 88-72 | 70-65 | 158-137 | |
| Total points | 160 | 135 | 295 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 53% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 15 | 8 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 46/81 | 43/65 | 89/146 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 66% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 37/46 | 37/43 | 74/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 86% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/35 | 12/22 | 34/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 55% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 1/4 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 25% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 2/2 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 100% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WL Tennis Scores in Doha
- Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden – Daniel Evans/Jonny O’MaraEvans/Jonny O’Mara (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (5-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Andy MurrayMurray (0-0) – H2H and prediction
